TUNISIA LIGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium
ES Zarzis
Match Timeline
ES Sahel
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
Z. Boutmene
ES Sahel
🟨
16'
ES Zarzis
ES Zarzis
44'
F. Ghouma
ES Zarzis
🟨
51'
ES Zarzis
ES Zarzis
🟨
63'
ES Zarzis
ES Zarzis
74'
A. Ben Dhiaf
ES Zarzis
🟨
75'
ES Zarzis
ES Zarzis
77'
M. Rahmani
ES Zarzis

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 83.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 61%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 67%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
83.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
61%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
67%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
ES Zarzis Win 35.9%
Draw 16.3%
ES Sahel Win 47.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
ES Zarzis0.91
ES Sahel0.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
ES Zarzis ES Zarzis
WWDLW
24 GF / 25 GA
ES Sahel ES Sahel
WLDWL
25 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
0.92
Average Goals Scored
0.93
0.96
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
8
BTTS Yes
9
10
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

ES Zarzis ES Zarzis 26 matches
ES Sahel ES Sahel 27 matches
ES Zarzis Statistic ES Sahel
8 Wins 10
8 Draws 8
10 Losses 9
24 Goals For 25
25 Goals Against 24
0.92 Avg Goals Scored 0.93
0.96 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
8 BTTS Yes 9
14 Over 1.5 15
10 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 3
10 Clean Sheets 13
13 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between ES Sahel's more proactive style and ES Zarzis's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward ES Sahel. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward ES Sahel having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

ES Zarzis Analysis

ES Zarzis sit 11 with 32 points after 27 league matches. The record of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 24:27 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through I. Nshuti (6 goals), M. Rahmani (6 goals), O. Stanley (5 goals), with creative support from M. Rahmani (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

ES Sahel Analysis

So far, ES Sahel have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 38 points from 27 matches. The record of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 25:24 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through R. Aouani (4 goals), M. Anane (2 goals), M. Ben Seghaier (2 goals), with creative support from M. Ben Seghaier (1 assists), Cristo (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, ES Zarzis won 5 times, ES Sahel won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:21 from ES Zarzis's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.7%)
H2H summary: ES Zarzis wins 5, draws 2, ES Sahel wins 8

