WORLD FRIENDLIES
06.06.2026 15:00
Dire Dawa Stadium
Ethiopia
Match Timeline
Malawi
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
T. Fitsumi
Ethiopia

Ethiopia vs Malawi Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 79.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 74.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 74.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
79.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
74.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
74.4%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ethiopia Win 46.9%
Draw 32.7%
Malawi Win 20.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ethiopia0.2
Malawi0
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ethiopia Ethiopia
WWDLW
0 GF / 0 GA
Malawi Malawi
WLDWL
0 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
0
Average Goals Scored
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
0
BTTS Yes
0
0
Over 2.5
0
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ethiopia Ethiopia 0 matches
Malawi Malawi 2 matches
Ethiopia Statistic Malawi
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 1
0 Losses 1
0 Goals For 0
0 Goals Against 1
0 Avg Goals Scored 0
0 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
0 BTTS Yes 0
0 Over 1.5 0
0 Over 2.5 0
0 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Ethiopia won 2 times, Malawi won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:3 from Ethiopia's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (79.6%)
H2H summary: Ethiopia wins 2, draws 2, Malawi wins 1