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TURKEY › 1. LIG
--.--.---- --:--
Esenler Erokspor
FT
1 - 0
Keçiörengücü
Esenler Stadium
Referee: O. Cakir
Esenler Erokspor
Match Timeline
Keçiörengücü
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
14'
E. Alic ↔ E. Korkmaz
Esenler Erokspor
🔄
38'
H. Bulut ↔ H. Bilgic
Keçiörengücü
⚽
46'
M. Faye · Assist: H. Catakovic
Esenler Erokspor
🔄
65'
O. Roshi ↔ E. Rroca
Keçiörengücü
🔄
65'
E. Develi ↔ E. Yilmaz
Keçiörengücü
🔄
70'
H. Catakovic ↔ O. Kayode
Esenler Erokspor
🔄
71'
G. Kanga ↔ T. Kacar
Esenler Erokspor
🔄
76'
R. Niyaz ↔ O. Beyaz
Esenler Erokspor
🔄
77'
R. Jack ↔ A. Karaman
Esenler Erokspor
🔄
82'
A. Dere ↔ S. Lus
Keçiörengücü
🔄
82'
I. Karaogul ↔ O. Caliskan
Keçiörengücü
🟨
83'
Ömer Faruk Beyaz
Esenler Erokspor
🟨
90+9'
Olarenwaju Kayode
Esenler Erokspor
🟨
90+2'
Osman Ertuğrul Çetin
Esenler Erokspor
🟨
90+7'
Oguzcan Caliskan
Keçiörengücü

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 74%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 75.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
74%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
75.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.9%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Esenler Erokspor Win 42.1%
Draw 26%
Keçiörengücü Win 31.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Esenler Erokspor1.81
Keçiörengücü1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor
WWDLW
79 GF / 33 GA
Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü
WLDWL
67 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
2.26
Average Goals Scored
1.91
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
21
BTTS Yes
22
21
Over 2.5
21
5.06
Shots on Goal
4.77

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor 35 matches
Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 35 matches
Esenler Erokspor Statistic Keçiörengücü
20 Wins 14
10 Draws 12
5 Losses 9
79 Goals For 67
33 Goals Against 40
2.26 Avg Goals Scored 1.91
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
21 BTTS Yes 22
30 Over 1.5 26
21 Over 2.5 21
15 Over 3.5 14
12 Clean Sheets 11
5 Failed To Score 6
5.06 Shots On Goal 4.77
12.94 Total Shots 12.83
5.23 Corners 4.23
58% Ball Possession 47%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Keçiörengücü. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Esenler Erokspor Analysis

Esenler Erokspor come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 70 points from 35 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 20 wins, 10 draws, and 5 losses, while the 77:32 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on O. Kayode (17 goals), H. Catakovic (14 goals), M. Faye (9 goals), with creative support from Amilton (11 assists), E. Alic (7 assists), R. Niyaz (6 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Keçiörengücü Analysis

