VENEZUELA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.1%
Odds 2.45
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds 1.99
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.1%
2.45
BTTS Yes
58.8%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
1.99
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Estudiantes de Merida FC Win 57.1%
Draw 9.8%
Zamora FC Win 33.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estudiantes de Merida FC1.18
Zamora FC1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estudiantes de Merida FC Estudiantes de Merida FC
WWDLW
25 GF / 28 GA
Zamora FC Zamora FC
WLDWL
16 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
10
BTTS Yes
8
10
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estudiantes de Merida FC Estudiantes de Merida FC 20 matches
Zamora FC Zamora FC 14 matches
Estudiantes de Merida FC Statistic Zamora FC
7 Wins 5
3 Draws 5
10 Losses 4
25 Goals For 16
28 Goals Against 15
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.07
10 BTTS Yes 8
15 Over 1.5 11
10 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 4
8 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Estudiantes de Merida FC's more proactive style and Zamora FC's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Zamora FC having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Zamora FC.

Estudiantes de Merida FC Analysis

Estudiantes de Merida FC sit 6 with 20 points after 13 league matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 21:18 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Zamora FC Analysis

From their first 13 matches, Zamora FC have collected 17 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, while the 14:14 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Estudiantes de Merida FC won 6 times, Zamora FC won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:16 from Estudiantes de Merida FC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.2%)
H2H summary: Estudiantes de Merida FC wins 6, draws 3, Zamora FC wins 5
Last matches: Estudiantes de Merida FC
03.08.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Caracas FC
2
2
D
31.05.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
0
1
L
24.05.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Metropolitanos FC
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Carabobo FC
0
2
L
13.05.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Carabobo FC
0
1
L
08.05.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Metropolitanos FC
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Metropolitanos FC
0
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Monagas SC
3
2
W
12.04.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Trujillanos FC
2
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Portuguesa FC
2
1
W
22.03.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
0
1
L
18.03.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Carabobo FC
3
2
W
14.03.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
UCV
1
1
D
06.03.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Puerto Cabello
2
1
W
23.02.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Anzoátegui FC
3
0
W
13.02.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Rayo Zuliano
1
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Zamora FC
2
3
L
01.02.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Caracas FC
2
2
D
Last matches: Zamora FC
02.08.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Rayo Zuliano
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Anzoátegui FC
1
1
D
20.04.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Caracas FC
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Metropolitanos FC
0
0
D
04.04.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Monagas SC
2
1
W
22.03.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Trujillanos FC
3
0
W
18.03.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Portuguesa FC
0
2
L
15.03.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
2
L
07.03.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Carabobo FC
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pri
Zamora FC
UCV
1
2
L
23.02.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Deportivo La Guaira
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Puerto Cabello
0
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
3
2
W
31.01.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Rayo Zuliano
1
0
W
H2H: Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Zamora FC
07.02.26
H2H
Zamora FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
3
2
L
12.07.25
H2H
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Zamora FC
2
1
W
02.02.25
H2H
Zamora FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
1
L
16.01.25
H2H
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Zamora FC
2
1
W
05.10.24
H2H
Zamora FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
0
L
06.04.24
H2H
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Zamora FC
3
1
W
22.09.23
H2H
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Zamora FC
2
2
D
19.02.23
H2H
