ARGENTINA LIGA PROFESIONAL ARGENTINA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Ciudad de La Plata
Referee: Sebastian Nicolas Martinez, Argentina
Estudiantes L.P.
Match Timeline
Defensa Y Justicia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
Guido Carrillo · Assist: Eric Meza
Estudiantes L.P.
🔄
14'
Lucas Souto ↔ Ayrton Portillo
Defensa Y Justicia
16'
Ezequiel Piovi · Assist: Tiago Palacios
Estudiantes L.P.
🟨
28'
Fabricio Pérez
Estudiantes L.P.
🟨
28'
David Barbona
Defensa Y Justicia
🟨
34'
Damián Fernández
Defensa Y Justicia
36'
Tomás Palacios · Assist: Guido Carrillo
Estudiantes L.P.
🔄
64'
Santiago Sosa ↔ Domingo Blanco
Defensa Y Justicia
🔄
64'
Leandro Fernández ↔ Tomás Pérez
Defensa Y Justicia
🔄
64'
Máximo Rodríguez ↔ Fernando Román
Defensa Y Justicia
🔄
70'
Tiago Palacios ↔ José Sosa
Estudiantes L.P.
🔄
71'
Alexis Castro ↔ Gabriel Neves
Estudiantes L.P.
🔄
72'
Tomás Palacios ↔ Ramiro Funes Mori
Estudiantes L.P.
🔄
72'
Fabricio Pérez ↔ Brian Aguirre
Estudiantes L.P.
🔄
79'
Agustín Hausch ↔ Ramiro Gagliardi
Defensa Y Justicia
🔄
80'
Guido Carrillo ↔ Lucas Alario
Estudiantes L.P.
VAR
85'
Fernando Román
Defensa Y Justicia
87'
David Barbona
Defensa Y Justicia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.3%
Odds 1.71
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 2.38
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.54
1 agree / 0 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.3%
1.71
BTTS Yes
58.8%
2.38
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.54
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.46
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Estudiantes L.P. Win 72.3%
Draw 5.7%
Defensa Y Justicia Win 22%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estudiantes L.P.1.27
Defensa Y Justicia0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P.
WWDLW
32 GF / 15 GA
Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia
WLDWL
25 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.19
0.58
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
8
BTTS Yes
13
7
Over 2.5
9
4.88
Shots on Goal
3.89

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 26 matches
Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia 21 matches
Estudiantes L.P. Statistic Defensa Y Justicia
13 Wins 7
7 Draws 8
6 Losses 6
32 Goals For 25
15 Goals Against 28
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
0.58 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
8 BTTS Yes 13
14 Over 1.5 16
7 Over 2.5 9
2 Over 3.5 5
12 Clean Sheets 6
9 Failed To Score 5
4.88 Shots On Goal 3.89
13.88 Total Shots 10.28
4.54 Corners 4.33
52.4% Ball Possession 52.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Estudiantes L.P.'s more proactive style and Defensa Y Justicia's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Defensa Y Justicia. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Defensa Y Justicia arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Estudiantes L.P. arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 31 points compared to Defensa Y Justicia in 10 on 19, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Estudiantes L.P. expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Defensa Y Justicia in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Defensa Y Justicia having the stronger overall control.

Estudiantes L.P. Analysis

Estudiantes L.P. approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 31 points after 16 outings. The return of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 19:7, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Adolfo Gaich (3 goals), Alexis Castro (2 goals), Mikel Amondarain (1 goals), with creative support from Tiago Palacios (2 assists), Mikel Amondarain (1 assists), Brian Aguirre (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Defensa Y Justicia Analysis

Defensa Y Justicia sit 10 with 19 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 18:21, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Ayrton Portillo (2 goals), Juan Manuel Gutiérrez (1 goals), Aaron Molinas (1 goals), with creative support from Juan Manuel Gutiérrez (1 assists), Aaron Molinas (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Estudiantes L.P. won 4 times, Defensa Y Justicia won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:16 from Estudiantes L.P.'s perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
Predicted formations: Estudiantes L.P. 4-4-2 / Defensa Y Justicia 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Estudiantes L.P. wins 4, draws 3, Defensa Y Justicia wins 8
Stats
Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia
Shots on Goal
9
Shots on Goal
8
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
6
2 Corner Kicks 5
14 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 1
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 20
9 Shots on Goal 8
4 Shots off Goal 6
2 Blocked Shots 6
10 Shots insidebox 13
5 Shots outsidebox 7
8 Goalkeeper Saves 7
330 Total passes 479
269 Passes accurate 407
1.99 expected_goals 1.54
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Estudiantes L.P.
