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PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
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Estrela
NS
Sporting CP

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Estrela Win 45%
Draw 11.8%
Sporting CP Win 43.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estrela0.97
Sporting CP2.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estrela Estrela
WWDLW
9 GF / 5 GA
Sporting CP Sporting CP
WLDWL
17 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
4.25
0.71
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
4
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estrela Estrela 7 matches
Sporting CP Sporting CP 4 matches
Estrela Statistic Sporting CP
3 Wins 4
3 Draws 0
1 Losses 0
9 Goals For 17
5 Goals Against 2
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 4.25
0.71 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
4 BTTS Yes 2
6 Over 1.5 4
1 Over 2.5 3
0 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Estrela won 0 times, Sporting CP won 7 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:22 from Estrela's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.86 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.2%)
H2H summary: Estrela wins 0, draws 0, Sporting CP wins 7
Last matches: Estrela
29.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Maritimo
1
1
D
29.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Lusitano Évora 1911
1
0
W
29.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Portimonense
1
1
D
23.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Nacional
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Casa Pia
1
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Naval 1893
2
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Estrela
SC Braga
2
2
D
11.05.26
Pri
Estrela
Famalicao
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
Estrela
Moreirense
2
3
L
26.04.26
Pri
Estrela
FC Porto
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Arouca
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Nacional
0
2
L
20.03.26
Pri
Estrela
Casa Pia
4
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Estrela
Rio Ave
1
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Estrela
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pri
Estrela
AVS
0
0
D
20.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Tondela
0
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Guimaraes
1
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Santa Clara
1
0
W
Last matches: Sporting CP
31.07.26
Fri
Sporting CP
Nottingham Forest
4
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Sporting CP
Monaco
2
0
W
20.07.26
Fri
Sporting CP
Strasbourg
7
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Sporting CP
Celtic
4
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
3
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
4
1
W
04.05.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Guimaraes
5
1
W
29.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Tondela
2
2
D
26.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
AVS
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Benfica
1
2
L
15.04.26
UEF
Sporting CP
Arsenal
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Estrela
1
0
W
07.04.26
UEF
Sporting CP
Arsenal
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Santa Clara
4
2
W
22.03.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Alverca
4
1
W
17.03.26
UEF
Sporting CP
Bodo/Glimt
5
0
W
11.03.26
UEF
Sporting CP
Bodo/Glimt
0
3
L
07.03.26
Pri
Sporting CP
SC Braga
2
2
D
27.02.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Estoril
3
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Moreirense
3
0
W
H2H: Estrela vs Sporting CP
11.04.26
H2H
Estrela
Sporting CP
0
1
L
30.11.25
H2H
Sporting CP
Estrela
4
0
L
29.03.25
H2H
Estrela
Sporting CP
0
3
L
01.11.24
H2H
Sporting CP
Estrela
5
1
L
29.03.24
H2H
Estrela
Sporting CP
1
2
L
05.11.23
H2H
Sporting CP
Estrela
3
2
L
14.07.23
H2H
Estrela
Sporting CP
1
4
L
Last matches: Estrela
29.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Lusitano Évora 1911
1
0
W
29.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Portimonense
1
1
D
23.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Nacional
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Casa Pia
1
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Naval 1893
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Estrela
Famalicao
0
0
D
26.04.26
Pri
Estrela
FC Porto
1
2
L
11.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
0
1
L
20.03.26
Pri
Estrela
Casa Pia
4
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Estrela
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
20.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Tondela
0
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Santa Clara
1
0
W
19.01.26
Pri
Estrela
Estoril
0
5
L
06.01.26
Fri
Estrela
VfL Wolfsburg
1
1
D
03.01.26
Pri
Estrela
SC Braga
3
3
D
20.12.25
Pri
Estrela
Moreirense
0
0
D
07.12.25
Pri
Estrela
Arouca
3
1
W
09.11.25
Pri
Estrela
Nacional
1
1
D
25.10.25
Pri
Estrela
Rio Ave
1
2
L
27.09.25
Pri
Estrela
AVS
3
0
W
H2H at home: Estrela
11.04.26
H2H
Estrela
Sporting CP
0
1
L
29.03.25
H2H
Estrela
Sporting CP
0
3
L
29.03.24
H2H
Estrela
Sporting CP
1
2
L
14.07.23
H2H
Estrela
Sporting CP
1
4
L
Last matches: Sporting CP
11.05.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
4
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
AVS
1
1
D
15.04.26
UEF
Sporting CP
Arsenal
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Estrela
1
0
W
22.03.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Alverca
4
1
W
11.03.26
UEF
Sporting CP
Bodo/Glimt
0
3
L
07.03.26
Pri
Sporting CP
SC Braga
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Moreirense
3
0
W
09.02.26
Pri
Sporting CP
FC Porto
1
1
D
28.01.26
UEF
Sporting CP
Athletic Club
3
2
W
24.01.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Arouca
2
1
W
02.01.26
Pri
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
1
1
D
23.12.25
Pri
Sporting CP
Guimaraes
4
1
W
09.12.25
UEF
Sporting CP
Bayern München
1
3
L
05.12.25
Pri
Sporting CP
Benfica
1
1
D
08.11.25
Pri
Sporting CP
Santa Clara
2
1
W
04.11.25
UEF
Sporting CP
Juventus
1
1
D
26.10.25
Pri
Sporting CP
Tondela
3
0
W
01.10.25
UEF
Sporting CP
Napoli
1
2
L
27.09.25
Pri
Sporting CP
Estoril
1
0
W
H2H away: Sporting CP
11.04.26
H2H
Estrela
Sporting CP
0
1
W
29.03.25
H2H
Estrela
Sporting CP
0
3
W
29.03.24
H2H
Estrela
Sporting CP
1
2
W
14.07.23
H2H
Estrela
Sporting CP
1
4
W

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Estrela Home
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2
Guimaraes
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
3
Estoril
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4
GIL Vicente
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
5
Rio Ave
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
6
Santa Clara
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
7
Moreirense
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
8
FC Porto
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
9
Sporting CP Away
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
10
Benfica
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
11
Maritimo
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
12
SC Braga
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
13
Nacional
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
14
Arouca
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
15
Casa Pia
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
16
Academico Viseu
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
17
Alverca
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
18
Famalicao
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2