WORLD WORLD CUP - QUALIFICATION EUROPE
--.--.---- --:--
A. Le Coq Arena
Referee: I. Pajac
Estonia
Match Timeline
Moldova
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
12'
M. Kait
Estonia
🟨
29'
Oleg Reabciuk
Moldova
🟨
33'
Victor Bogaciuc
Moldova
🟨
44'
Karol Mets
Estonia
🔄
46'
M. Caimacov ↔ S. Bodisteanu
Moldova
🔄
46'
V. Bogaciuc ↔ M. Lupan
Moldova
🔄
59'
P. Kristal ↔ R. R. Shein
Estonia
🔄
59'
R. Saarma ↔ K. Mustmaa
Estonia
🔄
62'
A. Craciun ↔ M. Stefan
Moldova
🔄
62'
V. Rata ↔ I. Bors
Moldova
64'
S. Bodisteanu · Assist: V. Postolachi
Moldova
🔄
81'
D. Forov ↔ S. Platica
Moldova
🔄
82'
R. Sappinen ↔ A. Tamm
Estonia
🔄
86'
M. Kait ↔ M. Paalberg
Estonia
🟨
88'
Alex Matthias Tamm
Estonia
🟨
88'
Vladyslav Babohlo
Moldova

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Estonia Win 0%
Draw 0%
Moldova Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estonia1.61
Moldova1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estonia Estonia
WWDLW
9 GF / 25 GA
Moldova Moldova
WLDWL
8 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
0.89
2.08
Average Goals Conceded
2.89
5
BTTS Yes
2
8
Over 2.5
4
2.83
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estonia Estonia 12 matches
Moldova Moldova 9 matches
Estonia Statistic Moldova
2 Wins 3
1 Draws 0
9 Losses 6
9 Goals For 8
25 Goals Against 26
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 0.89
2.08 Avg Goals Conceded 2.89
5 BTTS Yes 2
8 Over 1.5 7
8 Over 2.5 4
5 Over 3.5 4
1 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 4
2.83 Shots On Goal 4
6.33 Total Shots 11.2
2.33 Corners 4.2
38.7% Ball Possession 37.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Estonia won 1 times, Moldova won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from Estonia's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Estonia 5-3-2 / Moldova 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: Estonia wins 1, draws 1, Moldova wins 0
Stats
Estonia Estonia
Moldova Moldova
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
8
Blocked Shots
5
3 Corner Kicks 4
15 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 1
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 7
8 Blocked Shots 5
6 Shots insidebox 7
11 Shots outsidebox 9
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
529 Total passes 339
441 Passes accurate 250
0.74 expected_goals 0.84
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Moldova
Formation
Estonia
A. Kozhukhar
A. Kozhukhar
D. Forov
D. Forov
A. Craciun
A. Craciun
V. Baboglo
V. Baboglo
M. Gherasimencov
M. Gherasimencov
O. Reabciuk
O. Reabciuk
M. Caimacov
M. Caimacov
V. Rata
V. Rata
V. Bogaciuc
V. Bogaciuc
S. Perciun
S. Perciun
V. Postolachi
🎯
V. Postolachi
K. Hein
K. Hein
M. Schjonning-Larsen
M. Schjonning-Larsen
M. Paskotsi
M. Paskotsi
K. Mets
K. Mets
V. Sinyavskiy
V. Sinyavskiy
I. Yakovlev
I. Yakovlev
M. Soomets
M. Soomets
M. Kait
M. Kait
R. Saarma
R. Saarma
P. Kristal
P. Kristal
R. Sappinen
R. Sappinen
Moldova 5-3-2
