SWEDEN ETTAN - SöDRA
27.09.2026 11:00
Harlyckan

Eskilsminne vs AFC Malmo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.1%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Eskilsminne Win 56.1%
Draw 5.1%
AFC Malmo Win 38.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Eskilsminne1.57
AFC Malmo1.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Eskilsminne Eskilsminne
WWDLW
49 GF / 58 GA
AFC Malmo AFC Malmo
WLDWL
42 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
1.83
1.93
Average Goals Conceded
1.48
19
BTTS Yes
15
20
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Eskilsminne Eskilsminne 30 matches
AFC Malmo AFC Malmo 23 matches
Eskilsminne Statistic AFC Malmo
9 Wins 9
8 Draws 8
13 Losses 6
49 Goals For 42
58 Goals Against 34
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
1.93 Avg Goals Conceded 1.48
19 BTTS Yes 15
25 Over 1.5 20
20 Over 2.5 16
16 Over 3.5 11
6 Clean Sheets 5
7 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights AFC Malmo's more proactive style and Eskilsminne's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward AFC Malmo. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward AFC Malmo having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Eskilsminne have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Eskilsminne Analysis

Eskilsminne approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 28 points from 22 matches. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 4 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 36:40 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

AFC Malmo Analysis

AFC Malmo come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 35 points from 23 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, while the 42:34 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Eskilsminne won 0 times, AFC Malmo won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from Eskilsminne's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
H2H summary: Eskilsminne wins 0, draws 0, AFC Malmo wins 1

Standings

South
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 14 6 3 49:27 22 48
W W W L W
2 23 13 3 7 43:27 16 42
L W L W W
3 23 12 6 5 46:33 13 42
W L W D L
4 23 11 8 4 46:27 19 41
L W W D W
5 23 9 8 6 42:34 8 35
W L D D D
6 23 9 8 6 39:33 6 35
D L L W W
7 23 9 7 7 37:34 3 34
W W W W L
8 23 9 6 8 30:33 -3 33
L L D W D
9 22 8 6 8 26:20 6 30
W D L W D
10 23 9 3 11 40:44 -4 30
D W L W L
11 22 8 4 10 36:40 -4 28
W L L L D
12 22 6 9 7 24:32 -8 27
L W W D W
13 23 6 6 11 28:36 -8 24
W L D L W
14 23 6 4 13 30:41 -11 22
L D W L D
15 22 3 8 11 25:41 -16 17
L L L L L
16 23 1 6 16 18:57 -39 9
L D L D L