Estoril
Match Timeline
Arouca
Estoril vs Arouca Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
No
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
0 agree /
1 disagree
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
54.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
50.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
82.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Estoril Win 28.3%
Draw 17%
Arouca Win 54.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estoril0.81
Arouca1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estoril
WWDLW
6 GF / 10 GA
Arouca
WLDWL
10 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
3
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
4
4
Shots on Goal
4
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Estoril
8 matches
Arouca
9 matches
| Estoril | Statistic | Arouca |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 4 |
| 3 | Draws | 2 |
| 4 | Losses | 3 |
| 6 | Goals For | 10 |
| 10 | Goals Against | 8 |
| 0.75 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.11 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.89 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 11.25 | Total Shots | 10 |
| 4.25 | Corners | 2.75 |
| 45% | Ball Possession | 48% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Estoril won 6 times, Arouca won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:24 from Estoril's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83%)
Predicted formations: Estoril 4-2-3-1 / Arouca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Estoril wins 6, draws 2, Arouca wins 7
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 20:4 | 16 | 24 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 24:7 | 17 | 19 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:9 | 11 | 18 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 18 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 |
Arouca
Away
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 14 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 11 |
W
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:15 | -1 | 10 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 8 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 7 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 7 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3:17 | -14 | 4 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 |
Estoril
Home
|
8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 2 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2