Starting XI
23
A. Kozhukhar
16
D. Forov
↓ 81'
D
14
A. Craciun
↓ 62'
D
4
V. Baboglo
🟨 88'
D
6
M. Gherasimencov
D
2
O. Reabciuk
🟨 29'
D
11
M. Caimacov
↓ 46'
M
22
V. Rata
↓ 62'
M
18
V. Bogaciuc
↓ 46' 🟨 33'
M
21
S. Perciun
F
17
V. Postolachi
🎯 64'
F
Substitutes
1
D. Celeadnic
G
12
C. Avram
G
3
M. Stefan
↑ 62'
D
5
I. Iovu
D
7
V. Damascan
F
8
I. Botnari
F
9
A. Boiciuc
F
10
S. Bodisteanu
⚽ 64' ↑ 46'
M
13
M. Lupan
↑ 46'
M
15
I. Bors
↑ 62'
D
19
D. Dumbravanu
D
20
S. Platica
↑ 81'
M
Estonia 4-3-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
K. Hein
G
19
M. Schjonning-Larsen
D
3
M. Paskotsi
D
18
K. Mets
🟨 44'
D
23
V. Sinyavskiy
D
9
I. Yakovlev
8
M. Soomets
M
4
M. Kait
⚽ 12' ↓ 86'
M
7
R. Saarma
↓ 59'
M
14
P. Kristal
↓ 59'
F
15
R. Sappinen
↓ 82'
F
Substitutes
12
M. Igonen
G
22
H. Perk
G
2
M. Kuusk
D
5
R. R. Shein
↑ 59'
M
6
R. Peetson
D
10
K. Palumets
M
11
K. Mustmaa
↑ 59'
F
13
M. Paalberg
↑ 86'
F
16
J. Tamm
D
17
M. Miller
M
20
M. Vetkal
M
21
A. Tamm
↑ 82' 🟨 88'
F
Last matches: Estonia
13.11.25
Wor
Estonia
Norway
1
4
L
11.10.25
Wor
Estonia
Italy
1
3
L
05.09.25
Wor
Estonia
Italy
0
5
L
09.06.25
Wor
Estonia
Norway
0
1
L
06.06.25
Wor
Estonia
Israel
1
3
L
25.03.25
Wor
Estonia
Moldova
3
2
W
22.03.25
Wor
Estonia
Israel
1
2
L
19.11.24
UEF
Estonia
Slovakia
0
1
L
16.11.24
UEF
Estonia
Azerbaijan
0
0
D
14.10.24
UEF
Estonia
Sweden
0
3
L
11.10.24
UEF
Estonia
Azerbaijan
3
1
W
08.09.24
UEF
Estonia
Sweden
0
3
L
05.09.24
UEF
Estonia
Slovakia
0
1
L
Last matches: Moldova
09.06.26
Fri
Moldova
Armenia
1
1
D
05.06.26
Fri
Moldova
Bulgaria
2
2
D
30.03.26
Fri
Moldova
Cyprus
2
3
L
26.03.26
Fri
Moldova
Lithuania
0
2
L
16.11.25
Wor
Moldova
Israel
1
4
L
13.11.25
Wor
Moldova
Italy
0
2
L
09.09.25
Wor
Moldova
Norway
1
11
L
05.09.25
Wor
Moldova
Israel
0
4
L
09.06.25
Wor
Moldova
Italy
0
2
L
25.03.25
Wor
Moldova
Estonia
2
3
L
22.03.25
Wor
Moldova
Norway
0
5
L
16.11.24
UEF
Moldova
Andorra
1
0
W
13.10.24
UEF
Moldova
Malta
0
1
L
10.10.24
UEF
Moldova
Andorra
2
0
W
07.09.24
UEF
Moldova
Malta
2
0
W
H2H: Estonia vs Moldova
14.10.25
H2H
Estonia
Moldova
1
1
D
25.03.25
H2H
Moldova
Estonia
2
3
W
Last matches: Estonia
11.10.25
Wor
Estonia
Italy
1
3
L
09.06.25
Wor
Estonia
Norway
0
1
L
06.06.25
Wor
Estonia
Israel
1
3
L
14.10.24
UEF
Estonia
Sweden
0
3
L
11.10.24
UEF
Estonia
Azerbaijan
3
1
W
05.09.24
UEF
Estonia
Slovakia
0
1
L
H2H at home: Estonia
14.10.25
H2H
Estonia
Moldova
1
1
D
Last matches: Moldova
09.06.26
Fri
Moldova
Armenia
1
1
D
30.03.26
Fri
Moldova
Cyprus
2
3
L
16.11.25
Wor
Moldova
Israel
1
4
L
09.09.25
Wor
Moldova
Norway
1
11
L
09.06.25
Wor
Moldova
Italy
0
2
L
16.11.24
UEF
Moldova
Andorra
1
0
W
13.10.24
UEF
Moldova
Malta
0
1
L
H2H away: Moldova
14.10.25
H2H
Estonia
Moldova
1
1
D

Standings

Group I
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 37:5 32 24
W W W W W
2 8 6 0 2 21:12 9 18
L W W W W
3 8 4 0 4 19:20 -1 12
W L L L W
4 8 1 1 6 8:21 -13 4
L D L L L
5 8 0 1 7 5:32 -27 1
L L D L L
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