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PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Estrela
FT
2 - 2
Sporting CP
Estádio José Gomes
Referee: J. Goncalves
Estrela
Match Timeline
Sporting CP
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
46'
R. Zalazar · Assist: G. Catamo
Sporting CP
🟨
52'
Eddy Doué
Estrela
⚽
59'
F. Ioannidis · Assist: R. Zalazar
Sporting CP
🔄
61'
F. Ioannidis ↔ L. Suarez
Sporting CP
🔄
61'
F. Goncalves ↔ S. Andersen
Sporting CP
🔄
65'
S. Serra ↔ Robinho
Estrela
🟨
67'
Luis Javier Suárez
Sporting CP
⚽
72'
L. Antonetti · Assist: I. Stoica
Estrela
🔄
74'
I. Stoica ↔ B. Souza
Estrela
🔄
74'
M. Scholze ↔ J. Encada
Estrela
🔄
78'
G. Catamo ↔ Luis Guilherme
Sporting CP
🔄
78'
G. Vagiannidis ↔ I. Fresneda
Sporting CP
🔄
82'
I. Doumbia ↔ J. Derry
Sporting CP
⚽
84'
R. Silva
Estrela
🔄
89'
L. Antonetti ↔ S. van Hooijdonk
Estrela
🔄
89'
A. Marcus ↔ Alisson Souza
Estrela
🟨
90+2'
Bénito
Estrela
🟨
90+2'
Jesse Derry
Sporting CP

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.2%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Estrela Win 45%
Draw 11.8%
Sporting CP Win 43.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estrela1.23
Sporting CP2.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estrela Estrela
WWDLW
12 GF / 6 GA
Sporting CP Sporting CP
WLDWL
17 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
4.25
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
4
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estrela Estrela 7 matches
Sporting CP Sporting CP 4 matches
Estrela Statistic Sporting CP
4 Wins 4
2 Draws 0
1 Losses 0
12 Goals For 17
6 Goals Against 2
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 4.25
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
4 BTTS Yes 2
6 Over 1.5 4
2 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Estrela won 0 times, Sporting CP won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:24 from Estrela's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.88 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.2%)
Predicted formations: Estrela 4-2-3-1 / Sporting CP 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Estrela wins 0, draws 1, Sporting CP wins 7
Stats
Estrela Estrela
Sporting CP Sporting CP
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
8
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
2
5 Corner Kicks 4
13 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 2
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Goal 8
3 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 2
5 Shots insidebox 11
4 Shots outsidebox 4
6 Goalkeeper Saves 2
350 Total passes 444
278 Passes accurate 392
1.01 expected_goals 2.63
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Estrela
Formation
Sporting CP
Leo Linck
Leo Linck
M. Scholze
↓
M. Scholze
Luan Patrick
Luan Patrick
Bernardo Schappo
Bernardo Schappo
Rafa Soares
Rafa Soares
S. Serra
↓
S. Serra
G. Doue
G. Doue
A. Marcus
↓
A. Marcus
L. Zvonarek
L. Zvonarek
I. Stoica
🎯 ↓
I. Stoica
L. Antonetti
⚽ ↓
L. Antonetti
R. Silva
⚽
R. Silva
G. Vagiannidis
↓
G. Vagiannidis
E. Quaresma
E. Quaresma
G. Inacio
G. Inacio
R. Dias
R. Dias
S. Altimira
S. Altimira
I. Doumbia
↓
I. Doumbia
G. Catamo
🎯 ↓
G. Catamo
R. Zalazar
⚽ 🎯
R. Zalazar
F. Goncalves
↓
F. Goncalves
F. Ioannidis
⚽ ↓
F. Ioannidis
Estrela 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
24
Leo Linck
G
21
M. Scholze
↓ 74'
D
30
Luan Patrick
D
4
Bernardo Schappo
D
55
Rafa Soares
D
78
S. Serra
↓ 65'
M
39
G. Doue
🟨 52'
M
99
A. Marcus
↓ 89'
