PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
20.02.2026 20:45
Estádio José Gomes
Referee: G. Correia
Estrela
Match Timeline
Tondela
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Cicero
Tondela
⚽
4'
Bebeto
Tondela
🔄
18'
M. Aiko ↔ H. Felix
Tondela
🟨
41'
Eddy Doué
Estrela
🔄
46'
Otavio ↔ M. Scholze
Estrela
🔄
46'
G. Doue ↔ B. Brahimi
Estrela
VAR
60'
Paulo Moreira
Estrela
🟨
61'
Paulo Moreira
Estrela
🟨
62'
Joe Hodge
Tondela
🔄
65'
K. Jansson ↔ I. Stoica
Estrela
🔄
67'
Cicero ↔ H. Tavares
Tondela
🔄
67'
J. Hodge ↔ S. Sithole
Tondela
🟨
69'
Siphephelo Sithole
Tondela
🔄
73'
Jovane ↔ Rodrigo Pinho
Estrela
🔄
73'
J. Encada ↔ T. Moustier
Estrela
⚽
75'
Pedro Maranhao
Tondela
🟨
87'
Brayan Medina
Tondela
🔄
89'
Bebeto ↔ J. Afonso
Tondela
🔄
89'
Pedro Maranhao ↔ T. Manso
Tondela
🟥
90+5'
Luan Patrick
Estrela

Estrela vs Tondela Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Estrela Win 0%
Draw 0%
Tondela Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estrela1.36
Tondela1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estrela Estrela
WWDLW
26 GF / 39 GA
Tondela Tondela
WLDWL
15 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
0.68
1.77
Average Goals Conceded
1.64
11
BTTS Yes
8
12
Over 2.5
12
3.5
Shots on Goal
3.41

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estrela Estrela 22 matches
Tondela Tondela 22 matches
Estrela Statistic Tondela
5 Wins 3
8 Draws 6
9 Losses 13
26 Goals For 15
39 Goals Against 36
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 0.68
1.77 Avg Goals Conceded 1.64
11 BTTS Yes 8
17 Over 1.5 14
12 Over 2.5 12
9 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 3
9 Failed To Score 13
3.5 Shots On Goal 3.41
10.41 Total Shots 10.64
3.09 Corners 3.95
46.9% Ball Possession 41.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Estrela won 0 times, Tondela won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:3 from Estrela's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Estrela 4-1-4-1 / Tondela 5-4-1
H2H summary: Estrela wins 0, draws 3, Tondela wins 1

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 4 2 66:18 48 88
W L W W W
2 34 25 7 2 89:24 65 82
W W W D D
3 34 23 11 0 74:25 49 80
W D D W W
4 34 16 11 7 64:36 28 59
D D D L W
5 34 15 11 8 42:29 13 56
W D D W D
6 34 13 11 10 47:38 9 50
L L D W L
7 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
D L W L W
8 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
W W D L W
9 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
L L L W W
10 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
L D D L L
11 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
L D L W L
12 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
D L D L D
13 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
L W D W D
14 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
W L L W W
15 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
D D L L L
16 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
D W L L L
17 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
L W W D L
18 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21
D W W D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2