So far, Keçiörengücü have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 54 points from 35 matches. The record of 14 wins, 12 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 67:40 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Diouf (17 goals), F. Ezeh (10 goals), J. Fernandes (9 goals), with creative support from I. Akdag (9 assists), F. Ezeh (6 assists), J. Fernandes (6 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Esenler Erokspor won 1 times, Keçiörengücü won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:5 from Esenler Erokspor's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74%)
Predicted formations: Esenler Erokspor 4-2-3-1 / Keçiörengücü 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Esenler Erokspor wins 1, draws 3, Keçiörengücü wins 0
Stats
Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor
Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
2
6 Corner Kicks 4
12 Fouls 17
0 Offsides 1
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Goal 2
1 Shots off Goal 4
4 Blocked Shots 2
3 Shots insidebox 6
4 Shots outsidebox 2
1 Goalkeeper Saves 0
324 Total passes 318
258 Passes accurate 244
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Esenler Erokspor
Formation
Keçiörengücü
E. Cetin
E. Cetin
H. Bilazer
H. Bilazer
D. Cavare
D. Cavare
O. Ulas
O. Ulas
E. Alic
↓
E. Alic
R. Jack
↓
R. Jack
G. Kanga
↓
G. Kanga
M. Faye
⚽
M. Faye
R. Niyaz
↓
R. Niyaz
Amilton
Amilton
H. Catakovic
🎯 ↓
H. Catakovic
E. Satilmis
E. Satilmis
H. Bulut
↓
H. Bulut
Wellington Nascimento
Wellington Nascimento
A. Celik
A. Celik
A. Dere
↓
A. Dere
I. Karaogul
↓
I. Karaogul
I. Akdag
I. Akdag
O. Roshi
↓
O. Roshi
E. Develi
↓
E. Develi
F. Ezeh
F. Ezeh
J. Fernandes
J. Fernandes
Esenler Erokspor 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
34
E. Cetin
🟨 90+2'
G
77
H. Bilazer
D
97
D. Cavare
D
14
O. Ulas
D
33
E. Alic
↓ 14'
6
R. Jack
↓ 77'
M
12
G. Kanga
↓ 71'
M
11
M. Faye
⚽ 46'
M
20
R. Niyaz
↓ 76'
M
89
Amilton
M
7
H. Catakovic
🎯 46' ↓ 70'
F
Substitutes
1
B. Tetik
G
10
O. Kayode
↑ 70' 🟨 90+9'
F
4
T. Kacar
↑ 71'
M
19
E. Gedik
15
F. Nzaba
D
8
A. Karaman
↑ 77'
M
99
O. Beyaz
↑ 76' 🟨 83'
M
17
E. Korkmaz
↑ 14'
73
B. Lus
F
Keçiörengücü 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
18
E. Satilmis
G
10
H. Bulut
↓ 38'
D
15
Wellington Nascimento
D
4
A. Celik
D
11
A. Dere
↓ 82'
D
36
I. Karaogul
↓ 82'
M
14
I. Akdag
M
7
O. Roshi
↓ 65'
M
6
E. Develi
↓ 65'
M
21
F. Ezeh
M
78
J. Fernandes
F
Substitutes
88
A. Ozer
G
8
E. Rroca
↑ 65'
M
73
S. Lus
↑ 82'
D
5
O. Caliskan
↑ 82' 🟨 90+7'
D
28
E. Yilmaz
↑ 65'
M
23
Mexer
D
17
H. Bilgic
↑ 38'
D
9
A. Akman
F
22
H. Ayan
M
70
O. Diaby
M
Last matches: Esenler Erokspor
24.05.26
1.
Esenler Erokspor
Çorum FK
0
2
L
02.05.26
1.
Esenler Erokspor
Pendikspor
1
1
D
26.04.26
1.
Esenler Erokspor
Sarıyer
0
1
L
13.04.26
1.
Esenler Erokspor
Sakaryaspor
2
1
W
09.04.26
1.
Esenler Erokspor
Amed
1
1
D
05.04.26
1.
Esenler Erokspor
Sivasspor
3
1
W
22.03.26
1.
Esenler Erokspor
Erzurumspor FK
0
2
L
16.03.26
1.
Esenler Erokspor
Çorum FK
1
2
L
12.03.26
1.
Esenler Erokspor
Bandırmaspor
1
1
D
08.03.26
1.
Esenler Erokspor
Bodrum FK
4
3
W
27.02.26
1.
Esenler Erokspor
Boluspor
2
0
W
21.02.26
1.
Esenler Erokspor
Iğdır FK
3
0
W
17.02.26
1.
Esenler Erokspor
İstanbulspor
4
1
W
13.02.26
1.
Esenler Erokspor
Manisa F.K.
3
1
W
07.02.26
1.
Esenler Erokspor
Hatayspor
5
0
W
02.02.26
1.
Esenler Erokspor
Ümraniyespor
1
0
W
24.01.26
1.
Esenler Erokspor
Serik Spor
3
0
W
17.01.26
1.
Esenler Erokspor
Vanspor FK
0
0
D
10.01.26
1.
Esenler Erokspor
Adana Demirspor
5
0
W
27.12.25
1.
Esenler Erokspor
Pendikspor
0
0
D
Last matches: Keçiörengücü
07.05.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Çorum FK
0
1
L
02.05.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Ümraniyespor
4
1
W
26.04.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Manisa F.K.
2
1
W
12.04.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Serik Spor
0
0
D
08.04.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Iğdır FK
1
0
W
04.04.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Vanspor FK
3
0
W
21.03.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Adana Demirspor
7
0
W
15.03.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Sarıyer
1
3
L
11.03.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Sakaryaspor
1
1
D
07.03.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Sivasspor
1
0
W
28.02.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Amed
2
2
D
23.02.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Pendikspor
1
0
W
18.02.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Erzurumspor FK
1
2
L
14.02.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Bodrum FK
3
4
L
08.02.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Bandırmaspor
3
1
W
31.01.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Çorum FK
0
1
L
24.01.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Boluspor
5
1
W
19.01.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
İstanbulspor
2
2
D
11.01.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Hatayspor
5
0
W
28.12.25
1.
Keçiörengücü
Ümraniyespor
3
1
W
H2H: Esenler Erokspor vs Keçiörengücü
19.04.26
H2H
Esenler Erokspor
Keçiörengücü
1
0
W
14.12.25
H2H
Keçiörengücü
Esenler Erokspor
1
1
D
05.03.25
H2H
Keçiörengücü
Esenler Erokspor
2
2
D
21.10.24
H2H
Esenler Erokspor
Keçiörengücü
2
2
D
Last matches: Esenler Erokspor
24.05.26
1.
Esenler Erokspor
Çorum FK
0
2
L
02.05.26
1.
Esenler Erokspor
Pendikspor
1
1
D
09.04.26
1.
Esenler Erokspor
Amed
1
1
D
22.03.26
1.
Esenler Erokspor
Erzurumspor FK
0
2
L
12.03.26
1.
Esenler Erokspor
Bandırmaspor
1
1
D
27.02.26
1.
Esenler Erokspor
Boluspor
2
0
W
13.02.26
1.
Esenler Erokspor
Manisa F.K.
3
1
W
02.02.26
1.
Esenler Erokspor
Ümraniyespor
1
0
W
17.01.26
1.
Esenler Erokspor
Vanspor FK
0
0
D
19.12.25
1.
Esenler Erokspor
Sarıyer
1
1
D
06.12.25
1.
Esenler Erokspor
Sakaryaspor
4
1
W
23.11.25
1.
Esenler Erokspor
Sivasspor
2
1
W
03.11.25
1.
Esenler Erokspor
Çorum FK
3
1
W
19.10.25
1.
Esenler Erokspor
Bodrum FK
1
1
D
27.09.25
1.
Esenler Erokspor
Iğdır FK
2
3
L
24.09.25
1.
Esenler Erokspor
İstanbulspor
5
0
W
12.09.25
1.
Esenler Erokspor
Hatayspor
4
1
W
23.08.25
1.
Esenler Erokspor
Serik Spor
5
0
W
11.08.25
1.
Esenler Erokspor
Adana Demirspor
2
2
D
H2H at home: Esenler Erokspor
19.04.26
H2H
Esenler Erokspor
Keçiörengücü
1
0
W
21.10.24
H2H
Esenler Erokspor
Keçiörengücü
2
2
D
Last matches: Keçiörengücü
07.05.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Çorum FK
0
1
L
02.05.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Ümraniyespor
4
1
W
08.04.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Iğdır FK
1
0
W
15.03.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Sarıyer
1
3
L
07.03.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Sivasspor
1
0
W
23.02.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Pendikspor
1
0
W
14.02.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Bodrum FK
3
4
L
31.01.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Çorum FK
0
1
L
19.01.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
İstanbulspor
2
2
D
20.12.25
1.
Keçiörengücü
Manisa F.K.
2
2
D
06.12.25
1.
Keçiörengücü
Serik Spor
3
1
W
23.11.25
1.
Keçiörengücü
Vanspor FK
1
1
D
09.11.25
1.
Keçiörengücü
Adana Demirspor
7
2
W
25.10.25
1.
Keçiörengücü
Sakaryaspor
0
1
L
04.10.25
1.
Keçiörengücü
Amed
1
4
L
24.09.25
1.
Keçiörengücü
Erzurumspor FK
1
1
D
14.09.25
1.
Keçiörengücü
Bandırmaspor
1
1
D
24.08.25
1.
Keçiörengücü
Boluspor
1
2
L
09.08.25
1.
Keçiörengücü
Hatayspor
3
1
W
H2H away: Keçiörengücü
19.04.26
H2H
Esenler Erokspor
Keçiörengücü
1
0
L
21.10.24
H2H
Esenler Erokspor
Keçiörengücü
2
2
D