Lineups

ES Zarzis
Formation
ES Sahel
S. Charfi
S. Charfi
G. Mahersi
G. Mahersi
L. Rjili
L. Rjili
F. Ghouma
F. Ghouma
P. Diallo
P. Diallo
D. Nyengue
D. Nyengue
K. Kassab
K. Kassab
A. Ben Dhiaf
A. Ben Dhiaf
A. Oluwaseun
A. Oluwaseun
M. Rahmani
M. Rahmani
Y. Dhaflaoui
Y. Dhaflaoui
M. Landolsi
M. Landolsi
H. Dagdoug
H. Dagdoug
M. Bouzaabia
M. Bouzaabia
N. Hnid
N. Hnid
W. Kechrida
W. Kechrida
C. Gbo
C. Gbo
F. Ben Choug
F. Ben Choug
M. Ben Amor
M. Ben Amor
O. Abid
O. Abid
R. Anane
R. Anane
Z. Boutmene
Z. Boutmene
ES Zarzis 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
22
S. Charfi
33
G. Mahersi
28
L. Rjili
35
F. Ghouma
⚽ 44'
20
P. Diallo
92
D. Nyengue
13
K. Kassab
7
A. Ben Dhiaf
⚽ 74'
A. Oluwaseun
29
M. Rahmani
⚽ 77'
18
Y. Dhaflaoui
Substitutes
5
M. Chouchane
32
H. Ghanmi
10
A. Garreb
11
M. Jertila
27
A. Tajourii
24
M. Zidi
19
D. Onyemuchara
99
A. M. Yassine
14
Y. Abubakar
ES Sahel 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
39
M. Landolsi
33
H. Dagdoug
4
M. Bouzaabia
5
N. Hnid
21
W. Kechrida
6
C. Gbo
25
F. Ben Choug
29
M. Ben Amor
8
O. Abid
30
R. Anane
26
Z. Boutmene
⚽ 10'
Substitutes
18
Cristo
27
M. Jebali
22
A. Horchani
17
N. Smichi
1
K. Youssef
11
M. Senghor
19
M. Bouslama
35
R. Ouni
37
M. Diawara
Last matches: ES Zarzis
13.05.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
CA Bizertin
2
0
W
09.05.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
ES Metlaoui
1
0
W
30.04.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
AS Marsa
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
Olympique Béja
2
0
W
23.04.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
ES Tunis
2
2
D
04.04.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
Stade Tunisien
0
0
D
06.03.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
AS Soliman
0
1
L
27.02.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
JS Kairouanaise
1
1
D
15.02.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
US Monastirienne
0
3
L
07.02.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
AS Gabes
0
1
L
31.01.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
US Ben Guerdane
0
0
D
27.01.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
Club Africain
0
0
D
23.01.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1
2
L
16.01.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
CS Sfaxien
0
2
L
22.11.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
CA Bizertin
3
0
W
09.11.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
ES Metlaoui
0
0
D
05.11.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
ES Sahel
0
1
L
26.10.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
Olympique Béja
3
0
W
22.10.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
ES Tunis
0
0
D
04.10.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
Stade Tunisien
0
3
L
Last matches: ES Sahel
14.05.26
Lig
ES Sahel
CS Sfaxien
1
3
L
09.05.26
Lig
ES Sahel
CA Bizertin
1
0
W
29.04.26
Lig
ES Sahel
ES Metlaoui
0
2
L
25.04.26
Lig
ES Sahel
AS Marsa
1
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
ES Sahel
Olympique Béja
1
3
L
04.04.26
Lig
ES Sahel
ES Tunis
0
0
D
08.03.26
Lig
ES Sahel
Stade Tunisien
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lig
ES Sahel
AS Soliman
1
0
W
13.02.26
Lig
ES Sahel
JS Kairouanaise
2
1
W
07.02.26
Lig
ES Sahel
US Monastirienne
1
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
ES Sahel
AS Gabes
0
0
D
28.01.26
Lig
ES Sahel
US Ben Guerdane
0
0
D
22.01.26
Lig
ES Sahel
Club Africain
0
3
L
17.01.26
Lig
ES Sahel
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1
0
W
23.11.25
Lig
ES Sahel
CS Sfaxien
0
1
L
08.11.25
Lig
ES Sahel
CA Bizertin
