Estrela vs Casa Pia Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Estrela Win 0%
Draw 0%
Casa Pia Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estrela2.08
Casa Pia0.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estrela
WWDLW
26 GF / 20 GA
Casa Pia
WLDWL
7 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.86
Average Goals Scored
0.7
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
2.4
10
BTTS Yes
4
8
Over 2.5
5
4.43
Shots on Goal
2.71
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Estrela
14 matches
Casa Pia
10 matches
| Estrela | Statistic | Casa Pia |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 2 |
| 6 | Draws | 1 |
| 2 | Losses | 7 |
| 26 | Goals For | 7 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 1.86 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.7 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.4 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.43 | Shots On Goal | 2.71 |
| 13 | Total Shots | 10.29 |
| 4 | Corners | 4.14 |
| 49.4% | Ball Possession | 45% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Estrela won 5 times, Casa Pia won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:12 from Estrela's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Estrela 4-2-3-1 / Casa Pia 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Estrela wins 5, draws 1, Casa Pia wins 4
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 15 | 21 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:8 | 9 | 15 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 15 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 8 |
Estrela
Home
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 8 |
D
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:14 | -6 | 8 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 7 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 4 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 17 |
Casa Pia
Away
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:16 | -13 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
| 18 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2