Login Register
07.09.2026 19:15
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Referee: F. Verissimo
Estoril
Match Timeline
Arouca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
30'
Antef Tsoungui
Estoril
🟨
45'
Ferro
Estoril
🔄
46'
A. Tsoungui ↔ J. Arnolin
Estoril
🔄
46'
E. van Ee ↔ Pedro Santos
Arouca
🟨
71'
Jordan Arnolin
Estoril
🟨
72'
João Carvalho
Estoril
🔄
75'
F. Garcia ↔ Peixinho
Estoril
🔄
75'
P. Gozalbez ↔ M. Flores
Arouca
🔄
75'
I. Barbero ↔ D. Nandin
Arouca
🔄
78'
A. Lacximicant ↔ R. Guitane
Estoril
🔄
79'
R. Sanchez ↔ P. Carvalho
Estoril
🔄
85'
J. Holsgrove ↔ T. Brito
Estoril
🔄
85'
A. Trezza ↔ B. Mansilla
Arouca
🟨
86'
Brian Mansilla
Arouca

Estoril vs Arouca Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.7%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.1%
Odds -
0 agree / 1 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.7%
- ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.8%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Estoril Win 28.3%
Draw 17%
Arouca Win 54.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estoril0.81
Arouca1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estoril Estoril
L L L D D
3 GF / 8 GA
Arouca Arouca
W L W W W
9 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
3
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
4
4
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estoril Estoril 8 matches
Arouca Arouca 9 matches
Estoril Statistic Arouca
1 Wins 4
3 Draws 2
4 Losses 3
6 Goals For 10
10 Goals Against 8
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
3 BTTS Yes 2
7 Over 1.5 6
2 Over 2.5 4
0 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 4
4 Shots On Goal 4
11.25 Total Shots 10
4.25 Corners 2.75
48.3% Ball Possession 48%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Estoril won 6 times, Arouca won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:24 from Estoril's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83%)
Predicted formations: Estoril 4-2-3-1 / Arouca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Estoril wins 6, draws 2, Arouca wins 7

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 10 0 0 25:4 21 30
W W W W W
2 10 8 1 1 27:8 19 25
W W W L W
3 10 6 3 1 23:11 12 21
W L W D D
4 10 6 3 1 15:6 9 21
W L W D W
5 10 6 2 2 13:7 6 20
W W W D L
6 10 6 2 2 15:12 3 20
W W W W W
7 10 4 3 3 8:7 1 15
D L W W D
8 10 4 2 4 12:11 1 14
W L L L D
9 10 4 2 4 13:17 -4 14
W W L D W
10 10 3 2 5 13:14 -1 11
L L W W W
11 10 2 4 4 14:14 0 10
L W L W D
12 10 2 4 4 15:19 -4 10
L L L L D
13 10 2 3 5 10:10 0 9
D W L D L
14 10 2 2 6 9:21 -12 8
L L L D L
15 10 2 1 7 10:19 -9 7
L W L L L
16 10 2 1 7 9:23 -14 7
L L W L D
17 10 2 1 7 5:19 -14 7
L W L W L
18 10 0 2 8 5:19 -14 2
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2