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TUNISIA › LIGUE 1
24.10.2026 15:30
Stade Olympique de Sousse

ES Sahel vs CS Sfaxien Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 91.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
91.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
ES Sahel Win 48.2%
Draw 8.6%
CS Sfaxien Win 43.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
ES Sahel0.97
CS Sfaxien1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
ES Sahel ES Sahel
WWDLW
7 GF / 8 GA
CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien
WLDWL
7 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
4
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

ES Sahel ES Sahel 6 matches
CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien 6 matches
ES Sahel Statistic CS Sfaxien
2 Wins 3
1 Draws 2
3 Losses 1
7 Goals For 7
8 Goals Against 4
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
4 BTTS Yes 3
4 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by CS Sfaxien's more proactive style and ES Sahel's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward CS Sfaxien. CS Sfaxien carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 8 points while ES Sahel sit 12 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. ES Sahel have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward CS Sfaxien having the stronger overall control.

ES Sahel Analysis

With 4 points from 5 games and a place of 12, ES Sahel still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 5:7, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

CS Sfaxien Analysis

From their first 5 matches, CS Sfaxien have collected 8 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 6:4 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, ES Sahel won 5 times, CS Sfaxien won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:13 from ES Sahel's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.4%)
Predicted formations: ES Sahel - / CS Sfaxien 4-2-1-3
H2H summary: ES Sahel wins 5, draws 5, CS Sfaxien wins 5

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 2 0 11:6 5 14
W W W D D
2 5 4 0 1 10:7 3 12
W W W L W
4 6 3 2 1 5:2 3 11
L W D W D
5 4 3 0 1 4:2 2 9
L W W W
6 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
D D W D W
7 5 2 2 1 6:4 2 8
L W D W D
8 5 2 2 1 3:3 0 8
D L D W W
9 6 2 2 2 5:3 2 8
W D W L D
10 4 2 1 1 7:5 2 7
W W L D
11 6 2 1 3 7:8 -1 7
W L L D W
12 5 2 0 3 5:5 0 6
W L L L W
13 6 1 1 4 2:5 -3 4
D W L L L
14 6 1 0 5 3:9 -6 3
L L L W L
15 6 0 2 4 5:10 -5 2
L L D D L
16 6 0 1 5 1:9 -8 1
L L L L L
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2