TUNISIA LIGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi
ES Tunis
Match Timeline
ES Zarzis
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
F. Danho
ES Tunis
40'
K. Kassab
ES Zarzis
45'
K. Boualia
ES Tunis
45'
D. Nyengue
ES Zarzis
🟨
55'
ES Zarzis
ES Zarzis
🟨
58'
ES Zarzis
ES Zarzis
🟨
58'
ES Tunis
ES Tunis
🟨
68'
ES Zarzis
ES Zarzis
🟨
75'
ES Zarzis
ES Zarzis
🟨
90'
ES Zarzis
ES Zarzis

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 95.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
95.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
56.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
-
Probability Distribution
ES Tunis Win 95.5%
Draw 0%
ES Zarzis Win 4.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
ES Tunis1.39
ES Zarzis0.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
ES Tunis ES Tunis
WWDLW
40 GF / 7 GA
ES Zarzis ES Zarzis
WLDWL
20 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
0.87
0.29
Average Goals Conceded
0.96
5
BTTS Yes
7
9
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

ES Tunis ES Tunis 24 matches
ES Zarzis ES Zarzis 23 matches
ES Tunis Statistic ES Zarzis
16 Wins 7
6 Draws 7
2 Losses 9
40 Goals For 20
7 Goals Against 22
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 0.87
0.29 Avg Goals Conceded 0.96
5 BTTS Yes 7
15 Over 1.5 12
9 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 2
18 Clean Sheets 9
5 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around ES Tunis's more proactive style and ES Zarzis's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. ES Tunis arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 54 points compared to ES Zarzis in 10 on 28, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward ES Zarzis having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward ES Zarzis. ES Zarzis arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

ES Tunis Analysis

ES Tunis approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 54 points after 24 outings. With 16 wins, 6 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 40:7, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by A. Jabri (6 goals), K. Boualia (6 goals), Yan Sasse (5 goals), with creative support from Yan Sasse (3 assists), K. Boualia (1 assists), Y. Belaili (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 11 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

ES Zarzis Analysis

ES Zarzis approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 28 points from 24 matches. Their record of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 20:24, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through I. Nshuti (6 goals), M. Rahmani (6 goals), O. Stanley (5 goals), with creative support from M. Rahmani (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, ES Tunis won 8 times, ES Zarzis won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:13 from ES Tunis's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: ES Tunis wins 8, draws 3, ES Zarzis wins 4

Lineups

ES Tunis
Formation
ES Zarzis
B. Ben Said
B. Ben Said
M. Ben Hamida
M. Ben Hamida
M. Drager
M. Drager
N. Laifi
N. Laifi
H. Jelassi
H. Jelassi
H. Rafia
H. Rafia
H. Tka
H. Tka
K. Boualia
K. Boualia
O. Ogbelu
O. Ogbelu
F. Danho
F. Danho
J. Diarra
J. Diarra
H. Ghanmi
H. Ghanmi
J. Belkilani
J. Belkilani
L. Rjili
L. Rjili
P. Diallo
P. Diallo
D. Nyengue
D. Nyengue
K. Kassab
K. Kassab
K. Khalfa
K. Khalfa
A. M. Yassine
A. M. Yassine
Y. Abubakar
Y. Abubakar
M. Rahmani
M. Rahmani
Y. Dhiflaoui
Y. Dhiflaoui
ES Tunis 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
32
B. Ben Said
20
M. Ben Hamida
13
M. Drager
12
N. Laifi
6
H. Jelassi
24
H. Rafia
8
H. Tka
7
K. Boualia
⚽ 45'
14
O. Ogbelu
22
F. Danho
⚽ 7'
34
J. Diarra
Substitutes
1
A. Memmiche
4
M. Haj Ali
19
A. Jabri
21
A. Konate
30
K. Maacha
29
A. Diakite
25
E. Bouzaiene
18
A. Hmidhi
M. Derbali
ES Zarzis 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
32
H. Ghanmi
31
J. Belkilani
28
L. Rjili
20
P. Diallo
92
D. Nyengue
⚽ 45'
13
K. Kassab
⚽ 40'
6
K. Khalfa
3
A. M. Yassine
14
Y. Abubakar
29
M. Rahmani
18
Y. Dhiflaoui
Substitutes
1
H. Taleb
24
B. Mokhtar
11
M. Jertila
23
M. Sghaier
A. Oluwaseun
19
D. Onyemuchara
5
M. Chouchane
10
A. Garreb
27
A. Tajourii
Last matches: ES Tunis
14.05.26
Lig
ES Tunis
US Ben Guerdane
1
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
ES Tunis
Club Africain
0
1
L
04.05.26
Lig
ES Tunis
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1
0
W
30.04.26
Lig
ES Tunis
CS Sfaxien
0
0
D
26.04.26
Lig
ES Tunis
CA Bizertin
1
1
D
04.04.26
Lig
ES Tunis
ES Sahel
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lig
ES Tunis
AS Marsa
1
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
ES Tunis
Olympique Béja
3
0
W
25.02.26
Lig
ES Tunis
ES Metlaoui
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
ES Tunis
Stade Tunisien
1
0
W
17.02.26
Lig
ES Tunis
AS Soliman
3
0
W
27.01.26
Lig
ES Tunis
JS Kairouanaise
1
0
W
19.01.26
Lig
ES Tunis
US Monastirienne
1
2
L
15.01.26
Lig
ES Tunis
AS Gabes
2
1
W
10.01.26
Lig
ES Tunis
US Ben Guerdane
4
0
W
09.11.25
Lig
ES Tunis
Club Africain
0
0
D
06.11.25
Lig
ES Tunis
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
4
0
W
02.11.25
Lig
ES Tunis
CS Sfaxien
2
1
W
30.10.25
Lig
ES Tunis
CA Bizertin
2
0
W
22.10.25
Lig
ES Tunis
ES Zarzis
0
0
D
Last matches: ES Zarzis
13.05.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
CA Bizertin
2
0
W
09.05.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
ES Metlaoui
1
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
ES Sahel
3
1
W
30.04.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
AS Marsa
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
Olympique Béja
2
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
Stade Tunisien
0
0
D
06.03.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
AS Soliman
0
1
L
27.02.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
JS Kairouanaise
1
1
D
15.02.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
US Monastirienne
0
3
L
07.02.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
AS Gabes
0
1
L
31.01.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
US Ben Guerdane
0
0
D
27.01.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
Club Africain
0
0
D
23.01.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1
2
L
16.01.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
CS Sfaxien
0
2
L
22.11.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
CA Bizertin
3
0
W
09.11.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
ES Metlaoui
0
0
D
05.11.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
ES Sahel
0
1
L
26.10.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
Olympique Béja
3
0
W
22.10.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
ES Tunis
0
0
D
04.10.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
Stade Tunisien
0
3
L
H2H: ES Tunis vs ES Zarzis
31.05.26
H2H
ES Zarzis
ES Tunis
0
1
W
23.04.26
H2H
ES Tunis
ES Zarzis
2
2
D
22.10.25
H2H
ES Zarzis
ES Tunis
0
0
D
18.05.25
H2H
ES Tunis
ES Zarzis
3
1
W
19.02.25
H2H
ES Tunis
ES Zarzis
4
2
W
20.10.24
H2H
ES Zarzis
ES Tunis
1
0
L
27.04.18
H2H
ES Zarzis
Esperance Tunis
1
0
L
29.11.17
H2H
Esperance Tunis
ES Zarzis
2
0
L
19.02.17
H2H
Esperance Tunis
ES Zarzis
2
0
L
29.05.16
H2H
ES Zarzis
Esperance Tunis
1
2
W
30.12.15
H2H
Esperance Tunis
ES Zarzis
1
2
W
22.03.15
H2H
Esperance Tunis
ES Zarzis
2
1
L
03.10.14
H2H
ES Zarzis
Esperance Tunis
0
0
D
16.02.13
H2H
ES Zarzis
Esperance Tunis
1
0
L
21.11.12
H2H
Esperance Tunis
ES Zarzis
2
1
L
Last matches: ES Tunis
10.05.26
Lig
ES Tunis
Club Africain
0
1
L
30.04.26
Lig
ES Tunis
CS Sfaxien
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lig
ES Tunis
AS Marsa
1
0
W
21.02.26
Lig
ES Tunis
Stade Tunisien
1
0
W
27.01.26
Lig
ES Tunis
JS Kairouanaise
1
0
W
15.01.26
Lig
ES Tunis
AS Gabes
2
1
W
10.01.26
Lig
ES Tunis
US Ben Guerdane
4
0
W
06.11.25
Lig
ES Tunis
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
4
0
W
30.10.25
Lig
ES Tunis
CA Bizertin
2
0
W
05.10.25
Lig
ES Tunis
ES Sahel
1
0
W
24.09.25
Lig
ES Tunis
Olympique Béja
2
0
W
16.09.25
Lig
ES Tunis
ES Metlaoui
2
0
W
28.08.25
Lig
ES Tunis
AS Soliman
2
0
W
15.08.25
Lig
ES Tunis
US Monastirienne
1
1
D
H2H at home: ES Tunis
23.04.26
H2H
ES Tunis
ES Zarzis
2
2
D
18.05.25
H2H
ES Tunis
ES Zarzis
3
1
W
19.02.25
H2H
ES Tunis
ES Zarzis
4
2
W
Last matches: ES Zarzis
13.05.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
CA Bizertin
2
0
W
30.04.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
AS Marsa
0
1
L
06.03.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
AS Soliman
0
1
L
15.02.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
US Monastirienne
0
3
L
31.01.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
US Ben Guerdane
0
0
D
23.01.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1
2
L
09.11.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
ES Metlaoui
0
0
D
05.11.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
ES Sahel
0
1
L
26.10.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
Olympique Béja
3
0
W
04.10.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
Stade Tunisien
0
3
L
20.09.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
JS Kairouanaise
4
1
W
14.09.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
AS Gabes
1
0
W
22.08.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
Club Africain
2
1
W
10.08.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
CS Sfaxien
2
1
W
H2H away: ES Zarzis
23.04.26
H2H
ES Tunis
ES Zarzis
2
2
D
18.05.25
H2H
ES Tunis
ES Zarzis
3
1
L
19.02.25
H2H
ES Tunis
ES Zarzis
4
2
L
29.11.17
H2H
Esperance Tunis
ES Zarzis
2
0
L
19.02.17
H2H
Esperance Tunis
ES Zarzis
2
0
L
30.12.15
H2H
Esperance Tunis
ES Zarzis
1
2
W
22.03.15
H2H
Esperance Tunis
ES Zarzis
2
1
L
21.11.12
H2H
Esperance Tunis
ES Zarzis
2
1
L

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 9 2 43:10 33 66
D W W D W
2 30 18 9 3 45:11 34 63
W L W D D
3 30 18 8 4 43:13 30 62
W W W D W
4 30 12 12 6 28:14 14 48
W D L L L
5 30 11 12 7 28:18 10 45
W L L W L
6 30 11 8 11 30:28 2 41
W W W L W
7 30 11 8 11 28:30 -2 41
L W L L W
8 30 9 13 8 19:25 -6 40
D L W W D
9 30 10 6 14 24:33 -9 36
D L L W L
10 30 8 11 11 18:22 -4 35
L D L W W
11 30 11 2 17 26:33 -7 35
D L W W L
12 30 8 9 13 18:29 -11 33
L L L L D
13 30 9 5 16 18:39 -21 32
D W L W L
14 30 9 4 17 20:41 -21 31
D W W L L
15 30 6 9 15 15:31 -16 27
L W W D W
16 30 3 9 18 11:37 -26 18
L L L L D
Champions League
CAF Confederation Cup
Relegation