TUNISIA LIGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium
ES Zarzis
Match Timeline
ES Metlaoui
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
M. Jertila
ES Zarzis
🟨
15'
ES Zarzis
ES Zarzis
🔄
21'
M. Jertila ↔ M. Rahmani
ES Zarzis
🟨
45+1'
ES Zarzis
ES Zarzis
🔄
54'
D. Onyemuchara ↔ D. Nyengue
ES Zarzis
🔄
54'
M. Chouchane ↔ F. Ghouma
ES Zarzis
🟨
61'
ES Metlaoui
ES Metlaoui

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
ES Zarzis Win 63.7%
Draw 0%
ES Metlaoui Win 36.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
ES Zarzis0.94
ES Metlaoui0.79
Recent Form (Last 5)
ES Zarzis ES Zarzis
WWDLW
27 GF / 26 GA
ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui
WLDWL
19 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.68
0.96
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
9
BTTS Yes
7
11
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

ES Zarzis ES Zarzis 27 matches
ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 28 matches
ES Zarzis Statistic ES Metlaoui
9 Wins 9
8 Draws 12
10 Losses 7
27 Goals For 19
26 Goals Against 24
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.68
0.96 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
9 BTTS Yes 7
15 Over 1.5 13
11 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 3
10 Clean Sheets 15
13 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward ES Metlaoui having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring ES Metlaoui. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

ES Zarzis Analysis

ES Zarzis sit 8 with 35 points after 28 league matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 27:28 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Rahmani (7 goals), I. Nshuti (6 goals), O. Stanley (5 goals), with creative support from M. Rahmani (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

ES Metlaoui Analysis

From their first 28 matches, ES Metlaoui have collected 39 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 12 draws, and 7 losses, while the 19:24 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Ouled Behi (6 goals), B. N. Sylla (2 goals), C. Bodian (2 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, ES Zarzis won 3 times, ES Metlaoui won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:13 from ES Zarzis's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.69 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: ES Zarzis wins 3, draws 4, ES Metlaoui wins 6