Formation
Defensa Y Justicia
Fernando Muslera
Fernando Muslera
Eric Meza
🎯
Eric Meza
Santiago Núñez
Santiago Núñez
Tomás Palacios
Tomás Palacios
Gastón Benedetti
Gastón Benedetti
Ezequiel Piovi
Ezequiel Piovi
Alexis Castro
Alexis Castro
Fabricio Pérez
Fabricio Pérez
Tiago Palacios
🎯
Tiago Palacios
Joaquín Tobio Burgos
Joaquín Tobio Burgos
Guido Carrillo
🎯
Guido Carrillo
Matías Borgogno
Matías Borgogno
Lucas Souto
Lucas Souto
Damián Fernández
Damián Fernández
Samuel Lucero
Samuel Lucero
Máximo Rodríguez
Máximo Rodríguez
César Pérez
César Pérez
Santiago Sosa
Santiago Sosa
Agustín Hausch
Agustín Hausch
David Barbona
David Barbona
Juan Manuel Gutiérrez
Juan Manuel Gutiérrez
Leandro Fernández
Leandro Fernández
Estudiantes L.P. 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
16
Fernando Muslera
G
20
Eric Meza
🎯 9'
D
4
Santiago Núñez
D
24
Tomás Palacios
⚽ 36' ↓ 72'
D
13
Gastón Benedetti
D
21
Ezequiel Piovi
⚽ 16'
M
22
Alexis Castro
↓ 71'
M
29
Fabricio Pérez
↓ 72' 🟨 28'
M
10
Tiago Palacios
🎯 16' ↓ 70'
M
17
Joaquín Tobio Burgos
M
9
Guido Carrillo
⚽ 9' 🎯 36' ↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
7
José Sosa
↑ 70'
M
8
Gabriel Neves
↑ 71'
M
26
Ramiro Funes Mori
↑ 72'
D
28
Brian Aguirre
↑ 72'
F
27
Lucas Alario
↑ 80'
F
1
Fabricio Iacovich
G
40
Eros Mancuso
D
36
Joaquin Pereyra
D
52
Bautista Kociubinski
M
11
Facundo Farías
M
18
Edwuin Cetré
F
19
Adolfo Gaich
F
Defensa Y Justicia 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Matías Borgogno
G
33
Lucas Souto
↓ 14'
D
29
Damián Fernández
🟨 34'
D
2
Samuel Lucero
D
40
Máximo Rodríguez
↓ 64'
D
8
César Pérez
M
15
Santiago Sosa
↓ 64'
M
17
Agustín Hausch
↓ 79'
M
19
David Barbona
⚽ 87' 🟨 28'
M
24
Juan Manuel Gutiérrez
M
9
Leandro Fernández
↓ 64'
F
Substitutes
16
Ayrton Portillo
↑ 14'
M
3
Fernando Román
↑ 64'
D
27
Domingo Blanco
↑ 64'
M
7
Tomás Pérez
↑ 64'
F
41
Ramiro Gagliardi
↑ 79'
F
36
Lautaro Amade
G
13
Mateo López
D
28
Valentín Loza
D
44
Jonás Cabrera
M
25
Facundo Altamira
F
23
Mateo Aguiar
M
45
Thiago Martínez
M
Last matches: Estudiantes L.P.
