PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
08.08.2026 19:30
Estádio José Gomes
Referee: Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves, Portugal
Estrela
Match Timeline
Sporting CP
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
46'
R. Zalazar · Assist: G. Catamo
Sporting CP
🟨
52'
Eddy Doué
Estrela
59'
F. Ioannidis · Assist: R. Zalazar
Sporting CP
🔄
61'
F. Ioannidis ↔ L. Suarez
Sporting CP
🔄
61'
F. Goncalves ↔ S. Andersen
Sporting CP
🔄
65'
S. Serra ↔ Robinho
Estrela
🟨
67'
Luis Javier Suárez
Sporting CP
72'
L. Antonetti · Assist: I. Stoica
Estrela
🔄
74'
I. Stoica ↔ B. Souza
Estrela
🔄
74'
M. Scholze ↔ J. Encada
Estrela
🔄
78'
G. Catamo ↔ Luis Guilherme
Sporting CP
🔄
78'
G. Vagiannidis ↔ I. Fresneda
Sporting CP
🔄
82'
I. Doumbia ↔ J. Derry
Sporting CP
84'
R. Silva
Estrela
🔄
89'
L. Antonetti ↔ S. van Hooijdonk
Estrela
🔄
89'
A. Marcus ↔ Alisson Souza
Estrela
🟨
90+2'
Bénito
Estrela
🟨
90+2'
Jesse Derry
Sporting CP

Estrela vs Sporting CP Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.2%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.2%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Estrela Win 45%
Draw 11.8%
Sporting CP Win 43.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estrela1.23
Sporting CP2.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estrela Estrela
WWDLW
12 GF / 6 GA
Sporting CP Sporting CP
WLDWL
17 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
4.25
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
4
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estrela Estrela 7 matches
Sporting CP Sporting CP 4 matches
Estrela Statistic Sporting CP
4 Wins 4
2 Draws 0
1 Losses 0
12 Goals For 17
6 Goals Against 2
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 4.25
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
4 BTTS Yes 2
6 Over 1.5 4
2 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Estrela won 0 times, Sporting CP won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:24 from Estrela's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.88 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.2%)
Predicted formations: Estrela 4-2-3-1 / Sporting CP 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Estrela wins 0, draws 1, Sporting CP wins 7

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 6 0 0 15:2 13 18
W W W W W
2 6 5 1 0 21:4 17 16
W W W W W
3 6 4 2 0 15:6 9 14
D W W W W
4 6 4 2 0 11:4 7 14
W W D W W
5 6 3 1 2 8:5 3 10
L D W L W
6 6 2 4 0 14:12 2 10
D W D W D
7 5 3 1 1 7:5 2 10
W L W W D
8 6 2 2 2 7:9 -2 8
W W L D L
9 5 2 1 2 4:4 0 7
L L D W W
10 6 2 1 3 7:11 -4 7
L L L D W
11 6 2 1 3 7:13 -6 7
W L L W L
12 6 1 2 3 8:11 -3 5
W L D L D
13 6 0 4 2 5:7 -2 4
D D D L L
14 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L W L
15 6 1 1 4 7:11 -4 4
L L L L W
16 6 1 1 4 5:14 -9 4
D L L W L
17 6 0 2 4 2:8 -6 2
L D L L L
18 6 0 1 5 1:15 -14 1
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2