Ethiopia
Match Timeline
Malawi
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home or Draw
BTTS
No
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
86.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
77.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
88%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Ethiopia Win 51.7%
Draw 35.2%
Malawi Win 13.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ethiopia0.87
Malawi0
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ethiopia
WWDLW
1 GF / 0 GA
Malawi
WLDWL
0 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
0
BTTS Yes
0
0
Over 2.5
0
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ethiopia
1 matches
Malawi
3 matches
| Ethiopia | Statistic | Malawi |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 0 |
| 0 | Draws | 1 |
| 0 | Losses | 2 |
| 1 | Goals For | 0 |
| 0 | Goals Against | 2 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 0 |
| 0 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |
| 0 | BTTS Yes | 0 |
| 0 | Over 1.5 | 0 |
| 0 | Over 2.5 | 0 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Ethiopia won 2 times, Malawi won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:3 from Ethiopia's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (86.9%)
H2H summary: Ethiopia wins 2, draws 2, Malawi wins 1
Lineups
Ethiopia
Formation
Malawi
A. Nuri
J. Yakob
R. Selalo
Y. Baye
S. Yohannes
H. Tekeste
W. Gezahegn
B. Belay
T. Fitsumi
D. Hotessa
A. Biniam
W. Thole
M. Lameck
C. Petro
D. Chembezi
M. Mhango
L. Njaliwa
C. Mphasi
S. Blessings
B. Adepoju
G. Chirwa
E. Nyirenda
Ethiopia
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Nuri
4
J. Yakob
2
R. Selalo
16
Y. Baye
14
S. Yohannes
21
H. Tekeste
8
W. Gezahegn
10
B. Belay
⚽ 42'
7
T. Fitsumi
12
D. Hotessa
13
A. Biniam
Substitutes
No substitutes data
Malawi
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
16
W. Thole
2
M. Lameck
3
C. Petro
5
D. Chembezi
7
M. Mhango
8
L. Njaliwa
11
C. Mphasi
14
S. Blessings
18
B. Adepoju
⚽ 19'
19
G. Chirwa
20
E. Nyirenda
Substitutes
1
G. Chikooka
23
J. Waka
4
W. Jaziya
6
L. Aaron
9
C. Kumwembe
10
F. Madinga
12
L. Rundles
15
F. Duwe
17
Y. Singo
24
E. Kondowe
Last matches: Ethiopia
06.06.26
Fri
Ethiopia
Malawi
1
0
W
Last matches: Malawi
06.06.26
Fri
Malawi
Ethiopia
0
1
L
31.03.26
Fri
Malawi
Botswana
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
Malawi
Zambia U23
0
0
D
H2H: Ethiopia vs Malawi
09.06.26
H2H
Ethiopia
Malawi
1
1
D
06.06.26
H2H
Ethiopia
Malawi
1
0
W
20.06.23
H2H
Ethiopia
Malawi
0
0
D
05.06.22
H2H
Malawi
Ethiopia
2
1
L
17.03.21
H2H
Ethiopia
Malawi
4
0
W
Last matches: Ethiopia
06.06.26
Fri
Ethiopia
Malawi
1
0
W
H2H at home: Ethiopia
09.06.26
H2H
Ethiopia
Malawi
1
1
D
06.06.26
H2H
Ethiopia
Malawi
1
0
W
20.06.23
H2H
Ethiopia
Malawi
0
0
D
17.03.21
H2H
Ethiopia
Malawi
4
0
W
Last matches: Malawi
06.06.26
Fri
Malawi
Ethiopia
0
1
L
31.03.26
Fri
Malawi
Botswana
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
Malawi
Zambia U23
0
0
D
H2H away: Malawi
09.06.26
H2H
Ethiopia
Malawi
1
1
D
06.06.26
H2H
Ethiopia
Malawi
1
0
L
20.06.23
H2H
Ethiopia
Malawi
0
0
D
17.03.21
H2H
Ethiopia
Malawi
4
0
L