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18.10.2026 21:00
Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi

Estudiantes L.P. vs San Lorenzo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.8%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Estudiantes L.P. Win 83.6%
Draw 5.5%
San Lorenzo Win 10.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estudiantes L.P.1.13
San Lorenzo0.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P.
WWDLW
56 GF / 30 GA
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
WLDWL
26 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
0.84
0.7
Average Goals Conceded
0.87
14
BTTS Yes
9
15
Over 2.5
5
5.15
Shots on Goal
3.62

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 43 matches
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 31 matches
Estudiantes L.P. Statistic San Lorenzo
20 Wins 10
11 Draws 11
12 Losses 10
56 Goals For 26
30 Goals Against 27
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 0.84
0.7 Avg Goals Conceded 0.87
14 BTTS Yes 9
26 Over 1.5 14
15 Over 2.5 5
5 Over 3.5 3
18 Clean Sheets 15
15 Failed To Score 12
5.15 Shots On Goal 3.62
14.23 Total Shots 10.86
4.36 Corners 3.76
54.1% Ball Possession 49%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Estudiantes L.P.'s more proactive style and San Lorenzo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Estudiantes L.P. arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 31 points compared to San Lorenzo in 7 on 22, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring San Lorenzo. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Estudiantes L.P. expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and San Lorenzo in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward San Lorenzo having the stronger overall control. San Lorenzo arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Estudiantes L.P. Analysis

Estudiantes L.P. arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 31 points after 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, while the 19:7 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Gaich (4 goals), F. Pérez Escudero (3 goals), E. Cetré (2 goals), with creative support from T. Palacios (3 assists), E. Cetré (2 assists), G. Benedetti (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

San Lorenzo Analysis

San Lorenzo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 7 with 22 points from 16 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 14:14, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through R. Auzmendi (4 goals), A. Cuello (2 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Estudiantes L.P. won 1 times, San Lorenzo won 6 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:18 from Estudiantes L.P.'s perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
Predicted formations: Estudiantes L.P. 4-2-3-1 / San Lorenzo 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Estudiantes L.P. wins 1, draws 8, San Lorenzo wins 6

Standings

Clausura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 8 2 2 19:10 9 26
D W W W L
2 12 7 3 2 18:11 7 24
W W D W L
3 12 5 6 1 19:13 6 21
D W W W D
4 12 5 6 1 17:13 4 21
L D W D W
5 12 6 2 4 15:9 6 20
W D W W W
6 12 6 2 4 15:12 3 20
W L D L D
7 12 5 3 4 11:12 -1 18
D L W D W
8 12 4 5 3 11:9 2 17
L D W D D
9 12 4 2 6 15:13 2 14
D W L W L
10 12 4 2 6 5:11 -6 14
W L L D W
11 12 4 1 7 17:21 -4 13
L L L L W
12 12 2 5 5 9:12 -3 11
L D D L D
13 12 2 5 5 12:18 -6 11
D D L L D
14 12 2 4 6 10:16 -6 10
D D D L L
15 12 2 3 7 11:18 -7 9
D L L W L
Knockout Phase