Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home or Draw
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
70.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
76.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Estrela Win 45.9%
Draw 24.2%
Nacional Win 29.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estrela1.4
Nacional1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estrela
WWDLW
4 GF / 3 GA
Nacional
WLDWL
5 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
2
BTTS Yes
3
1
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Estrela
3 matches
Nacional
4 matches
| Estrela | Statistic | Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 0 |
| 1 | Draws | 3 |
| 1 | Losses | 1 |
| 4 | Goals For | 5 |
| 3 | Goals Against | 6 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 3 | Over 1.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Estrela won 4 times, Nacional won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:8 from Estrela's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.78 goals per game.
1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.8%)
Predicted formations: Estrela 4-3-3 / Nacional 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Estrela wins 4, draws 2, Nacional wins 3
Last matches: Estrela
15.08.26
Pri
Estrela
Alverca
2
2
D
08.08.26
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
2
2
D
01.08.26
Fri
Estrela
Al-Nassr
4
2
W
29.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Lusitano Évora 1911
1
0
W
29.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Portimonense
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Casa Pia
1
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Naval 1893
2
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Estrela
SC Braga
2
2
D
11.05.26
Pri
Estrela
Famalicao
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
Estrela
Moreirense
2
3
L
26.04.26
Pri
Estrela
FC Porto
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Arouca
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Nacional
0
2
L
20.03.26
Pri
Estrela
Casa Pia
4
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Estrela
Rio Ave
1
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Estrela
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pri
Estrela
AVS
0
0
D
20.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Tondela
0
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Vitória SC
1
2
L
Last matches: Nacional
23.08.26
Pri
Nacional
Vitória SC
0
1
L
16.08.26
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
2
0
W
10.08.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
2
2
D
22.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leganes
0
0
D
19.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Tondela
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leixoes
3
3
D
11.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Machico
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Vitória SC
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Nacional
AVS
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Benfica
0
2
L
04.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Estrela
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Arouca
0
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
L
H2H: Estrela vs Nacional
23.07.26
H2H
Estrela
Nacional
2
0
W
04.04.26
H2H
Nacional
Estrela
2
0
L
09.11.25
H2H
Estrela
Nacional
1
1
D
06.04.25
H2H
Nacional
Estrela
0
1
W
10.11.24
H2H
Estrela
Nacional
2
0
W
21.05.23
H2H
Estrela
Nacional
0
1
L
15.01.23
H2H
Nacional
Estrela
0
1
W
16.04.22
H2H
Estrela
Nacional
0
0
D
04.12.21
H2H
Nacional
Estrela
4
1
L
Last matches: Estrela
08.08.26
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
2
2
D
01.08.26
Fri
Estrela
Al-Nassr
4
2
W
29.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Lusitano Évora 1911
1
0
W
29.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Portimonense
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Casa Pia
1
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Naval 1893
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Estrela
Famalicao
0
0
D
26.04.26
Pri
Estrela
FC Porto
1
2
L
11.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
0
1
L
20.03.26
Pri
Estrela
Casa Pia
4
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Estrela
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
20.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Tondela
0
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Santa Clara
1
0
W
19.01.26
Pri
Estrela
Estoril
0
5
L
06.01.26
Fri
Estrela
VfL Wolfsburg
1
1
D
03.01.26
Pri
Estrela
SC Braga
3
3
D
20.12.25
Pri
Estrela
Moreirense
0
0
D
07.12.25
Pri
Estrela
Arouca
3
1
W
09.11.25
Pri
Estrela
Nacional
1
1
D
25.10.25
Pri
Estrela
Rio Ave
1
2
L
H2H at home: Estrela
23.07.26
H2H
Estrela
Nacional
2
0
W
09.11.25
H2H
Estrela
Nacional
1
1
D
10.11.24
H2H
Estrela
Nacional
2
0
W
21.05.23
H2H
Estrela
Nacional
0
1
L
16.04.22
H2H
Estrela
Nacional
0
0
D
Last matches: Nacional
23.08.26
Pri
Nacional
Vitória SC
0
1
L
10.08.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
2
2
D
19.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Tondela
1
1
D
11.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
0
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
2
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Benfica
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Arouca
0
3
L
01.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Sporting CP
1
2
L
17.01.26
Pri
Nacional
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
02.01.26
Pri
Nacional
Vitória SC
1
2
L
21.12.25
Pri
Nacional
AVS
2
2
D
07.12.25
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
0
1
L
09.11.25
Pri
Nacional
Estrela
1
1
D
26.10.25
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
1
1
D
28.09.25
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
0
W
13.09.25
Pri
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
L
30.08.25
Pri
Nacional
Casa Pia
2
0
W
17.08.25
Pri
Nacional
Rio Ave
1
1
D
H2H away: Nacional
23.07.26
H2H
Estrela
Nacional
2
0
L
09.11.25
H2H
Estrela
Nacional
1
1
D
10.11.24
H2H
Estrela
Nacional
2
0
L
21.05.23
H2H
Estrela
Nacional
0
1
W
16.04.22
H2H
Estrela
Nacional
0
0
D