M
14
L. Zvonarek
M
10
I. Stoica
🎯 72' ↓ 74'
M
37
L. Antonetti
⚽ 72' ↓ 89'
F
Substitutes
22
D. Grilo
G
51
D. Pinto
G
9
S. van Hooijdonk
↑ 89'
F
79
A. Chernev
D
28
T. Moustier
M
93
B. Souza
↑ 74' 🟨 90+2'
M
71
E. Pedro Vanga
M
17
J. Encada
↑ 74'
D
8
Robinho
↑ 65'
M
3
L. Mincarelli
D
80
Alisson Souza
↑ 89'
F
72
H. Poniewas
F
Sporting CP 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
R. Silva
⚽ 84'
G
13
G. Vagiannidis
↓ 78'
D
72
E. Quaresma
D
25
G. Inacio
D
50
R. Dias
D
5
S. Altimira
M
77
I. Doumbia
↓ 82'
M
10
G. Catamo
🎯 46' ↓ 78'
M
17
R. Zalazar
⚽ 46' 🎯 59'
M
58
F. Goncalves
↓ 61'
M
7
F. Ioannidis
⚽ 59' ↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
12
J. Virginia
G
41
Diego Callai
G
97
L. Suarez
↑ 61' 🟨 67'
F
4
S. Andersen
↑ 61'
M
21
Pedro Lima
M
26
O. Diomande
D
9
R. Nel
F
31
Luis Guilherme
↑ 78'
F
73
E. Felicissimo
M
22
I. Fresneda
↑ 78'
D
28
J. Derry
↑ 82' 🟨 90+2'
F
Last matches: Estrela
15.08.26
Pri
Estrela
Alverca
2
2
D
01.08.26
Fri
Estrela
Al-Nassr
4
2
W
29.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Lusitano Évora 1911
1
0
W
29.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Portimonense
1
1
D
23.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Nacional
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Casa Pia
1
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Naval 1893
2
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Estrela
SC Braga
2
2
D
11.05.26
Pri
Estrela
Famalicao
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
Estrela
Moreirense
2
3
L
26.04.26
Pri
Estrela
FC Porto
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Arouca
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Nacional
0
2
L
20.03.26
Pri
Estrela
Casa Pia
4
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Estrela
Rio Ave
1
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Estrela
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pri
Estrela
AVS
0
0
D
20.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Tondela
0
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Vitória SC
1
2
L
Last matches: Sporting CP
14.08.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Vitória SC
3
2
W
31.07.26
Fri
Sporting CP
Nottingham Forest
4
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Sporting CP
Monaco
2
0
W
20.07.26
Fri
Sporting CP
Strasbourg
7
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Sporting CP
Celtic
4
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
3
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
4
1
W
04.05.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Vitória SC
5
1
W
29.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Tondela
2
2
D
26.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
AVS
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Benfica
1
2
L
15.04.26
UEF
Sporting CP
Arsenal
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Estrela
1
0
W
07.04.26
UEF
Sporting CP
Arsenal
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Santa Clara
4
2
W
22.03.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Alverca
4
1
W
17.03.26
UEF
Sporting CP
Bodo/Glimt
5
0
W
11.03.26
UEF
Sporting CP
Bodo/Glimt
0
3
L
07.03.26
Pri
Sporting CP
SC Braga
2
2
D
27.02.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Estoril
3
0
W
H2H: Estrela vs Sporting CP
08.08.26
H2H
Estrela
Sporting CP
2
2
D
11.04.26
H2H
Estrela
Sporting CP
0
1
L
30.11.25
H2H
Sporting CP
Estrela
4
0
L
29.03.25
H2H
Estrela
Sporting CP
0
3
L
01.11.24
H2H
Sporting CP
Estrela
5
1
L
29.03.24
H2H
Estrela
Sporting CP
1
