Estrela vs Nacional Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home or Draw
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
70.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
76.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Estrela Win 45.9%
Draw 24.2%
Nacional Win 29.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estrela1.4
Nacional1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estrela
WWDLW
4 GF / 3 GA
Nacional
WLDWL
5 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
2
BTTS Yes
3
1
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Estrela
3 matches
Nacional
4 matches
| Estrela | Statistic | Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 0 |
| 1 | Draws | 3 |
| 1 | Losses | 1 |
| 4 | Goals For | 5 |
| 3 | Goals Against | 6 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 3 | Over 1.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Estrela won 4 times, Nacional won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:8 from Estrela's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.78 goals per game.
1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.8%)
Predicted formations: Estrela 4-2-3-1 / Nacional 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Estrela wins 4, draws 2, Nacional wins 3