Standings

1. Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Erzurumspor FK
38 23 12 3 82:27 55 81
D D D W W
2
Amed
38 21 11 6 81:42 39 74
D D L D D
3
Esenler Erokspor Home
38 21 11 6 81:35 46 74
L D L W W
4
Çorum FK
38 21 8 9 63:39 24 71
W W L W D
5
Bodrum FK
38 18 10 10 71:39 32 64
L W W L D
6
Pendikspor
38 16 15 7 58:33 25 63
L D W D D
7
Keçiörengücü Away
38 16 12 10 73:43 30 60
L W W L D
8
Bandırmaspor
38 16 12 10 47:34 13 60
W D W D D
9
Manisa F.K.
38 16 7 15 57:56 1 55
W L W W W
10
Sivasspor
38 14 11 13 47:43 4 53
L W L L W
11
İstanbulspor
38 13 13 12 57:55 2 52
W W W W L
12
Sarıyer
38 15 7 16 44:44 0 52
W W L W D
13
Iğdır FK
38 13 11 14 52:54 -2 50
D L D W L
14
Vanspor FK
38 13 10 15 52:47 5 49
L L W L W
15
Boluspor
38 14 6 18 61:57 4 48
W L W L L
16
Ümraniyespor
38 13 7 18 47:51 -4 46
L W L D W
17
Serik Spor
38 11 6 21 44:75 -31 39
L W L D L
18
Sakaryaspor
38 8 10 20 45:72 -27 34
L L D L L
19
Hatayspor
38 2 8 28 33:102 -69 14
W L D L W
20
Adana Demirspor
38 1 3 34 22:169 -147 -57
L L L L L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Qualification Playoffs
Relegation