PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA

07.09.2026 19:15

Estoril

0 - 0

Arouca

Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota

Referee: Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo, Portugal

Estoril

Match Timeline

Arouca

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Estoril vs Arouca Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Away Win

Probability 54.7%

Odds 2.96

BTTS

Probability 50.8%

Odds 2.05

Over / Under 2.5

Under 2.5

Probability 58.1%

Odds 1.98

0 agree / 1 disagree

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Away Win	54.7%	2.96	▥
BTTS	No	50.8%	2.05	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Under 2.5	58.1%	1.98	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	82.8%	1.27	▥
HT / FT	Draw / Away	-	6.50	▥
Correct Score	0-1	-	10.00	▥

Probability Distribution

Estoril Win 28.3%

Draw 17%

Arouca Win 54.7%

Expected Goals (xG)

Estoril0.81

Arouca1.17

Recent Form (Last 5)

Estoril

WWDLW

6 GF / 10 GA

Arouca

WLDWL

10 GF / 8 GA

Key Stats

0.75

Average Goals Scored

1.11

1.25

Average Goals Conceded

0.89

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estoril 8 matches

Arouca 9 matches

Estoril	Statistic	Arouca
1	Wins	4
3	Draws	2
4	Losses	3
6	Goals For	10
10	Goals Against	8
0.75	Avg Goals Scored	1.11
1.25	Avg Goals Conceded	0.89
3	BTTS Yes	2
7	Over 1.5	6
2	Over 2.5	4
0	Over 3.5	1
2	Clean Sheets	5
4	Failed To Score	4
4	Shots On Goal	4
11.25	Total Shots	10
4.25	Corners	2.75
45%	Ball Possession	48%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Estoril won 6 times, Arouca won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:24 from Estoril's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win

BTTS: No

Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (83%)

Predicted formations: Estoril 4-2-3-1 / Arouca 4-2-3-1

H2H summary: Estoril wins 6, draws 2, Arouca wins 7

Standings

Primeira Liga

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	FC Porto	6	6	0	0	15:2	13	18	W W W W W
2	Benfica	6	5	1	0	21:4	17	16	W W W W W
3	Sporting CP	6	4	2	0	15:6	9	14	D W W W W
4	Santa Clara	6	4	2	0	11:4	7	14	W W D W W
5	Arouca Away	6	3	1	2	8:5	3	10	L D W L W
6	Estrela	5	2	3	0	11:9	2	9	W D W D D
7	Academico Viseu	6	2	2	2	7:9	-2	8	W W L D L
8	SC Braga	4	2	1	1	6:5	1	7	L W W D
9	GIL Vicente	5	2	1	2	4:4	0	7	L L D W W
10	Maritimo	5	2	1	2	6:8	-2	7	L L D W W
11	Alverca	6	1	2	3	8:11	-3	5	W L D L D
12	Famalicao	6	0	4	2	5:7	-2	4	D D D L L
13	Vitória SC	6	1	1	4	4:7	-3	4	L D L W L
14	Nacional	6	1	1	4	7:11	-4	4	L L L L W
15	Moreirense	5	1	1	3	4:12	-8	4	L L W L D
16	Rio Ave	5	1	0	4	2:11	-9	3	L L W L L
17	Estoril Home	5	0	2	3	2:7	-5	2	D L L L D
18	Casa Pia	6	0	1	5	1:15	-14	1	L D L L L