FRANCE LIGUE 2
--.--.---- --:--
Stade de l'Aube
Referee: A. Perreau Niel
Estac Troyes
Match Timeline
Laval
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
A. Mille · Assist: M. Adeline
Estac Troyes
22'
K. Diawara · Assist: A. Mille
Estac Troyes
49'
M. Adeline · Assist: A. Mille
Estac Troyes
59'
K. Diawara · Assist: Y. Titi
Estac Troyes
🔄
61'
T. Vargas ↔ T. Thomas
Laval
🔄
61'
D. Mbayo ↔ M. Houdayer
Laval
🔄
62'
P. Ouaneh ↔ Y. Tavares
Laval
🔄
63'
K. Diawara ↔ M. Detourbet
Estac Troyes
🟨
70'
Ismaël Boura
Estac Troyes
🟨
70'
Mathis Houdayer
Laval
🔄
72'
M. Adeline ↔ R. Ripart
Estac Troyes
🔄
73'
Y. Titi ↔ L. Maronnier
Estac Troyes
🔄
80'
M. Ifnaoui ↔ M. El Idrissy
Estac Troyes
🔄
80'
I. Boura ↔ A. Ouzenadji
Estac Troyes
🔄
80'
M. Camara ↔ E. Clavreul
Laval
🔄
81'
C. Kouassi ↔ E. Montet
Laval

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 59.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 59.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
59.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
59.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Estac Troyes Win 75%
Draw 4.1%
Laval Win 20.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estac Troyes1.59
Laval1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estac Troyes Estac Troyes
WWDLW
68 GF / 37 GA
Laval Laval
WLDWL
43 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.84
Average Goals Scored
1.16
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
20
BTTS Yes
14
21
Over 2.5
13
5
Shots on Goal
3.46

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 37 matches
Laval Laval 37 matches
Estac Troyes Statistic Laval
23 Wins 9
7 Draws 14
7 Losses 14
68 Goals For 43
37 Goals Against 45
1.84 Avg Goals Scored 1.16
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
20 BTTS Yes 14
28 Over 1.5 26
21 Over 2.5 13
11 Over 3.5 9
14 Clean Sheets 12
6 Failed To Score 16
5 Shots On Goal 3.46
13.28 Total Shots 8.8
4.42 Corners 4.57
49.9% Ball Possession 45.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Estac Troyes's more proactive style and Laval's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Estac Troyes arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 64 points compared to Laval in 16 on 29, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Laval. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Estac Troyes expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Laval in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Laval having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Estac Troyes Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 64 points from 32 games, Estac Troyes bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 19 wins, 7 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 56:32, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through T. Bentayeb (18 goals), M. Adeline (9 goals), Renaud Ripart (5 goals), with creative support from M. Adeline (9 assists), Mathys Detourbet (5 assists), T. Bentayeb (3 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, their record of 13 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Laval Analysis

Laval sit 16 with 29 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 14 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 28:43, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Camara (8 goals), E. Clavreul (5 goals), M. Sellouki (4 goals), with creative support from M. Tchokounte (3 assists), T. Vargas (3 assists), M. Sellouki (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Estac Troyes won 6 times, Laval won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:10 from Estac Troyes's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Estac Troyes 4-1-4-1 / Laval 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Estac Troyes wins 6, draws 3, Laval wins 6
