DENMARK 1. DIVISION
12.09.2026 13:00
Blue Water Arena
Referee: J. Bogelund
Esbjerg
Match Timeline
HB Koge
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
21'
J. Ampofo · Assist: J. Kolawole
Esbjerg
46'
N. Strunck · Assist: J. Kolawole
Esbjerg
49'
T. Thomsen
HB Koge
🔄
58'
F. Aronsson ↔ P. Tjornelund
Esbjerg
🔄
58'
S. Hald ↔ L. Achton
HB Koge
🔄
58'
E. Semovski ↔ N. Stolshoj
HB Koge
🔄
59'
J. Kolawole ↔ P. Bjur
Esbjerg
62'
R. Brodersen · Assist: F. Isaki
HB Koge
🔄
66'
B. Hvidt ↔ O. Boesen
Esbjerg
🔄
81'
F. Isaki ↔ G. Culhaci
HB Koge
🔄
81'
M. Westergren ↔ V. Sorensen
HB Koge
🔄
81'
L. Bust ↔ M. Romer
HB Koge
🔄
84'
J. Ampofo ↔ M. Kruse
Esbjerg
🔄
84'
M. Maden ↔ M. Hansen
Esbjerg
🟨
88'
S. Strand
Esbjerg
🟨
90+5'
S. Manoharan
Esbjerg

Esbjerg vs HB Koge Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 87.6%
Odds 1.28
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.59
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
87.6%
1.28
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.59
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.42
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Esbjerg Win 20.8%
Draw 66.8%
HB Koge Win 12.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Esbjerg1.49
HB Koge1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Esbjerg Esbjerg
WWDLW
23 GF / 31 GA
HB Koge HB Koge
WLDWL
21 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
11
BTTS Yes
8
9
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Esbjerg Esbjerg 17 matches
HB Koge HB Koge 17 matches
Esbjerg Statistic HB Koge
3 Wins 3
4 Draws 7
10 Losses 7
23 Goals For 21
31 Goals Against 29
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
11 BTTS Yes 8
14 Over 1.5 13
9 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 6
1 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward HB Koge. Esbjerg have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward HB Koge having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Esbjerg Analysis

With 4 points from 6 games and a place of 11, Esbjerg still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 8:13 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

HB Koge Analysis

From their first 7 matches, HB Koge have collected 3 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. The record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 4:13 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Esbjerg won 9 times, HB Koge won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:13 from Esbjerg's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (87.6%)
Predicted formations: Esbjerg - / HB Koge 3-4-3
H2H summary: Esbjerg wins 9, draws 3, HB Koge wins 3

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 3 0 20:11 9 18
D W D W W
2 8 5 3 0 15:8 7 18
D W W D W
3 8 3 4 1 10:4 6 13
D W L D W
4 8 3 4 1 9:6 3 13
D W D D D
5 8 4 1 3 10:11 -1 13
D L L W W
6 8 3 3 2 9:9 0 12
D W D L L
7 8 2 3 3 8:12 -4 9
D L W W L
8 8 2 2 4 12:13 -1 8
W D W L D
9 8 1 4 3 9:11 -2 7
D L W D L
10 8 1 3 4 8:10 -2 6
L L L D W
11 8 1 2 5 10:16 -6 5
D L L L L
12 8 0 4 4 6:15 -9 4
D D D D L
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs