DENMARK 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Blue Water Arena
Referee: J. Nielsen
Esbjerg
Match Timeline
AC Horsens
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
L. From
Esbjerg
25'
A. Skipper
AC Horsens
🔄
63'
K. Kirkegaard ↔ I. Milicevic
AC Horsens
🔄
63'
Y. Ouorou ↔ A. Saine
AC Horsens
🔄
71'
M. Hansen ↔ A. Ammitzboll
Esbjerg
🔄
71'
L. Vigen ↔ J. Kolawole
Esbjerg
🔄
78'
A. Skipper ↔ J. Foss
Esbjerg
🔄
81'
A. Justinussen ↔ F. Brandhof
AC Horsens
🔄
81'
A. Herdonsson ↔ A. Moro
AC Horsens
🟨
82'
J. Madsen
AC Horsens
🔄
87'
W. Renecke ↔ J. Lucena
Esbjerg
🟨
90+2'
J. Lucena
Esbjerg

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 83.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 41.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 48.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
83.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
41.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
48.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Esbjerg Win 42.7%
Draw 16.5%
AC Horsens Win 40.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Esbjerg1.16
AC Horsens1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Esbjerg Esbjerg
WWDLW
35 GF / 39 GA
AC Horsens AC Horsens
WLDWL
33 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
0.96
14
BTTS Yes
11
12
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Esbjerg Esbjerg 27 matches
AC Horsens AC Horsens 27 matches
Esbjerg Statistic AC Horsens
12 Wins 11
6 Draws 8
9 Losses 8
35 Goals For 33
39 Goals Against 26
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 0.96
14 BTTS Yes 11
20 Over 1.5 15
12 Over 2.5 12
8 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 13
8 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with AC Horsens's more proactive style and Esbjerg's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors AC Horsens. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward AC Horsens having the stronger overall control.

Esbjerg Analysis

Esbjerg come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 42 points from 27 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, while the 35:39 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Brajanac (9 goals), M. Maden (4 goals), A. Lausen (3 goals), with creative support from A. Lausen (4 assists), L. From (4 assists), R. Gyamfi (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

AC Horsens Analysis

AC Horsens come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 41 points after 27 matches. With 11 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats plus a goal balance of 33:26, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by K. Kirkegaard (6 goals), S. Pingel (5 goals), R. Baturina (4 goals), with creative support from K. Kirkegaard (6 assists), P. Olsen (3 assists), S. Pingel (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Esbjerg won 1 times, AC Horsens won 9 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:21 from Esbjerg's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.5%)
H2H summary: Esbjerg wins 1, draws 5, AC Horsens wins 9

Lineups

Esbjerg
Formation
AC Horsens
R. McCrorie
R. McCrorie
M. Hansen
M. Hansen
P. Tjornelund
P. Tjornelund
A. Skipper
A. Skipper
W. Renecke
W. Renecke
S. Strand
S. Strand
M. Maden
M. Maden
L. Vigen
L. Vigen
A. Lausen
A. Lausen
L. From
L. From
M. Brajanac
M. Brajanac
M. Delac
M. Delac
V. Palsson
V. Palsson
M. Kupijbida
M. Kupijbida
O. Kolskogen
O. Kolskogen
C. Tape
C. Tape
A. Herdonsson
A. Herdonsson
K. Lusavec
K. Lusavec
Y. Ouorou
Y. Ouorou
J. Madsen
J. Madsen
K. Kirkegaard
K. Kirkegaard
A. Justinussen
A. Justinussen
Esbjerg 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
21
R. McCrorie
18
M. Hansen
↓ 71'
4
P. Tjornelund
3
A. Skipper
⚽ 25' ↓ 78'
25
W. Renecke
↓ 87'
19
S. Strand
8
M. Maden
6
L. Vigen
↓ 71'
12
A. Lausen
7
L. From
🟨 14'
80
M. Brajanac
Substitutes
16
K. Kristensen
15
A. Sonderskov
22
B. Hvidt
23
A. Ammitzboll
↑ 71'
5
J. Foss
↑ 78'
32
N. Blicher
14
J. Kolawole
↑ 71'
17
J. Lucena
↑ 87' 🟨 90+2'
31
J. H. Bennedsgaard
AC Horsens 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Delac
26
V. Palsson
35
M. Kupijbida
24
O. Kolskogen
12
C. Tape
17
A. Herdonsson
↓ 81'
20
K. Lusavec
27
Y. Ouorou
↓ 63'
14
J. Madsen
🟨 82'
10
K. Kirkegaard
↓ 63'
15
A. Justinussen
↓ 81'
Substitutes
23
D. Smarsch
29
F. Brandhof
↑ 81'
5
A. Bruus
4
S. Hausner
30
S. Doua
7
I. Milicevic
↑ 63'
25
F. Sene
28
A. Saine
↑ 63'
16
A. Moro
↑ 81'
Last matches: Esbjerg
25.07.26
1.
Esbjerg
Kolding IF
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Esbjerg
FC Fredericia
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Esbjerg
Mafra
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Esbjerg
Aarhus Fremad
2
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Esbjerg
Vejle
3
3
D
31.05.26
1.
Esbjerg
Lyngby
2
1
W
25.05.26
1.
Esbjerg
Hvidovre
4
1
W
16.05.26
1.
Esbjerg
Hillerød
1
1
D
09.05.26
1.
Esbjerg
Kolding IF
3
0
W
24.04.26
1.
Esbjerg
Lyngby
0
5
L
21.04.26
1.
Esbjerg
AC Horsens
1
4
L
17.04.26
1.
Esbjerg
Hillerød
0
0
D
10.04.26
1.
Esbjerg
Hvidovre
1
0
W
03.04.26
1.
Esbjerg
Kolding IF
1
1
D
21.03.26
1.
Esbjerg
Aalborg
1
1
D
15.03.26
1.
Esbjerg
Hillerød
2
2
D
06.03.26
1.
Esbjerg
HB Koge
1
0
W
28.02.26
1.
Esbjerg
AC Horsens
2
1
W
21.02.26
Fri
Esbjerg
Vendsyssel FF
0
1
L
10.02.26
Fri
Esbjerg
Zimbru
1
1
D
Last matches: AC Horsens
18.07.26
Fri
AC Horsens
Vendsyssel FF
0
1
L
15.07.26
Fri
AC Horsens
Aarhus
0
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
AC Horsens
FC Copenhagen
2
3
L
04.07.26
Fri
AC Horsens
Hobro
2
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
AC Horsens
FC Nordsjaelland
1
1
D
31.05.26
1.
AC Horsens
Kolding IF
1
0
W
25.05.26
1.
AC Horsens
Lyngby
2
0
W
16.05.26
1.
AC Horsens
Hvidovre
1
1
D
09.05.26
1.
AC Horsens
Hillerød
4
0
W
25.04.26
1.
AC Horsens
Hvidovre
1
1
D
21.04.26
1.
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
4
1
W
17.04.26
1.
AC Horsens
Kolding IF
1
0
W
11.04.26
1.
AC Horsens
Hillerød
0
0
D
04.04.26
1.
AC Horsens
Lyngby
1
0
W
21.03.26
1.
AC Horsens
Hvidovre
0
4
L
14.03.26
1.
AC Horsens
Aarhus Fremad
0
0
D
09.03.26
1.
AC Horsens
Lyngby
1
3
L
28.02.26
1.
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
1
2
L
19.02.26
Fri
AC Horsens
Zbrojovka Brno
1
2
L
03.02.26
Fri
AC Horsens
FC Fredericia
0
3
L
H2H: Esbjerg vs AC Horsens
30.04.26
H2H
Esbjerg
AC Horsens
0
1
L
21.04.26
H2H
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
4
1
L
28.02.26
H2H
Esbjerg
AC Horsens
2
1
W
20.09.25
H2H
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
1
0
L
03.05.25
H2H
Esbjerg
AC Horsens
