PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio José Gomes
Referee: G. Correia
Estrela
Match Timeline
Tondela
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Cicero
Tondela
4'
Bebeto
Tondela
🔄
18'
M. Aiko ↔ H. Felix
Tondela
🟨
41'
Eddy Doué
Estrela
🔄
46'
Otavio ↔ M. Scholze
Estrela
🔄
46'
G. Doue ↔ B. Brahimi
Estrela
VAR
60'
Paulo Moreira
Estrela
🟨
61'
Paulo Moreira
Estrela
🟨
62'
Joe Hodge
Tondela
🔄
65'
K. Jansson ↔ I. Stoica
Estrela
🔄
67'
Cicero ↔ H. Tavares
Tondela
🔄
67'
J. Hodge ↔ S. Sithole
Tondela
🟨
69'
Siphephelo Sithole
Tondela
🔄
73'
Jovane ↔ Rodrigo Pinho
Estrela
🔄
73'
J. Encada ↔ T. Moustier
Estrela
75'
Pedro Maranhao
Tondela
🟨
87'
Brayan Medina
Tondela
🔄
89'
Bebeto ↔ J. Afonso
Tondela
🔄
89'
Pedro Maranhao ↔ T. Manso
Tondela
🟥
90+5'
Luan Patrick
Estrela

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Estrela Win 0%
Draw 0%
Tondela Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estrela1.36
Tondela1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estrela Estrela
WWDLW
26 GF / 39 GA
Tondela Tondela
WLDWL
15 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
0.68
1.77
Average Goals Conceded
1.64
11
BTTS Yes
8
12
Over 2.5
12
3.5
Shots on Goal
3.41

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estrela Estrela 22 matches
Tondela Tondela 22 matches
Estrela Statistic Tondela
5 Wins 3
8 Draws 6
9 Losses 13
26 Goals For 15
39 Goals Against 36
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 0.68
1.77 Avg Goals Conceded 1.64
11 BTTS Yes 8
17 Over 1.5 14
12 Over 2.5 12
9 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 3
9 Failed To Score 13
3.5 Shots On Goal 3.41
10.41 Total Shots 10.64
3.09 Corners 3.95
46.9% Ball Possession 41.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Estrela won 0 times, Tondela won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:3 from Estrela's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Estrela 4-1-4-1 / Tondela 5-4-1
H2H summary: Estrela wins 0, draws 3, Tondela wins 1
Stats
Estrela Estrela
Tondela Tondela
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
4
5 Corner Kicks 3
12 Fouls 17
2 Offsides 0
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Goal 5
8 Shots off Goal 2
4 Blocked Shots 4
5 Shots insidebox 7
10 Shots outsidebox 4
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
486 Total passes 245
439 Passes accurate 189
1.13 expected_goals 1.29
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Estrela
Formation
Tondela
R. Ribeiro
R. Ribeiro
J. Encada
J. Encada
Luan Patrick
Luan Patrick
S. Lekovic
S. Lekovic
Otavio
Otavio
K. Jansson
K. Jansson
A. Marcus
A. Marcus
G. Doue
G. Doue
P. Moreira
P. Moreira
Jovane
Jovane
S. van Hooijdonk
S. van Hooijdonk
Bernardo
Bernardo
Bebeto
Bebeto
J. Silva
J. Silva
C. Marques
C. Marques
B. Medina
B. Medina
R. Conceicao
R. Conceicao
Pedro Maranhao
Pedro Maranhao
J. Hodge
J. Hodge
Cicero
Cicero
M. Aiko
M. Aiko
B. Kimpioka
B. Kimpioka
Estrela 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
40
R. Ribeiro
G
17
J. Encada
↓ 73'
D
30
Luan Patrick
🟥 90+5'
D
4
S. Lekovic
D
83
Otavio
↓ 46'
D
6
K. Jansson
↓ 65'
M
99
A. Marcus
M
39
G. Doue
↓ 46' 🟨 41'
M
19
P. Moreira
🟨 61'
M
11
Jovane
↓ 73'
M
20
S. van Hooijdonk
F
Substitutes
13
Dudu
G
3
Ni
D
7
L. Antonetti
F
9
Rodrigo Pinho
↑ 73'
F
10
I. Stoica
↑ 65'
F
21
M. Scholze
↑ 46'
D
26
B. Brahimi
↑ 46'
F
28
T. Moustier
↑ 73'
M
63
A. Sola
M
Tondela 5-4-1
Starting XI
31
Bernardo
G
2
Bebeto
⚽ 4' ↓ 89'
D
44
J. Silva
D
4
C. Marques
D
20
B. Medina
🟨 87'
D
27
R. Conceicao
D
7
Pedro Maranhao
⚽ 75' ↓ 89'
M
10
J. Hodge
↓ 67' 🟨 62'
M
97
Cicero
↓ 67' 🟨 -5'
M
90
M. Aiko
↓ 18'
M
23
B. Kimpioka
F
Substitutes
30
L. Canizares
G
5
J. Afonso
↑ 89'
D
8
H. Tavares
↑ 67'
M
15
S. Sithole
↑ 67' 🟨 69'
M
16
Rony Lopes
F
32
J. Rodriguez
M
48
T. Manso
↑ 89'
D
70
M. Ouattara
79
H. Felix
↑ 18'
M
Last matches: Estrela
08.08.26
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
2
2
D
01.08.26
Fri
Estrela
Al-Nassr
4
2
W
29.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Lusitano Évora 1911
1
0
W
29.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Portimonense
1
1
D