Stats
Estac Troyes Estac Troyes
Laval Laval
Shots on Goal
9
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
3
4 Corner Kicks 3
14 Fouls 13
3 Offsides 0
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Goal 1
7 Shots off Goal 3
1 Blocked Shots 3
14 Shots insidebox 5
3 Shots outsidebox 2
1 Goalkeeper Saves 5
541 Total passes 463
481 Passes accurate 380
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Estac Troyes
Formation
Laval
H. Konate
H. Konate
Y. Titi
🎯
Y. Titi
A. Monfray
A. Monfray
S. Diawara
S. Diawara
I. Boura
I. Boura
M. Diop
M. Diop
M. Ifnaoui
M. Ifnaoui
A. Mille
🎯
A. Mille
M. Adeline
🎯
M. Adeline
K. Diawara
⚽ 2
K. Diawara
T. Bentayeb
T. Bentayeb
M. Samassa
M. Samassa
T. Vargas
T. Vargas
P. Ouaneh
P. Ouaneh
S. Bane
S. Bane
W. Bianda
W. Bianda
C. Kouassi
C. Kouassi
M. Sellouki
M. Sellouki
S. Sanna
S. Sanna
C. Mandouki
C. Mandouki
D. Mbayo
D. Mbayo
M. Camara
M. Camara
Estac Troyes 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
40
H. Konate
G
44
Y. Titi
🎯 59' ↓ 73'
D
6
A. Monfray
D
38
S. Diawara
D
14
I. Boura
↓ 80' 🟨 70'
D
8
M. Diop
M
10
M. Ifnaoui
↓ 80'
M
17
A. Mille
⚽ 4' 🎯 22' 🎯 49'
M
5
M. Adeline
⚽ 49' 🎯 4' ↓ 72'
M
29
K. Diawara
⚽ 22' ⚽ 59' ↓ 63'
M
21
T. Bentayeb
F
Substitutes
1
Z. Boucher
G
2
L. Maronnier
↑ 73'
D
26
A. Phliponeau
M
11
M. Detourbet
↑ 63'
F
20
R. Ripart
↑ 72'
F
9
M. El Idrissy
↑ 80'
F
3
A. Ouzenadji
↑ 80'
F
Laval 5-4-1
Starting XI
30
M. Samassa
G
7
T. Vargas
↓ 61'
D
4
P. Ouaneh
↓ 62'
D
24
S. Bane
D
3
W. Bianda
D
22
C. Kouassi
↓ 81'
D
10
M. Sellouki
M
6
S. Sanna
M
14
C. Mandouki
M
15
D. Mbayo
↓ 61'
M
9
M. Camara
↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Hautbois
G
25
E. Montet
↑ 81'
M
23
Y. Tavares
↑ 62'
D
8
T. Thomas
↑ 61'
M
28
J. Maggiotti
M
31
M. Houdayer
↑ 61' 🟨 70'
F
20
E. Clavreul
↑ 80'
M
Last matches: Estac Troyes
25.07.26
Fri
Estac Troyes
Grenoble
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Estac Troyes
RED Star FC 93
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Estac Troyes
Nancy
3
1
W
09.05.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Grenoble
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Saint Etienne
3
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Boulogne
1
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Rodez
1
2
L
04.04.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Montpellier
2
2
D
21.03.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Dunkerque
5
1
W
16.03.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Annecy
2
1
W
07.03.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Clermont Foot
2
1
W
02.03.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Amiens
2
0
W
21.02.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
PAU
4
3
W
16.02.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Bastia
0
0
D
07.02.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Nancy
1
2
L
04.02.26
Cou
Estac Troyes
Lens
2
4
L
31.01.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Le Mans
0
2
L
24.01.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Guingamp
0
1
L
17.01.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Reims
2
1
W
10.01.26
Cou
Estac Troyes
Bastia
2
0
W
Last matches: Laval
22.07.26
Fri
Laval
Avranches
2
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Laval
Caen
2
4
L
15.07.26
Fri
Laval
Quevilly
5
0
W
24.05.26
Lig
Laval
Rouen
1
0
W
19.05.26
Lig
Laval
Rouen
1
1
D
09.05.26
Lig
Laval
Boulogne
2
1
W
24.04.26
Lig
Laval
Rodez
0
0
D
20.04.26
Lig
Laval
Dunkerque
2
0
W
10.04.26
Lig
Laval
Reims
2
2
D
03.04.26
Lig
Laval
RED Star FC 93
0
0
D
20.03.26
Lig
Laval
Grenoble
3
2
W
13.03.26
Lig
Laval
Montpellier
0
2
L
06.03.26
Lig
Laval
Guingamp
2
2
D
27.02.26
Lig
Laval
Nancy
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Laval
Saint Etienne
1
2
L
13.02.26
Lig
Laval
