Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
67.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
30.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Estrela
Famalicao
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Estrela
32 matches
Famalicao
32 matches
| Estrela | Statistic | Famalicao |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 14 |
| 10 | Draws | 10 |
| 16 | Losses | 8 |
| 36 | Goals For | 41 |
| 54 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.28 |
| 1.69 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.91 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 3.63 | Shots On Goal | 4.41 |
| 11.22 | Total Shots | 12.38 |
| 3.41 | Corners | 5.31 |
| 47.8% | Ball Possession | 51.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Famalicao's more proactive style and Estrela's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Estrela have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Famalicao. Famalicao carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 52 points while Estrela sit 15 on 28, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
Estrela approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 28 points from 32 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 10 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 36:54, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Jovane Cabral (7 goals), Kikas (6 goals), S. Lopes Cabral (6 goals), with creative support from S. Lopes Cabral (5 assists), A. Marcus (5 assists), I. Stoica (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Famalicao come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 52 points from 32 matches. Their overall return of 14 wins, 10 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 41:29 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. De Haas (5 goals), Sorriso (5 goals), G. Sa (4 goals), with creative support from Gil Dias (7 assists), Sorriso (4 assists), Pedro Santos (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Estrela won 2 times, Famalicao won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:5 from Estrela's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.
Estrela
1
4
1
8
2
3
Lineups
Estrela
SC Braga
Estrela
Moreirense
Estrela
FC Porto
Estrela
Arouca
Estrela
Sporting CP
Estrela
Nacional
Estrela
Casa Pia
Estrela
Rio Ave
Estrela
GIL Vicente
Estrela
AVS
Estrela
Tondela
Estrela
Guimaraes
Estrela
Santa Clara
Estrela
Alverca
Estrela
Benfica
Estrela
Estoril
Estrela
VfL Wolfsburg
Estrela
SC Braga
Estrela
Famalicao
Estrela
Moreirense
Famalicao
Alverca
Famalicao
Benfica
Famalicao
Estoril
Famalicao
SC Braga
Famalicao
Moreirense
Famalicao
FC Porto
Famalicao
Nacional
Famalicao
Guimaraes
Famalicao
Arouca
Famalicao
Rio Ave
Famalicao
Casa Pia
Famalicao
Sporting CP
Famalicao
AVS
Famalicao
GIL Vicente
Famalicao
Tondela
Famalicao
Santa Clara
Famalicao
Alverca
Famalicao
Estrela
Famalicao
Benfica
Famalicao
Estoril
Estrela
FC Porto
Estrela
Sporting CP
Estrela
Casa Pia
Estrela
GIL Vicente
Estrela
Tondela
Estrela
Santa Clara
Estrela
Estoril
Estrela
VfL Wolfsburg
Estrela
SC Braga
Estrela
Moreirense
Estrela
Arouca
Estrela
Nacional
Estrela
Rio Ave
Estrela
AVS
Estrela
Guimaraes
Estrela
Alverca
Estrela
Benfica
Famalicao
Estoril
Famalicao
SC Braga
Famalicao
FC Porto
Famalicao
Guimaraes
Famalicao
Rio Ave
Famalicao
Sporting CP
Famalicao
GIL Vicente
Famalicao
Santa Clara
Famalicao
Alverca
Famalicao
Benfica
Famalicao
Moreirense
Famalicao
Nacional
Famalicao
Arouca
Famalicao
Casa Pia
Famalicao
AVS
Famalicao
Tondela
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66:18 | 48 | 88 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89:24 | 65 | 82 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74:25 | 49 | 80 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64:36 | 28 | 59 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 |
Famalicao
Away
|
34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42:29 | 13 | 56 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
| 6 | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47:38 | 9 | 50 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:49 | -12 | 43 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47:64 | -17 | 42 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39:51 | -12 | 42 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54:57 | -3 | 39 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 39 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35:57 | -22 | 36 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | -9 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:45 | -8 | 34 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 |
Estrela
Home
|
34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:56 | -18 | 30 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
| 16 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31:57 | -26 | 30 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:55 | -28 | 28 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27:67 | -40 | 21 |
D
W
W
D
D
|