FRANCE LIGUE 1
06.09.2026 13:00
Stade de l'Aube
Referee: Guillaume Paradis, France
Estac Troyes
Match Timeline
Strasbourg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
Antoine Mille · Assist: Anis Ouzenadji
Estac Troyes
🟨
37'
Michel Diaz
Estac Troyes
40'
Jacobo Ortega · Assist: Gessime Yassine
Strasbourg
42'
Diogo Sousa
Strasbourg
🟨
45+2'
Pape Diop
Strasbourg
🔄
56'
Hugo Picard ↔ Jérémy Le Douaron
Estac Troyes
🔄
56'
Merwan Ifnaoui ↔ Kandet Diawara
Estac Troyes
57'
Giovanni Reyna · Assist: Jacobo Ortega
Strasbourg
🔄
63'
Sebastian Nanasi ↔ Samuel Amo-Ameyaw
Strasbourg
🔄
63'
Giovanni Reyna ↔ Dário Essugo
Strasbourg
🔄
70'
Renaud Ripart ↔ Timothé Nkada
Estac Troyes
🔄
70'
Ismael Doukouré ↔ Karim Coulibaly
Strasbourg
🔄
71'
Jacobo Ortega ↔ Conrad Harder
Strasbourg
🔄
79'
Gessime Yassine ↔ Lucas Høgsberg
Strasbourg
🔄
84'
Lucas Maronnier ↔ Iron Gomis
Estac Troyes
🔄
84'
Karim Dermane ↔ Yacouba Kone
Estac Troyes
85'
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw · Assist: Dário Essugo
Strasbourg
88'
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw
Strasbourg
90+5'
Jérémy Le Douaron · Assist: Kandet Diawara
Estac Troyes
90+2'
Conrad Harder · Assist: Diogo Sousa
Strasbourg

Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87.9%
Odds 2.98
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.88
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87.9%
2.98
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.88
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86%
1.51
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Estac Troyes Win 87.9%
Draw 6.1%
Strasbourg Win 6.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estac Troyes2.5
Strasbourg0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estac Troyes Estac Troyes
WWDLW
16 GF / 6 GA
Strasbourg Strasbourg
WLDWL
8 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
3.25
5
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
5
2
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 8 matches
Strasbourg Strasbourg 8 matches
Estac Troyes Statistic Strasbourg
5 Wins 1
3 Draws 1
0 Losses 6
16 Goals For 8
6 Goals Against 26
2 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 3.25
5 BTTS Yes 4
6 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 4
2 Shots On Goal 4.5
10 Total Shots 10.5
5.5 Corners 3.5
37.5% Ball Possession 42.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Estac Troyes won 3 times, Strasbourg won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:9 from Estac Troyes's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.88 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.9%)
Predicted formations: Estac Troyes 4-2-3-1 / Strasbourg 4-3-3
Missing players: Estac Troyes 3, Strasbourg 5
H2H summary: Estac Troyes wins 3, draws 3, Strasbourg wins 2

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 8:3 5 13
W D W W W
2 5 3 2 0 10:2 8 11
W D W D W
3 5 3 2 0 8:3 5 11
W D W W D
4 4 3 1 0 7:2 5 10
W W D W
5 5 3 1 1 8:9 -1 10
L W W W D
6 5 2 1 2 6:5 1 7
W D L W L
7 5 2 1 2 10:10 0 7
L D W W L
8 5 1 3 1 9:9 0 6
W D D L D
9 4 1 2 1 6:6 0 5
L W D D
10 4 1 2 1 6:6 0 5
W L D D
11 5 1 2 2 5:6 -1 5
L D W L D
12 5 1 2 2 7:9 -2 5
W D L D L
13 5 1 1 3 9:9 0 4
L D L L W
14 5 1 1 3 4:11 -7 4
L L L W D
15 4 1 0 3 6:6 0 3
L L L W
16 4 1 0 3 5:11 -6 3
W L L L
17 5 0 2 3 4:7 -3 2
L D L D L
18 4 0 2 2 1:5 -4 2
L D L D
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