PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
03.01.2026 18:00
Estádio José Gomes
Referee: H. Carvalho
Estrela
Match Timeline
SC Braga
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
10'
Vítor Carvalho
SC Braga
🟨
11'
Oumar Ngom
Estrela
12'
J. Moutinho
SC Braga
16'
Kikas · Assist: P. Moreira
Estrela
🟨
35'
Bright Arrey-Mbi
SC Braga
🔄
46'
Gabriel Moscardo ↔ R. Zalazar
SC Braga
🟨
49'
Jovane Cabral
Estrela
51'
F. Navarro
SC Braga
🔄
56'
A. Sola ↔ J. Meireles
Estrela
🔄
56'
Otavio ↔ G. Montoia
Estrela
64'
R. Zalazar
SC Braga
🔄
68'
J. Moutinho ↔ F. Grillitsch
SC Braga
🔄
68'
M. Dorgeles ↔ G. Martinez
SC Braga
69'
Jovane · Assist: J. Encada
Estrela
73'
A. Marcus
Estrela
🔄
77'
F. Navarro ↔ D. Rodrigues
SC Braga
🔄
79'
Kikas ↔ Rodrigo Pinho
Estrela
🔄
80'
Jovane ↔ I. Stoica
Estrela
🔄
88'
A. Marcus ↔ Alisson Souza
Estrela

Estrela vs SC Braga Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Estrela Win 0%
Draw 0%
SC Braga Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estrela1.07
SC Braga1.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estrela Estrela
WWDLW
20 GF / 24 GA
SC Braga SC Braga
WLDWL
52 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.86
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.79
8
BTTS Yes
12
8
Over 2.5
14
3.75
Shots on Goal
4.39

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estrela Estrela 16 matches
SC Braga SC Braga 28 matches
Estrela Statistic SC Braga
4 Wins 16
6 Draws 7
6 Losses 5
20 Goals For 52
24 Goals Against 22
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.86
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.79
8 BTTS Yes 12
12 Over 1.5 20
8 Over 2.5 14
6 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 13
7 Failed To Score 4
3.75 Shots On Goal 4.39
11.63 Total Shots 11.21
3.38 Corners 4.43
48.9% Ball Possession 50.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Estrela won 0 times, SC Braga won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:14 from Estrela's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.14 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Estrela 4-2-3-1 / SC Braga 3-4-3
H2H summary: Estrela wins 0, draws 4, SC Braga wins 3

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 4 2 66:18 48 88
W L W W W
2 34 25 7 2 89:24 65 82
W W W D D
3 34 23 11 0 74:25 49 80
W D D W W
4 34 16 11 7 64:36 28 59
D D D L W
5 34 15 11 8 42:29 13 56
W D D W D
6 34 13 11 10 47:38 9 50
L L D W L
7 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
D L W L W
8 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
W W D L W
9 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
L L L W W
10 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
L D D L L
11 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
L D L W L
12 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
D L D L D
13 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
L W D W D
14 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
W L L W W
15 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
D D L L L
16 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
D W L L L
17 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
L W W D L
18 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21
D W W D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2