23.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Nacional
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Casa Pia
1
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Naval 1893
2
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Estrela
SC Braga
2
2
D
11.05.26
Pri
Estrela
Famalicao
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
Estrela
Moreirense
2
3
L
26.04.26
Pri
Estrela
FC Porto
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Arouca
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Nacional
0
2
L
20.03.26
Pri
Estrela
Casa Pia
4
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Estrela
Rio Ave
1
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Estrela
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pri
Estrela
AVS
0
0
D
14.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Vitória SC
1
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Santa Clara
1
0
W
Last matches: Tondela
01.08.26
Fri
Tondela
Rio Ave
1
3
L
29.07.26
Fri
Tondela
São João Ver
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Tondela
Beira-Mar
1
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
Tondela
Famalicao
0
1
L
22.07.26
Fri
Tondela
Academica
2
1
W
19.07.26
Fri
Tondela
Nacional
1
1
D
15.07.26
Fri
Tondela
Varzim
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Tondela
Arouca
1
3
L
11.05.26
Pri
Tondela
Moreirense
2
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Tondela
Casa Pia
1
0
W
29.04.26
Pri
Tondela
Sporting CP
2
2
D
25.04.26
Pri
Tondela
Nacional
0
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Tondela
FC Porto
0
2
L
13.04.26
Pri
Tondela
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
03.04.26
Pri
Tondela
Vitória SC
0
5
L
21.03.26
Pri
Tondela
AVS
0
0
D
09.03.26
Pri
Tondela
Rio Ave
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pri
Tondela
Santa Clara
2
2
D
13.02.26
Pri
Tondela
Alverca
1
1
D
07.02.26
Pri
Tondela
Estoril
2
2
D
H2H: Estrela vs Tondela
20.02.26
H2H
Estrela
Tondela
0
2
L
21.09.25
H2H
Tondela
Estrela
0
0
D
26.02.23
H2H
Estrela
Tondela
0
0
D
05.09.22
H2H
Tondela
Estrela
1
1
D
Last matches: Estrela
08.08.26
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
2
2
D
01.08.26
Fri
Estrela
Al-Nassr
4
2
W
29.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Lusitano Évora 1911
1
0
W
29.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Portimonense
1
1
D
23.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Nacional
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Casa Pia
1
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Naval 1893
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Estrela
Famalicao
0
0
D
26.04.26
Pri
Estrela
FC Porto
1
2
L
11.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
0
1
L
20.03.26
Pri
Estrela
Casa Pia
4
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Estrela
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
07.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Santa Clara
1
0
W
19.01.26
Pri
Estrela
Estoril
0
5
L
06.01.26
Fri
Estrela
VfL Wolfsburg
1
1
D
03.01.26
Pri
Estrela
SC Braga
3
3
D
20.12.25
Pri
Estrela
Moreirense
0
0
D
07.12.25
Pri
Estrela
Arouca
3
1
W
09.11.25
Pri
Estrela
Nacional
1
1
D
25.10.25
Pri
Estrela
Rio Ave
1
2
L
H2H at home: Estrela
20.02.26
H2H
Estrela
Tondela
0
2
L
26.02.23
H2H
Estrela
Tondela
0
0
D
Last matches: Tondela
01.08.26
Fri
Tondela
Rio Ave
1
3
L
25.07.26
Fri
Tondela
Famalicao
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pri
Tondela
Arouca
1
3
L
03.05.26
Pri
Tondela
Casa Pia
1
0
W
29.04.26
Pri
Tondela
Sporting CP
2
2
D
19.04.26
Pri
Tondela
FC Porto
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
Tondela
Vitória SC
0
5
L
07.02.26
Pri
Tondela
Estoril
2
2
D
25.01.26
Pri
Tondela
Famalicao
0
3
L
11.01.26
Pri
Tondela
Moreirense
0
1
L
15.12.25
Pri
Tondela
Nacional
1
3
L
29.11.25
Pri
Tondela
GIL Vicente
1
0
W
02.11.25
Pri
Tondela
AVS
2
2
D
05.10.25
Pri
Tondela
Rio Ave
0
3
L
27.09.25
Pri
Tondela
Santa Clara
2
1
W
12.09.25
Pri
Tondela
Alverca
0
1
L
23.08.25
Pri
Tondela
Benfica
0
3
L
10.08.25
Pri
Tondela
SC Braga
0
3
L
H2H away: Tondela
20.02.26
H2H
Estrela
Tondela
0
2
W
26.02.23
H2H
Estrela
Tondela
0
0
D