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TURKEY › 1. LIG
19.10.2026 17:00
Esenler Stadium

Esenler Erokspor vs Mardin 1969 Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 86.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
86.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Esenler Erokspor Win 6.8%
Draw 6.8%
Mardin 1969 Win 86.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Esenler Erokspor0.62
Mardin 19691.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor
WWDLW
6 GF / 11 GA
Mardin 1969 Mardin 1969
WLDWL
12 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
0.6
Average Goals Scored
1.09
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
0.64
4
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
3
2.8
Shots on Goal
3.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor 10 matches
Mardin 1969 Mardin 1969 11 matches
Esenler Erokspor Statistic Mardin 1969
1 Wins 5
6 Draws 3
3 Losses 3
6 Goals For 12
11 Goals Against 7
0.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.09
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.64
4 BTTS Yes 3
6 Over 1.5 5
2 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 4
2.8 Shots On Goal 3.2
11 Total Shots 11.1
5.2 Corners 4.9
57.4% Ball Possession 41.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Mardin 1969's more proactive style and Esenler Erokspor's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Esenler Erokspor expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Mardin 1969 in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mardin 1969 having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Mardin 1969. Mardin 1969 carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 15 points while Esenler Erokspor sit 16 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Esenler Erokspor Analysis

Esenler Erokspor sit 16 with 8 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 5:10, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Okyar (1 goals), G. Kanga (1 goals), Y. Erdoğan (1 goals), with creative support from M. Okyar (1 assists), G. Kanga (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Mardin 1969 Analysis

So far, Mardin 1969 have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 15 points from 9 matches. The record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 11:6 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through O. Kayode (3 goals), T. Teklić (3 goals), Z. Dimitrov (2 goals), with creative support from O. Kayode (1 assists), Z. Dimitrov (1 assists), E. Taşdemir (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Esenler Erokspor won 1 times, Mardin 1969 won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:1 from Esenler Erokspor's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (93.2%)
Predicted formations: Esenler Erokspor 4-2-3-1 / Mardin 1969 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Esenler Erokspor wins 1, draws 1, Mardin 1969 wins 0

Standings

Lig A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 1 1 22:5 17 25
W W W W W
2 10 7 1 2 20:9 11 22
W L W D W
3 10 6 2 2 14:8 6 20
D W D W W
4 10 6 1 3 20:17 3 19
W L L L W
5 10 5 3 2 12:6 6 18
W W L L W
6 10 4 5 1 19:10 9 17
D W D D W
7 10 4 3 3 13:14 -1 15
L D W D L
8 10 5 0 5 15:17 -2 15
L W W W L
9 10 3 5 2 15:6 9 14
D W L D W
10 10 3 4 3 13:13 0 13
L D W D L
11 10 2 6 2 14:13 1 12
D W D D W
12 10 2 6 2 9:11 -2 12
L D D D D
13 10 2 5 3 11:9 2 11
W L D W L
14 10 2 4 4 15:16 -1 10
D L L D L
15 10 2 4 4 12:19 -7 10
L L D D W
16 10 1 6 3 6:11 -5 9
D W L D L
17 9 1 4 4 7:10 -3 7
D W L L
18 10 2 3 5 10:20 -10 7
W L L D D
19 10 1 2 7 9:24 -15 5
L L W L L
20 9 0 1 8 3:21 -18 1
L L D L
Promotion - Super Lig
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation