TUNISIA LIGUE 1
09.05.2026 15:00
Stade Olympique de Sousse
ES Sahel
Match Timeline
CA Bizertin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
19'
M. Chaabani
ES Sahel
🔄
46'
M. Diop ↔ I. Midani
CA Bizertin
🟨
57'
CA Bizertin
CA Bizertin
🔄
61'
M. Diawara ↔ M. Senghor
ES Sahel
🔄
62'
I. Cissoko ↔ A. Amri
CA Bizertin
🟨
70'
ES Sahel
ES Sahel
🟨
71'
CA Bizertin
CA Bizertin
🟨
77'
CA Bizertin
CA Bizertin
🔄
78'
Z. Boutmene ↔ N. Smichi
ES Sahel
🔄
78'
A. Dridi ↔ M. Glo
CA Bizertin
🔄
89'
R. Ouni ↔ H. Dagdoug
ES Sahel
🟨
90+2'
CA Bizertin
CA Bizertin

ES Sahel vs CA Bizertin Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
ES Sahel Win 69.8%
Draw 4.7%
CA Bizertin Win 25.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
ES Sahel0.91
CA Bizertin0.79
Recent Form (Last 5)
ES Sahel ES Sahel
WWDLW
26 GF / 27 GA
CA Bizertin CA Bizertin
WLDWL
18 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
0.93
Average Goals Scored
0.67
0.96
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
10
BTTS Yes
6
8
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

ES Sahel ES Sahel 28 matches
CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 27 matches
ES Sahel Statistic CA Bizertin
10 Wins 8
8 Draws 9
10 Losses 10
26 Goals For 18
27 Goals Against 24
0.93 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
0.96 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
10 BTTS Yes 6
16 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 1
13 Clean Sheets 12
9 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward CA Bizertin. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. ES Sahel have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward CA Bizertin having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

ES Sahel Analysis

With 38 points from 28 games and a place of 7, ES Sahel still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 26:27, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through R. Aouani (4 goals), M. Anane (2 goals), M. Ben Seghaier (2 goals), with creative support from M. Ben Seghaier (1 assists), Cristo (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

CA Bizertin Analysis

CA Bizertin sit 12 with 33 points after 28 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses, while the 18:26 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Amri (2 goals), I. Cissoko (2 goals), M. Allela (2 goals), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, ES Sahel won 9 times, CA Bizertin won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:15 from ES Sahel's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
H2H summary: ES Sahel wins 9, draws 3, CA Bizertin wins 3

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 9 2 43:10 33 66
D W W D W
2 30 18 9 3 45:11 34 63
W L W D D
3 30 18 8 4 43:13 30 62
W W W D W
4 30 12 12 6 28:14 14 48
W D L L L
5 30 11 12 7 28:18 10 45
W L L W L
6 30 11 8 11 30:28 2 41
W W W L W
7 30 11 8 11 28:30 -2 41
L W L L W
8 30 9 13 8 19:25 -6 40
D L W W D
9 30 10 6 14 24:33 -9 36
D L L W L
10 30 8 11 11 18:22 -4 35
L D L W W
11 30 11 2 17 26:33 -7 35
D L W W L
12 30 8 9 13 18:29 -11 33
L L L L D
13 30 9 5 16 18:39 -21 32
D W L W L
14 30 9 4 17 20:41 -21 31
D W W L L
15 30 6 9 15 15:31 -16 27
L W W D W
16 30 3 9 18 11:37 -26 18
L L L L D
Champions League
CAF Confederation Cup
Relegation