Zamora FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
5
W
14.09.22
H2H
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Zamora FC
1
2
L
04.03.22
H2H
Zamora FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
0
L
22.10.21
H2H
Zamora FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
0
0
D
05.09.21
H2H
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Zamora FC
0
0
D
17.07.21
H2H
Zamora FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
0
1
W
30.05.21
H2H
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Zamora FC
1
0
W
18.10.20
H2H
Zamora FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
0
0
D
Last matches: Estudiantes de Merida FC
24.05.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Metropolitanos FC
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Carabobo FC
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Monagas SC
3
2
W
05.04.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Portuguesa FC
2
1
W
18.03.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Carabobo FC
3
2
W
06.03.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
1
L
13.02.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Rayo Zuliano
1
2
L
01.02.26
Pri
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Caracas FC
2
2
D
H2H at home: Estudiantes de Merida FC
12.07.25
H2H
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Zamora FC
2
1
W
16.01.25
H2H
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Zamora FC
2
1
W
06.04.24
H2H
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Zamora FC
3
1
W
22.09.23
H2H
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Zamora FC
2
2
D
14.09.22
H2H
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Zamora FC
1
2
L
05.09.21
H2H
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Zamora FC
0
0
D
30.05.21
H2H
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Zamora FC
1
0
W
Last matches: Zamora FC
25.04.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Anzoátegui FC
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Metropolitanos FC
0
0
D
22.03.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Trujillanos FC
3
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Zamora FC
UCV
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Puerto Cabello
0
2
L
31.01.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Rayo Zuliano
1
0
W
H2H away: Zamora FC
12.07.25
H2H
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Zamora FC
2
1
L
16.01.25
H2H
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Zamora FC
2
1
L
06.04.24
H2H
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Zamora FC
3
1
L
22.09.23
H2H
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Zamora FC
2
2
D
14.09.22
H2H
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Zamora FC
1
2
W
05.09.21
H2H
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Zamora FC
0
0
D
30.05.21
H2H
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Zamora FC
1
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.76
Draw 3.12
Home 2.45
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.33
Over 1.75 1.37
Over 2.0 1.48
Over 2.25 1.73
Over 2.5 1.99
Over 2.75 2.25
Over 3.0 2.71
Over 3.25 3.04
Under 1.5 3.11
Under 1.75 2.91
Under 2.0 2.52
Under 2.25 2.05
Under 2.5 1.81
Under 2.75 1.61
Under 3.0 1.42
Under 3.25 1.34
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.70
Draw 3.20
Home 2.40
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.50
Draw 2.10
Home 3.20
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 2.38
Home 2.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.07
Over 1.5 1.33
Over 2.5 2.10
Over 3.5 3.75
Over 4.5 8.00
Over 5.5 19.00
Over 6.5 41.00
Under 0.5 9.00
Under 1.5 3.25
Under 2.5 1.70
Under 3.5 1.25
Under 4.5 1.08
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.70
Draw 3.05
Home 2.41
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.42
Draw 1.98
Home 3.08
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.04
Draw 2.34
Home 2.73
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.25 1.14
Over 1.5 1.27
Over 1.75 1.34
Over 2.0 1.44
Over 2.25 1.72
Over 2.5 1.94
Over 2.75 2.17
Over 3.0 2.66
Over 3.25 2.97
Over 3.5 3.34
Over 3.75 4.20
Over 4.0 5.90
Over 4.25 6.25
Over 4.5 6.70
Over 5.0 11.00
Over 5.5 14.00
Over 6.5 41.00
Under 0.5 9.00
Under 0.75 8.25
Under 1.0 7.50
Under 1.25 4.30
Under 1.5 3.14
Under 1.75 2.78
Under 2.0 2.42
Under 2.25 1.98
Under 2.5 1.75
Under 2.75 1.55
Under 3.0 1.37
Under 3.25 1.30
Under 3.5 1.24
Under 3.75 1.15
Under 4.0 1.07
Under 4.25 1.06
Under 4.5 1.05
Under 5.0 1.01
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 7 6 0 15:6 9 27
W D W D W
2 13 7 4 2 17:10 7 25
W W D L W
3 13 7 3 3 17:12 5 24
W D L W W
4 13 7 2 4 24:20 4 23
L D L W L
5 13 5 5 3 20:12 8 20
W D W L D
6 13 6 2 5 21:18 3 20
L W W W L
7 13 4 7 2 23:14 9 19
L W W D D
8 13 4 5 4 16:14 2 17
D W L L D
9 13 4 5 4 14:14 0 17
D D D W W
10 13 3 6 4 15:17 -2 15
W D L W D
11 13 4 2 7 13:23 -10 14
L L L W D
12 13 3 2 8 14:22 -8 11
D L W L D
13 13 2 3 8 15:25 -10 9
D L W L L
14 13 0 4 9 9:26 -17 4
L L L L L
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular)