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Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Trujillanos FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Estudiantes de Merida FC Win 88%
Draw 6%
Trujillanos FC Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estudiantes de Merida FC1.49
Trujillanos FC1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estudiantes de Merida FC Estudiantes de Merida FC
L L W L D
5 GF / 6 GA
Trujillanos FC Trujillanos FC
L L W L L
7 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
0.92
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.96
15
BTTS Yes
13
14
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estudiantes de Merida FC Estudiantes de Merida FC 30 matches
Trujillanos FC Trujillanos FC 24 matches
Estudiantes de Merida FC Statistic Trujillanos FC
11 Wins 3
5 Draws 5
14 Losses 16
35 Goals For 22
39 Goals Against 47
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 0.92
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.96
15 BTTS Yes 13
22 Over 1.5 18
14 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 3
10 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Estudiantes de Merida FC's more proactive style and Trujillanos FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Trujillanos FC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Trujillanos FC. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Estudiantes de Merida FC expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Trujillanos FC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Trujillanos FC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Estudiantes de Merida FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 32 points compared to Trujillanos FC in 14 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Estudiantes de Merida FC Analysis

So far, Estudiantes de Merida FC have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 32 points from 21 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 29:27 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Trujillanos FC Analysis

With 11 points from 21 games and a place of 14, Trujillanos FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 14 defeats with a 16:38 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Estudiantes de Merida FC won 6 times, Trujillanos FC won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:10 from Estudiantes de Merida FC's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.69 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
Predicted formations: Estudiantes de Merida FC 4-3-3 / Trujillanos FC 4-4-2
H2H summary: Estudiantes de Merida FC wins 6, draws 5, Trujillanos FC wins 2

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 17 6 3 47:21 26 57
D W W W W
2 26 15 6 5 47:29 18 51
D W W D L
3 26 12 8 6 37:24 13 44
L D L L L
4 26 10 11 5 38:24 14 41
D W D W W
5 26 10 10 6 35:26 9 40
D W W D L
6 26 9 12 5 34:24 10 39
D D L W D
7 26 11 6 9 37:35 2 39
D L D W W
8 26 10 7 9 36:34 2 37
D L D L W
9 26 7 11 8 30:33 -3 32
W W D L L
10 26 8 5 13 31:39 -8 29
D W D W W
11 26 6 7 13 26:41 -15 25
L L L L L
12 26 7 4 15 31:52 -21 25
L L D W D
13 26 4 6 16 23:46 -23 18
W L D L W
14 26 4 5 17 23:47 -24 17
W L D L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga FUTVE 2