26.07.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente
0
2
L
31.05.26
Cop
Estudiantes L.P.
Rosario Central
3
0
W
27.05.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente Medellin
1
0
W
21.05.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Racing Club
0
1
L
06.05.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
Cusco
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Platense
2
0
W
30.04.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
1
1
D
25.04.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Talleres Cordoba
0
0
D
18.04.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Instituto Cordoba
1
0
W
14.04.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
Cusco
2
1
W
11.04.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Union Santa Fe
2
1
W
09.04.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente Medellin
1
1
D
03.04.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
San Lorenzo
0
1
L
23.03.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Central Cordoba de Santiago
5
0
W
18.03.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Gimnasia M.
2
1
W
13.03.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Lanus
0
1
L
02.03.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Velez Sarsfield
0
1
L
25.02.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Newells Old Boys
2
0
W
20.02.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Sarmiento Junin
1
0
W
Last matches: Defensa Y Justicia
29.07.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Deportivo Riestra
2
1
W
24.07.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Aldosivi
1
1
D
16.07.26
Cop
Defensa Y Justicia
Racing Club
1
4
L
04.05.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Gimnasia M.
1
2
L
23.04.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Boca Juniors
0
4
L
18.04.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Independiente
1
3
L
13.04.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Talleres Cordoba
1
2
L
07.04.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Instituto Cordoba
0
2
L
01.04.26
Cop
Defensa Y Justicia
Chaco For Ever
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Union Santa Fe
2
0
W
16.03.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
San Lorenzo
5
2
W
12.03.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Central Cordoba de Santiago
1
1
D
02.03.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Lanus
1
1
D
24.02.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Platense
0
0
D
20.02.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Belgrano Cordoba
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Velez Sarsfield
1
1
D
08.02.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Newells Old Boys
3
2
W
02.02.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Estudiantes L.P.
0
0
D
29.01.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Deportivo Riestra
1
0
W
22.01.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Aldosivi
0
0
D
H2H: Estudiantes L.P. vs Defensa Y Justicia
02.02.26
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Estudiantes L.P.
0
0
D
22.09.25
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia
1
0
W
09.03.25
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Estudiantes L.P.
1
0
L
28.09.24
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia
1
0
W
29.03.24
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Estudiantes L.P.
1
0
L
14.12.23
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia
1
0
W
05.11.23
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia
2
1
W
14.05.23
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Estudiantes L.P.
1
1
D
20.09.22
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia
1
2
L
16.10.21
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Estudiantes L.P.
2
1
L
23.12.20
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Estudiantes L.P.
2
1
L
17.02.20
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia
1
2
L
18.11.18
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Estudiantes L.P.
1
1
D
09.09.17
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia
0
1
L
17.12.16
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia
1
2
L
Last matches: Estudiantes L.P.
26.07.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente
0
2
L
31.05.26
Cop
Estudiantes L.P.
Rosario Central
3
0
W
27.05.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente Medellin
1
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Racing Club
0
1
L
30.04.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
1
1
D
25.04.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Talleres Cordoba
0
0
D
14.04.26
CON
Estudiantes L.P.
Cusco
2
1
W
11.04.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Union Santa Fe
2
1
W
23.03.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Central Cordoba de Santiago
5
0
W
13.03.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Lanus
0
1
L
02.03.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Velez Sarsfield
0
1
L
20.02.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Sarmiento Junin
1
0
W
09.02.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Deportivo Riestra
1
0
W
29.01.26
Lig
Estudiantes L.P.
Boca Juniors
2
1
W
20.01.26
Cop
Estudiantes L.P.
Ituzaingó
4
0
W
H2H at home: Estudiantes L.P.
22.09.25
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia
1
0
W
28.09.24
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia
1
0
W
14.12.23
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia
1
0
W
05.11.23
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia
2
1
W
20.09.22
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia
1
2
L
17.02.20
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia
1
2
L
09.09.17
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia
0
1
L
17.12.16
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia
1
2
L
Last matches: Defensa Y Justicia
16.07.26
Cop
Defensa Y Justicia
Racing Club
1
4
L
04.05.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Gimnasia M.
