FRANCE › LIGUE 2
02.05.2026 18:00
Stade de l'Aube
Referee: A. Perreau Niel
Estac Troyes
Match Timeline
Laval
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
4'
A. Mille · Assist: M. Adeline
Estac Troyes
⚽
22'
K. Diawara · Assist: A. Mille
Estac Troyes
⚽
49'
M. Adeline · Assist: A. Mille
Estac Troyes
⚽
59'
K. Diawara · Assist: Y. Titi
Estac Troyes
🔄
61'
T. Vargas ↔ T. Thomas
Laval
🔄
61'
D. Mbayo ↔ M. Houdayer
Laval
🔄
62'
P. Ouaneh ↔ Y. Tavares
Laval
🔄
63'
K. Diawara ↔ M. Detourbet
Estac Troyes
🟨
70'
Ismaël Boura
Estac Troyes
🟨
70'
Mathis Houdayer
Laval
🔄
72'
M. Adeline ↔ R. Ripart
Estac Troyes
🔄
73'
Y. Titi ↔ L. Maronnier
Estac Troyes
🔄
80'
M. Ifnaoui ↔ M. El Idrissy
Estac Troyes
🔄
80'
I. Boura ↔ A. Ouzenadji
Estac Troyes
🔄
80'
M. Camara ↔ E. Clavreul
Laval
🔄
81'
C. Kouassi ↔ E. Montet
Laval

Estac Troyes vs Laval Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 59.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 59.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
59.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
59.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Estac Troyes Win 75%
Draw 4.1%
Laval Win 20.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estac Troyes1.59
Laval1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estac Troyes Estac Troyes
WWDLW
68 GF / 37 GA
Laval Laval
WLDWL
43 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.84
Average Goals Scored
1.16
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
20
BTTS Yes
14
21
Over 2.5
13
5
Shots on Goal
3.46

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 37 matches
Laval Laval 37 matches
Estac Troyes Statistic Laval
23 Wins 9
7 Draws 14
7 Losses 14
68 Goals For 43
37 Goals Against 45
1.84 Avg Goals Scored 1.16
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
20 BTTS Yes 14
28 Over 1.5 26
21 Over 2.5 13
11 Over 3.5 9
14 Clean Sheets 12
6 Failed To Score 16
5 Shots On Goal 3.46
13.28 Total Shots 8.8
4.42 Corners 4.57
49.9% Ball Possession 45.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Estac Troyes's more proactive style and Laval's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Estac Troyes arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 64 points compared to Laval in 16 on 29, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Laval. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Estac Troyes expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Laval in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Laval having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Estac Troyes Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 64 points from 32 games, Estac Troyes bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 19 wins, 7 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 56:32, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through T. Bentayeb (18 goals), M. Adeline (9 goals), Renaud Ripart (5 goals), with creative support from M. Adeline (9 assists), Mathys Detourbet (5 assists), T. Bentayeb (3 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, their record of 13 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Laval Analysis

Laval sit 16 with 29 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 14 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 28:43, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Camara (8 goals), E. Clavreul (5 goals), M. Sellouki (4 goals), with creative support from M. Tchokounte (3 assists), T. Vargas (3 assists), M. Sellouki (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Estac Troyes won 6 times, Laval won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:10 from Estac Troyes's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Estac Troyes 4-1-4-1 / Laval 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Estac Troyes wins 6, draws 3, Laval wins 6

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 20 7 7 60:33 27 67
L W W W L
2 34 16 14 4 50:31 19 62
W D D W D
3 34 18 6 10 59:38 21 60
W L L L W
4 34 16 10 8 45:37 8 58
D W W L W
5 34 15 13 6 45:39 6 58
W W D W W
6 34 14 14 6 53:35 18 56
W D D W D
7 34 15 7 12 49:39 10 52
L W W W D
8 34 14 9 11 41:31 10 51
D L W W D
9 34 12 9 13 48:62 -14 45
L L L W W
10 34 11 10 13 53:45 8 43
L L W L L
11 34 10 10 14 42:49 -7 40
L L L L D
12 34 8 15 11 33:39 -6 39
W W D L D
13 34 9 10 15 38:44 -6 37
W W D L D
14 34 9 10 15 35:52 -17 37
W W D L D
15 34 9 9 16 34:49 -15 36
L L L L D
16
Laval Away
34 6 14 14 30:48 -18 32
W D W L D
17 34 5 13 16 23:39 -16 28
L W D W L
18 34 6 6 22 37:65 -28 24
L L L L L
Promotion
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Relegation