Lineups

ES Zarzis
Formation
ES Metlaoui
H. Taleb
H. Taleb
J. Belkilani
J. Belkilani
L. Rjili
L. Rjili
M. Ghrab
M. Ghrab
P. Diallo
P. Diallo
A. Tajourii
A. Tajourii
K. Khalfa
K. Khalfa
M. Chouchane
M. Chouchane
A. M. Yassine
A. M. Yassine
D. Onyemuchara
D. Onyemuchara
M. Jertila
M. Jertila
A. Mechri
A. Mechri
M. Hassine
M. Hassine
O. Bahri
O. Bahri
Y. Boukhris
Y. Boukhris
Y. Soltani
Y. Soltani
C. Bodian
C. Bodian
E. Kouassi
E. Kouassi
M. I. Guesmi
M. I. Guesmi
M. Diame Pape
M. Diame Pape
B. Nana
B. Nana
H. Mansri
H. Mansri
ES Zarzis 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
H. Taleb
31
J. Belkilani
28
L. Rjili
11
M. Ghrab
20
P. Diallo
27
A. Tajourii
6
K. Khalfa
5
M. Chouchane
↓ 54'
99
A. M. Yassine
19
D. Onyemuchara
↓ 54'
M. Jertila
⚽ 4' ↓ 21'
Substitutes
32
H. Ghanmi
33
G. Mahersi
18
Y. Dhiflaoui
14
Y. Abubakar
29
M. Rahmani
↑ 21'
7
A. Ben Dhiaf
92
D. Nyengue
↑ 54'
10
A. Garreb
35
F. Ghouma
↑ 54'
ES Metlaoui 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Mechri
26
M. Hassine
5
O. Bahri
28
Y. Boukhris
15
Y. Soltani
19
C. Bodian
8
E. Kouassi
32
M. I. Guesmi
29
M. Diame Pape
14
B. Nana
9
H. Mansri
Substitutes
31
M. Dinari
25
I. Fajraoui
10
B. Hajji
17
I. Hermes
K. Tlili
4
S. Bouani
6
I. Glele
13
A. Bangoura
7
R. Fadaa
Last matches: ES Zarzis
13.05.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
CA Bizertin
2
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
ES Sahel
3
1
W
30.04.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
AS Marsa
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
Olympique Béja
2
0
W
23.04.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
ES Tunis
2
2
D
04.04.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
Stade Tunisien
0
0
D
06.03.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
AS Soliman
0
1
L
27.02.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
JS Kairouanaise
1
1
D
15.02.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
US Monastirienne
0
3
L
07.02.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
AS Gabes
0
1
L
31.01.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
US Ben Guerdane
0
0
D
27.01.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
Club Africain
0
0
D
23.01.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1
2
L
16.01.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
CS Sfaxien
0
2
L
22.11.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
CA Bizertin
3
0
W
09.11.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
ES Metlaoui
0
0
D
05.11.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
ES Sahel
0
1
L
26.10.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
Olympique Béja
3
0
W
22.10.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
ES Tunis
0
0
D
04.10.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
Stade Tunisien
0
3
L
Last matches: ES Metlaoui
14.05.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
JS Kairouanaise
0
0
D
04.05.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
US Monastirienne
1
0
W
29.04.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
ES Sahel
2
0
W
25.04.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
AS Gabes
1
1
D
13.04.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
AS Marsa
1
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
US Ben Guerdane
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
Olympique Béja
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
Club Africain
0
5
L
25.02.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
ES Tunis
1
1
D
08.02.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1
2
L
01.02.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
Stade Tunisien
0
0
D
27.01.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
CS Sfaxien
0
2
L
23.01.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
AS Soliman
2
2
D
17.01.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
CA Bizertin
0
0
D
22.11.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
JS Kairouanaise
1
0
W
09.11.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
ES Zarzis
0
0
D
05.11.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
US Monastirienne
2
2
D
01.11.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
ES Sahel
0
2
L
25.10.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
AS Gabes
1
0
W
19.10.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
AS Marsa
1
0
W
H2H: ES Zarzis vs ES Metlaoui
09.05.26
H2H
ES Zarzis
ES Metlaoui
1
0
W
09.11.25
H2H
ES Metlaoui
ES Zarzis
0
0
D
06.04.25
H2H
ES Metlaoui
ES Zarzis
0
2
W
09.02.25
H2H
ES Metlaoui
ES Zarzis
1
0
L
29.09.24
H2H
ES Zarzis
ES Metlaoui
1
0
W
26.05.22
H2H
Etoile S. Metlaoui
ES Zarzis
1
0
L
14.05.22
H2H
ES Zarzis
Etoile S. Metlaoui
1
1
D
01.04.18
H2H
Etoile S. Metlaoui
ES Zarzis
2
2
D
04.11.17
H2H
ES Zarzis
Etoile S. Metlaoui
1
3
L
28.02.16
H2H
ES Zarzis
Etoile S. Metlaoui
1
3
L
27.09.15
H2H
Etoile S. Metlaoui
ES Zarzis
1
0
L
12.04.15
H2H
ES Zarzis
Etoile S. Metlaoui
0
0
D
01.11.14
H2H
Etoile S. Metlaoui
ES Zarzis
1
0
L
Last matches: ES Zarzis
04.05.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
ES Sahel
3
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
Olympique Béja
2
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
Stade Tunisien
0
0
D
27.02.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
JS Kairouanaise
1
1
D
07.02.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
AS Gabes
0
1
L
27.01.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
Club Africain
0
0
D
16.01.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
CS Sfaxien
0
2
L
22.11.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
CA Bizertin
3
0
W
22.10.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
ES Tunis
0
0
D
28.09.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
AS Soliman
1
3
L
17.09.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
US Monastirienne
0
1
L
28.08.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
US Ben Guerdane
1
1
D
16.08.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1
0
W
H2H at home: ES Zarzis
09.05.26
H2H
ES Zarzis
ES Metlaoui
1
0
W
29.09.24
H2H
ES Zarzis
ES Metlaoui
1
0
W
14.05.22
H2H
ES Zarzis
Etoile S. Metlaoui
1
1
D
04.11.17
H2H
ES Zarzis
Etoile S. Metlaoui
1
3
L
28.02.16
H2H
ES Zarzis
Etoile S. Metlaoui
1
3
L
12.04.15
H2H
ES Zarzis
Etoile S. Metlaoui
0
0
D
Last matches: ES Metlaoui
04.05.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
US Monastirienne
1
0
W
25.04.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
AS Gabes
1
1
D
05.04.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
US Ben Guerdane
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
Club Africain
0
5
L
08.02.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1
2
L
27.01.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
CS Sfaxien
0
2
L
17.01.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
CA Bizertin
0
0
D
22.11.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
JS Kairouanaise
1
0
W
01.11.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
ES Sahel
0
2
L
19.10.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
AS Marsa
1
0
W
28.09.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
Olympique Béja
0
1
L
16.09.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
ES Tunis
0
2
L
27.08.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
Stade Tunisien
0
2
L
15.08.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
AS Soliman
1
0
W
H2H away: ES Metlaoui
09.05.26
H2H
ES Zarzis
ES Metlaoui
1
0
L
29.09.24
H2H
ES Zarzis
ES Metlaoui
1
0
L