0
1
L
18.04.25
H2H
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
3
2
L
14.03.25
H2H
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
2
1
L
04.08.24
H2H
Esbjerg
AC Horsens
0
1
L
17.02.24
H2H
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
0
0
D
13.03.22
H2H
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
0
0
D
13.08.21
H2H
Esbjerg
AC Horsens
0
0
D
04.09.20
H2H
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
2
0
L
03.07.20
H2H
Esbjerg
AC Horsens
1
2
L
16.06.20
H2H
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
2
2
D
01.11.19
H2H
Esbjerg
AC Horsens
1
1
D
Last matches: Esbjerg
25.07.26
1.
Esbjerg
Kolding IF
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Esbjerg
FC Fredericia
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Esbjerg
Mafra
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Esbjerg
Aarhus Fremad
2
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Esbjerg
Vejle
3
3
D
31.05.26
1.
Esbjerg
Lyngby
2
1
W
09.05.26
1.
Esbjerg
Kolding IF
3
0
W
17.04.26
1.
Esbjerg
Hillerød
0
0
D
10.04.26
1.
Esbjerg
Hvidovre
1
0
W
15.03.26
1.
Esbjerg
Hillerød
2
2
D
28.02.26
1.
Esbjerg
AC Horsens
2
1
W
21.02.26
Fri
Esbjerg
Vendsyssel FF
0
1
L
10.02.26
Fri
Esbjerg
Zimbru
1
1
D
03.02.26
Fri
Esbjerg
Kauno Žalgiris
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
Esbjerg
Kolding IF
4
4
D
10.11.25
1.
Esbjerg
Middelfart
4
2
W
02.11.25
1.
Esbjerg
B 93
3
2
W
16.10.25
1.
Esbjerg
Hobro
1
1
D
28.09.25
1.
Esbjerg
Aarhus Fremad
1
1
D
01.09.25
1.
Esbjerg
HB Koge
3
2
W
H2H at home: Esbjerg
30.04.26
H2H
Esbjerg
AC Horsens
0
1
L
28.02.26
H2H
Esbjerg
AC Horsens
2
1
W
03.05.25
H2H
Esbjerg
AC Horsens
0
1
L
04.08.24
H2H
Esbjerg
AC Horsens
0
1
L
13.08.21
H2H
Esbjerg
AC Horsens
0
0
D
03.07.20
H2H
Esbjerg
AC Horsens
1
2
L
01.11.19
H2H
Esbjerg
AC Horsens
1
1
D
Last matches: AC Horsens
18.07.26
Fri
AC Horsens
Vendsyssel FF
0
1
L
15.07.26
Fri
AC Horsens
Aarhus
0
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
AC Horsens
FC Copenhagen
2
3
L
27.06.26
Fri
AC Horsens
FC Nordsjaelland
1
1
D
25.05.26
1.
AC Horsens
Lyngby
2
0
W
25.04.26
1.
AC Horsens
Hvidovre
1
1
D
17.04.26
1.
AC Horsens
Kolding IF
1
0
W
11.04.26
1.
AC Horsens
Hillerød
0
0
D
14.03.26
1.
AC Horsens
Aarhus Fremad
0
0
D
28.02.26
1.
AC Horsens
Esbjerg
1
2
L
19.02.26
Fri
AC Horsens
Zbrojovka Brno
1
2
L
30.01.26
Fri
AC Horsens
Hobro
2
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
AC Horsens
Hamburger SV II
5
1
W
07.11.25
1.
AC Horsens
Kolding IF
3
1
W
24.10.25
1.
AC Horsens
B 93
0
1
L
18.10.25
1.
AC Horsens
Middelfart
3
0
W
27.09.25
1.
AC Horsens
Hillerød
1
2
L
13.09.25
1.
AC Horsens
HB Koge
0
1
L
23.08.25
1.
AC Horsens
Lyngby
0
0
D
20.08.25
1.
AC Horsens
Hobro
1
0
W
H2H away: AC Horsens
30.04.26
H2H
Esbjerg
AC Horsens
0
1
W
28.02.26
H2H
Esbjerg
AC Horsens
2
1
L
03.05.25
H2H
Esbjerg
AC Horsens
0
1
W
04.08.24
H2H
Esbjerg
AC Horsens
0
1
W
13.08.21
H2H
Esbjerg
AC Horsens
0
0
D
03.07.20
H2H
Esbjerg
AC Horsens
1
2
W
01.11.19
H2H
Esbjerg
AC Horsens
1
1
D

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 6 4 49:25 24 42
L L W W L
2 22 10 9 3 34:23 11 39
L L D L D
3 22 10 7 5 33:29 4 37
W L D L W
4 22 11 4 7 32:29 3 37
W W D W L
5 22 9 6 7 29:23 6 33
L W L L D
6 22 8 6 8 26:24 2 30
W W D W W
7 22 7 7 8 33:31 2 28
W L D L D
8 22 8 4 10 26:36 -10 28
D W D D L
9 22 6 9 7 32:27 5 27
D W W D W
10 22 6 7 9 22:31 -9 25
W W L D D
11 22 5 5 12 26:41 -15 20
L L W D W
12 22 2 6 14 21:44 -23 12
L L L W L
Promotion round
Relegation Round