1
1
D
05.11.25
Lig
ES Sahel
ES Zarzis
1
0
W
01.11.25
Lig
ES Sahel
ES Metlaoui
2
0
W
29.10.25
Lig
ES Sahel
AS Marsa
2
0
W
22.10.25
Lig
ES Sahel
Olympique Béja
1
2
L
H2H: ES Zarzis vs ES Sahel
04.05.26
H2H
ES Zarzis
ES Sahel
3
1
W
05.11.25
H2H
ES Sahel
ES Zarzis
1
0
L
09.03.25
H2H
ES Sahel
ES Zarzis
0
1
W
24.11.24
H2H
ES Zarzis
ES Sahel
2
3
L
16.03.22
H2H
ES Zarzis
Etoile DU Sahel
0
3
L
04.11.21
H2H
Etoile DU Sahel
ES Zarzis
1
1
D
30.05.21
H2H
ES Zarzis
Etoile DU Sahel
1
0
W
31.01.18
H2H
Etoile DU Sahel
ES Zarzis
3
1
L
10.09.17
H2H
ES Zarzis
Etoile DU Sahel
0
1
L
26.11.16
H2H
Etoile DU Sahel
ES Zarzis
0
1
W
10.09.16
H2H
ES Zarzis
Etoile DU Sahel
0
3
L
22.05.16
H2H
Etoile DU Sahel
ES Zarzis
1
0
L
27.12.15
H2H
ES Zarzis
Etoile DU Sahel
0
1
L
26.04.15
H2H
ES Zarzis
Etoile DU Sahel
1
1
D
30.11.14
H2H
Etoile DU Sahel
ES Zarzis
2
3
W
Last matches: ES Zarzis
09.05.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
ES Metlaoui
1
0
W
26.04.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
Olympique Béja
2
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
Stade Tunisien
0
0
D
27.02.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
JS Kairouanaise
1
1
D
07.02.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
AS Gabes
0
1
L
27.01.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
Club Africain
0
0
D
16.01.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
CS Sfaxien
0
2
L
22.11.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
CA Bizertin
3
0
W
22.10.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
ES Tunis
0
0
D
28.09.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
AS Soliman
1
3
L
17.09.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
US Monastirienne
0
1
L
28.08.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
US Ben Guerdane
1
1
D
16.08.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1
0
W
H2H at home: ES Zarzis
04.05.26
H2H
ES Zarzis
ES Sahel
3
1
W
24.11.24
H2H
ES Zarzis
ES Sahel
2
3
L
16.03.22
H2H
ES Zarzis
Etoile DU Sahel
0
3
L
30.05.21
H2H
ES Zarzis
Etoile DU Sahel
1
0
W
10.09.17
H2H
ES Zarzis
Etoile DU Sahel
0
1
L
10.09.16
H2H
ES Zarzis
Etoile DU Sahel
0
3
L
27.12.15
H2H
ES Zarzis
Etoile DU Sahel
0
1
L
26.04.15
H2H
ES Zarzis
Etoile DU Sahel
1
1
D
Last matches: ES Sahel
14.05.26
Lig
ES Sahel
CS Sfaxien
1
3
L
29.04.26
Lig
ES Sahel
ES Metlaoui
0
2
L
11.04.26
Lig
ES Sahel
Olympique Béja
1
3
L
08.03.26
Lig
ES Sahel
Stade Tunisien
1
1
D
13.02.26
Lig
ES Sahel
JS Kairouanaise
2
1
W
01.02.26
Lig
ES Sahel
AS Gabes
0
0
D
22.01.26
Lig
ES Sahel
Club Africain
0
3
L
08.11.25
Lig
ES Sahel
CA Bizertin
1
1
D
29.10.25
Lig
ES Sahel
AS Marsa
2
0
W
05.10.25
Lig
ES Sahel
ES Tunis
0
1
L
24.09.25
Lig
ES Sahel
AS Soliman
2
0
W
13.09.25
Lig
ES Sahel
US Monastirienne
1
1
D
21.08.25
Lig
ES Sahel
US Ben Guerdane
0
0
D
10.08.25
Lig
ES Sahel
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1
3
L
H2H away: ES Sahel
04.05.26
H2H
ES Zarzis
ES Sahel
3
1
L
24.11.24
H2H
ES Zarzis
ES Sahel
2
3
W

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 9 2 43:10 33 66
D W W D W
2 30 18 9 3 45:11 34 63
W L W D D
3 30 18 8 4 43:13 30 62
W W W D W
4 30 12 12 6 28:14 14 48
W D L L L
5 30 11 12 7 28:18 10 45
W L L W L
6 30 11 8 11 30:28 2 41
W W W L W
7 30 11 8 11 28:30 -2 41
L W L L W
8 30 9 13 8 19:25 -6 40
D L W W D
9 30 10 6 14 24:33 -9 36
D L L W L
10 30 8 11 11 18:22 -4 35
L D L W W
11 30 11 2 17 26:33 -7 35
D L W W L
12 30 8 9 13 18:29 -11 33
L L L L D
13 30 9 5 16 18:39 -21 32
D W L W L
14 30 9 4 17 20:41 -21 31
D W W L L
15 30 6 9 15 15:31 -16 27
L W W D W
16 30 3 9 18 11:37 -26 18
L L L L D
Champions League
CAF Confederation Cup
Relegation