Annecy
2
2
D
07.02.26
Lig
Laval
Le Mans
1
1
D
04.02.26
Cou
Laval
Lyon
0
2
L
30.01.26
Lig
Laval
PAU
0
1
L
23.01.26
Lig
Laval
Amiens
0
0
D
H2H: Estac Troyes vs Laval
02.05.26
H2H
Estac Troyes
Laval
4
0
W
21.11.25
H2H
Laval
Estac Troyes
0
1
W
24.01.25
H2H
Laval
Estac Troyes
1
0
L
01.11.24
H2H
Estac Troyes
Laval
0
0
D
10.05.24
H2H
Laval
Estac Troyes
1
2
W
12.08.23
H2H
Estac Troyes
Laval
3
1
W
20.01.17
H2H
Laval
Estac Troyes
1
0
L
12.08.16
H2H
Estac Troyes
Laval
1
0
W
09.08.16
H2H
Laval
Estac Troyes
1
0
L
30.01.15
H2H
Laval
Estac Troyes
2
1
L
22.08.14
H2H
Estac Troyes
Laval
0
0
D
11.04.14
H2H
Laval
Estac Troyes
2
1
L
08.11.13
H2H
Estac Troyes
Laval
0
1
L
28.01.12
H2H
Estac Troyes
Laval
3
0
W
26.08.11
H2H
Laval
Estac Troyes
0
0
D
Last matches: Estac Troyes
18.07.26
Fri
Estac Troyes
RED Star FC 93
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Boulogne
1
0
W
21.03.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Dunkerque
5
1
W
07.03.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Clermont Foot
2
1
W
21.02.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
PAU
4
3
W
04.02.26
Cou
Estac Troyes
Lens
2
4
L
31.01.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Le Mans
0
2
L
17.01.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Reims
2
1
W
03.01.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
RED Star FC 93
1
0
W
06.12.25
Lig
Estac Troyes
Rodez
1
1
D
08.11.25
Lig
Estac Troyes
Saint Etienne
2
3
L
28.10.25
Lig
Estac Troyes
Amiens
3
1
W
17.10.25
Lig
Estac Troyes
Bastia
1
0
W
26.09.25
Lig
Estac Troyes
Annecy
3
1
W
20.09.25
Lig
Estac Troyes
Guingamp
5
2
W
12.09.25
Lig
Estac Troyes
Nancy
3
0
W
23.08.25
Lig
Estac Troyes
Montpellier
1
0
W
09.08.25
Lig
Estac Troyes
Grenoble
2
1
W
13.08.19
Cou
Estac Troyes
Lens
1
2
L
H2H at home: Estac Troyes
02.05.26
H2H
Estac Troyes
Laval
4
0
W
01.11.24
H2H
Estac Troyes
Laval
0
0
D
12.08.23
H2H
Estac Troyes
Laval
3
1
W
12.08.16
H2H
Estac Troyes
Laval
1
0
W
22.08.14
H2H
Estac Troyes
Laval
0
0
D
08.11.13
H2H
Estac Troyes
Laval
0
1
L
28.01.12
H2H
Estac Troyes
Laval
3
0
W
Last matches: Laval
18.07.26
Fri
Laval
Caen
2
4
L
19.05.26
Lig
Laval
Rouen
1
1
D
20.04.26
Lig
Laval
Dunkerque
2
0
W
03.04.26
Lig
Laval
RED Star FC 93
0
0
D
13.03.26
Lig
Laval
Montpellier
0
2
L
21.02.26
Lig
Laval
Saint Etienne
1
2
L
07.02.26
Lig
Laval
Le Mans
1
1
D
04.02.26
Cou
Laval
Lyon
0
2
L
23.01.26
Lig
Laval
Amiens
0
0
D
10.01.26
Cou
Laval
Istres
2
0
W
03.01.26
Lig
Laval
Clermont Foot
1
4
L
19.12.25
Cou
Laval
Guingamp
1
0
W
08.12.25
Lig
Laval
Reims
0
4
L
25.11.25
Lig
Laval
Bastia
2
0
W
15.11.25
Cou
Laval
Le Cellier Mauves
6
0
W
07.11.25
Lig
Laval
Nancy
2
0
W
31.10.25
Lig
Laval
Guingamp
0
2
L
03.10.25
Lig
Laval
Annecy
0
0
D
23.09.25
Lig
Laval
PAU
0
1
L
12.09.25
Lig
Laval
Boulogne
2
1
W
H2H away: Laval
02.05.26
H2H
Estac Troyes
Laval
4
0
L
01.11.24
H2H
Estac Troyes
Laval
0
0
D
12.08.23
H2H
Estac Troyes
Laval
3
1
L
12.08.16
H2H
Estac Troyes
Laval
1
0
L
22.08.14
H2H
Estac Troyes
Laval
0
0
D
08.11.13
H2H
Estac Troyes
Laval
0
1
W
28.01.12
H2H
Estac Troyes
Laval
3
0
L

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 20 7 7 60:33 27 67
L W W W L
2 34 16 14 4 50:31 19 62
W D D W D
3 34 18 6 10 59:38 21 60
W L L L W
4 34 16 10 8 45:37 8 58
D W W L W
5 34 15 13 6 45:39 6 58
W W D W W
6 34 14 14 6 53:35 18 56
W D D W D
7 34 15 7 12 49:39 10 52
L W W W D
8 34 14 9 11 41:31 10 51
D L W W D
9 34 12 9 13 48:62 -14 45
L L L W W
10 34 11 10 13 53:45 8 43
L L W L L
11 34 10 10 14 42:49 -7 40
L L L L D
12 34 8 15 11 33:39 -6 39
W W D L D
13 34 9 10 15 38:44 -6 37
W W D L D
14 34 9 10 15 35:52 -17 37
W W D L D
15 34 9 9 16 34:49 -15 36
L L L L D
16
Laval Away
34 6 14 14 30:48 -18 32
W D W L D
17 34 5 13 16 23:39 -16 28
L W D W L
18 34 6 6 22 37:65 -28 24
L L L L L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation