TUNISIA LIGUE 1
30.04.2026 14:30
Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi
ES Tunis
Match Timeline
CS Sfaxien
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
40'
CS Sfaxien
CS Sfaxien
🔄
46'
Y. Habchia ↔ T. Mutyaba
CS Sfaxien
🟨
53'
CS Sfaxien
CS Sfaxien
🔄
65'
E. Ogbole ↔ W. Onana
CS Sfaxien
🔄
68'
K. Boualia ↔ Yan Sasse
ES Tunis
🔄
76'
H. Ouedraogo ↔ A. Taifour
CS Sfaxien
🔄
79'
C. Jebali ↔ M. Haj Ali
ES Tunis
🔄
79'
A. Hmidhi ↔ H. Dhaou
ES Tunis
🔄
87'
M. Ben Ali ↔ E. Bouzaiene
ES Tunis
🔄
89'
M. Trabelsi ↔ F. Sekkouhi
CS Sfaxien
🟨
90'
CS Sfaxien
CS Sfaxien
🟨
90+4'
CS Sfaxien
CS Sfaxien

ES Tunis vs CS Sfaxien Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 48%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 27.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
48%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
27.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
ES Tunis Win 65.9%
Draw 0%
CS Sfaxien Win 34.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
ES Tunis1.17
CS Sfaxien0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
ES Tunis ES Tunis
WWDLW
43 GF / 10 GA
CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien
WLDWL
35 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.65
Average Goals Scored
1.35
0.38
Average Goals Conceded
0.46
7
BTTS Yes
8
10
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

ES Tunis ES Tunis 26 matches
CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien 26 matches
ES Tunis Statistic CS Sfaxien
16 Wins 15
8 Draws 7
2 Losses 4
43 Goals For 35
10 Goals Against 12
1.65 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
0.38 Avg Goals Conceded 0.46
7 BTTS Yes 8
17 Over 1.5 16
10 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 1
18 Clean Sheets 17
5 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring CS Sfaxien. CS Sfaxien look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward CS Sfaxien having the stronger overall control.

ES Tunis Analysis

Placed 2 with 56 points from 26 outings, ES Tunis continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 16 wins, 8 draws, and 2 losses, while the 43:10 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Boualia (8 goals), A. Jabri (6 goals), Yan Sasse (5 goals), with creative support from Yan Sasse (3 assists), K. Boualia (1 assists), Y. Belaili (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 11 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

CS Sfaxien Analysis

CS Sfaxien approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 52 points after 26 outings. With 15 wins, 7 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 35:12, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by O. Ben Ali (9 goals), H. Baccar (7 goals), I. Belwafi (6 goals), with creative support from A. Maaloul (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, ES Tunis won 6 times, CS Sfaxien won 1 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:6 from ES Tunis's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.21 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: ES Tunis - / CS Sfaxien 4-2-1-3
H2H summary: ES Tunis wins 6, draws 7, CS Sfaxien wins 1

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 9 2 43:10 33 66
D W W D W
2 30 18 9 3 45:11 34 63
W L W D D
3 30 18 8 4 43:13 30 62
W W W D W
4 30 12 12 6 28:14 14 48
W D L L L
5 30 11 12 7 28:18 10 45
W L L W L
6 30 11 8 11 30:28 2 41
W W W L W
7 30 11 8 11 28:30 -2 41
L W L L W
8 30 9 13 8 19:25 -6 40
D L W W D
9 30 10 6 14 24:33 -9 36
D L L W L
10 30 8 11 11 18:22 -4 35
L D L W W
11 30 11 2 17 26:33 -7 35
D L W W L
12 30 8 9 13 18:29 -11 33
L L L L D
13 30 9 5 16 18:39 -21 32
D W L W L
14 30 9 4 17 20:41 -21 31
D W W L L
15 30 6 9 15 15:31 -16 27
L W W D W
16 30 3 9 18 11:37 -26 18
L L L L D
Champions League
CAF Confederation Cup
Relegation