1
2
L
18.04.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Independiente
1
3
L
07.04.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Instituto Cordoba
0
2
L
16.03.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
San Lorenzo
5
2
W
24.02.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Platense
0
0
D
08.02.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Newells Old Boys
3
2
W
29.01.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Deportivo Riestra
1
0
W
22.01.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Aldosivi
0
0
D
08.01.26
Fri
Defensa Y Justicia
Santa Cruz
1
0
W
H2H away: Defensa Y Justicia
22.09.25
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia
1
0
L
28.09.24
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia
1
0
L
14.12.23
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia
1
0
L
05.11.23
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia
2
1
L
20.09.22
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia
1
2
W
17.02.20
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia
1
2
W
09.09.17
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia
0
1
W
17.12.16
H2H
Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia
1
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 3.45
Home 1.71
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.43
Draw 2.07
Home 2.38
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.10
Over 1.5 1.50
Over 1.75 1.64
Over 2.0 1.89
Over 2.25 2.22
Over 2.5 2.54
Over 3.5 4.95
Under 0.5 7.06
Under 1.5 2.61
Under 1.75 2.28
Under 2.0 1.94
Under 2.25 1.68
Under 2.5 1.52
Under 3.5 1.17
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.50
Draw 3.30
Home 1.67
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.50
Draw 2.00
Home 2.38
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 2.25
Home 2.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.11
Over 1.5 1.50
Over 2.5 2.50
Over 3.5 5.00
Over 4.5 11.00
Over 5.5 26.00
Over 6.5 51.00
Under 0.5 6.50
Under 1.5 2.50
Under 2.5 1.50
Under 3.5 1.17
Under 4.5 1.05
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.45
Draw 3.46
Home 1.72
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.05
Draw 1.95
Home 2.34
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.35
Draw 2.27
Home 2.09
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.05
Over 0.75 1.08
Over 1.0 1.10
Over 1.25 1.32
Over 1.5 1.51
Over 1.75 1.66
Over 2.0 1.83
Over 2.25 2.11
Over 2.5 2.42
Over 2.75 2.88
Over 3.0 3.92
Over 3.25 4.34
Over 3.5 4.75
Over 3.75 6.09
Over 4.0 9.00
Over 4.5 10.50
Over 5.5 21.00
Over 6.5 50.00
Under 0.5 6.65
Under 0.75 6.08
Under 1.0 5.40
Under 1.25 3.40
Under 1.5 2.55
Under 1.75 2.22
Under 2.0 1.84
Under 2.25 1.59
Under 2.5 1.45
Under 2.75 1.32
Under 3.0 1.18
Under 3.25 1.14
Under 3.5 1.12
Under 3.75 1.06
Under 4.0 1.00
Under 4.5 1.04
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 3.35
Home 1.73
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.60
Draw 2.00
Home 2.38
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 2.35
Home 2.14
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.5 1.48
Over 1.75 1.62
Over 2.0 1.86
Over 2.25 2.20
Over 2.5 2.55
Over 2.75 3.00
Over 3.0 4.00
Over 3.5 5.00
Over 4.5 10.00
Under 0.5 6.75
Under 1.5 2.60
Under 1.75 2.23
Under 2.0 1.89
Under 2.25 1.64
Under 2.5 1.49
Under 2.75 1.35
Under 3.0 1.21
Under 3.5 1.16
Under 4.5 1.04

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
W L L W D
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
D L L W W
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
W W L D D
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
L L L D D
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
W W L W L
6 16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
W L D D L
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
W L L L W
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
L D L W D
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
W L W D L
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
L W D L L
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
W L W W L
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
L D L L L
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
L L L D W
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
D L W D D
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
L L W D W
Knockout Phase