2
L
05.11.23
H2H
Sporting CP
Estrela
3
2
L
14.07.23
H2H
Estrela
Sporting CP
1
4
L
Last matches: Estrela
01.08.26
Fri
Estrela
Al-Nassr
4
2
W
29.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Lusitano Évora 1911
1
0
W
29.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Portimonense
1
1
D
23.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Nacional
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Casa Pia
1
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Naval 1893
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Estrela
Famalicao
0
0
D
26.04.26
Pri
Estrela
FC Porto
1
2
L
11.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
0
1
L
20.03.26
Pri
Estrela
Casa Pia
4
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Estrela
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
20.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Tondela
0
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Santa Clara
1
0
W
19.01.26
Pri
Estrela
Estoril
0
5
L
06.01.26
Fri
Estrela
VfL Wolfsburg
1
1
D
03.01.26
Pri
Estrela
SC Braga
3
3
D
20.12.25
Pri
Estrela
Moreirense
0
0
D
07.12.25
Pri
Estrela
Arouca
3
1
W
09.11.25
Pri
Estrela
Nacional
1
1
D
25.10.25
Pri
Estrela
Rio Ave
1
2
L
H2H at home: Estrela
08.08.26
H2H
Estrela
Sporting CP
2
2
D
11.04.26
H2H
Estrela
Sporting CP
0
1
L
29.03.25
H2H
Estrela
Sporting CP
0
3
L
29.03.24
H2H
Estrela
Sporting CP
1
2
L
14.07.23
H2H
Estrela
Sporting CP
1
4
L
Last matches: Sporting CP
11.05.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
4
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
AVS
1
1
D
15.04.26
UEF
Sporting CP
Arsenal
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Estrela
1
0
W
22.03.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Alverca
4
1
W
11.03.26
UEF
Sporting CP
Bodo/Glimt
0
3
L
07.03.26
Pri
Sporting CP
SC Braga
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Moreirense
3
0
W
09.02.26
Pri
Sporting CP
FC Porto
1
1
D
28.01.26
UEF
Sporting CP
Athletic Club
3
2
W
24.01.26
Pri
Sporting CP
Arouca
2
1
W
02.01.26
Pri
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
1
1
D
23.12.25
Pri
Sporting CP
Vitória SC
4
1
W
09.12.25
UEF
Sporting CP
Bayern München
1
3
L
05.12.25
Pri
Sporting CP
Benfica
1
1
D
08.11.25
Pri
Sporting CP
Santa Clara
2
1
W
04.11.25
UEF
Sporting CP
Juventus
1
1
D
26.10.25
Pri
Sporting CP
Tondela
3
0
W
01.10.25
UEF
Sporting CP
Napoli
1
2
L
27.09.25
Pri
Sporting CP
Estoril
1
0
W
H2H away: Sporting CP
08.08.26
H2H
Estrela
Sporting CP
2
2
D
11.04.26
H2H
Estrela
Sporting CP
0
1
W
29.03.25
H2H
Estrela
Sporting CP
0
3
W
29.03.24
H2H
Estrela
Sporting CP
1
2
W
14.07.23
H2H
Estrela
Sporting CP
1
4
W

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Arouca
2 2 0 0 5:0 5 6
W W
2
FC Porto
2 2 0 0 4:0 4 6
W W
3
Maritimo
2 2 0 0 3:1 2 6
W W
4
Benfica
2 1 1 0 9:2 7 4
W D
5
Nacional
2 1 1 0 4:2 2 4
W D
6
Santa Clara
2 1 1 0 3:2 1 4
W D
7
Sporting CP Away
2 1 1 0 5:4 1 4
W D
8
GIL Vicente
1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
9
Estrela Home
2 0 2 0 4:4 0 2
D D
10
SC Braga
1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
11
Academico Viseu
2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
L D
12
Famalicao
2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
L D
13
Estoril
2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
L D
14
Alverca
2 0 1 1 2:4 -2 1
D L
15
Moreirense
2 0 1 1 2:6 -4 1
L D
16
Vitória SC
2 0 0 2 2:4 -2 0
L L
17
Rio Ave
2 0 0 2 0:3 -3 0
L L
18
Casa Pia
2 0 0 2 0:8 -8 0
L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2