TUNISIA LIGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Stade Olympique de Sousse
ES Sahel
Match Timeline
AS Marsa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
45'
ES Sahel
ES Sahel
61'
M. Chaabani
ES Sahel
🟨
68'
AS Marsa
AS Marsa
🟨
86'
ES Sahel
ES Sahel
🟨
86'
AS Marsa
AS Marsa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
61.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Probability Distribution
ES Sahel Win 78%
Draw 0%
AS Marsa Win 22%
Expected Goals (xG)
ES Sahel1.01
AS Marsa0.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
ES Sahel ES Sahel
WWDLW
24 GF / 22 GA
AS Marsa AS Marsa
WLDWL
19 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
0.96
Average Goals Scored
0.79
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
9
BTTS Yes
4
7
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

ES Sahel ES Sahel 25 matches
AS Marsa AS Marsa 24 matches
ES Sahel Statistic AS Marsa
9 Wins 8
8 Draws 1
8 Losses 15
24 Goals For 19
22 Goals Against 26
0.96 Avg Goals Scored 0.79
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
9 BTTS Yes 4
14 Over 1.5 11
7 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 2
12 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features ES Sahel's more proactive style and AS Marsa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward AS Marsa. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward AS Marsa having the stronger overall control. AS Marsa arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

ES Sahel Analysis

ES Sahel sit 6 with 35 points after 25 league matches. The record of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 24:22 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through R. Aouani (4 goals), M. Anane (2 goals), M. Ben Seghaier (2 goals), with creative support from M. Ben Seghaier (1 assists), Cristo (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

AS Marsa Analysis

AS Marsa approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 28 points from 25 matches. The overall return of 9 wins, 1 draws, and 15 defeats with a 21:25 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Hadhri (7 goals), A. Ben Hamida (2 goals), Y. Arfaoui (2 goals), with creative support from G. Kalu (1 assists), O. Adejoh (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, ES Sahel won 2 times, AS Marsa won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:0 from ES Sahel's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: ES Sahel wins 2, draws 0, AS Marsa wins 0

Lineups

ES Sahel
Formation
AS Marsa
S. Ben Hessen
S. Ben Hessen
G. Naouali
G. Naouali
H. Dagdoug
H. Dagdoug
N. Hnid
N. Hnid
W. Kechrida
W. Kechrida
C. Gbo
C. Gbo
M. Bouslama
M. Bouslama
O. Abid
O. Abid
R. Anane
R. Anane
M. Chaabani
M. Chaabani
M. Senghor
M. Senghor
S. Helal
S. Helal
M. Chaouch
M. Chaouch
O. Jebali
O. Jebali
Y. Arfaoui
Y. Arfaoui
A. Ben Hamida
A. Ben Hamida
H. Hichri
H. Hichri
M. Khaloui
M. Khaloui
O. Adejoh
O. Adejoh
R. Gneba
R. Gneba
F. Iffia
F. Iffia
Y. Dao
Y. Dao
ES Sahel 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
32
S. Ben Hessen
3
G. Naouali
33
H. Dagdoug
5
N. Hnid
21
W. Kechrida
6
C. Gbo
19
M. Bouslama
8
O. Abid
30
R. Anane
9
M. Chaabani
⚽ 61'
11
M. Senghor
Substitutes
25
F. Ben Choug
10
M. Ben Seghaier
29
M. Ben Amor
26
Z. Boutmene
N. Ferjani
22
A. Horchani
17
N. Smichi
20
Y. Ben Abdallah
39
M. Landolsi
AS Marsa 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
23
S. Helal
2
M. Chaouch
17
O. Jebali
5
Y. Arfaoui
28
A. Ben Hamida
3
H. Hichri
27
M. Khaloui
21
O. Adejoh
15
R. Gneba
10
F. Iffia
25
Y. Dao
Substitutes
29
F. Neji
7
K. Hammami
13
M. Traidi
11
O. Traidi
24
H. Mansour
26
Victorino Polaco
14
M. Moslem
1
A. Soltani
Last matches: ES Sahel
14.05.26
Lig
ES Sahel
CS Sfaxien
1
3
L
09.05.26
Lig
ES Sahel
CA Bizertin
1
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
ES Sahel
ES Zarzis
1
3
L
29.04.26
Lig
ES Sahel
ES Metlaoui
0
2
L
11.04.26
Lig
ES Sahel
Olympique Béja
1
3
L
04.04.26
Lig
ES Sahel
ES Tunis
0
0
D
08.03.26
Lig
ES Sahel
Stade Tunisien
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lig
ES Sahel
AS Soliman
1
0
W
13.02.26
Lig
ES Sahel
JS Kairouanaise
2
1
W
07.02.26
Lig
ES Sahel
US Monastirienne
1
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
ES Sahel
AS Gabes
0
0
D
28.01.26
Lig
ES Sahel
US Ben Guerdane
0
0
D
22.01.26
Lig
ES Sahel
Club Africain
0
3
L
17.01.26
Lig
ES Sahel
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1
0
W
23.11.25
Lig
ES Sahel
CS Sfaxien
0
1
L
08.11.25
Lig
ES Sahel
CA Bizertin
1
1
D
05.11.25
Lig
ES Sahel
ES Zarzis
1
0
W
01.11.25
Lig
ES Sahel
ES Metlaoui
2
0
W
29.10.25
Lig
ES Sahel
AS Marsa
2
0
W
22.10.25
Lig
ES Sahel
Olympique Béja
1
2
L
Last matches: AS Marsa
12.05.26
Lig
AS Marsa
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
2
2
D
09.05.26
Lig
AS Marsa
CS Sfaxien
0
3
L
04.05.26
Lig
AS Marsa
CA Bizertin
2
1
W
30.04.26
Lig
AS Marsa
ES Zarzis
1
0
W
19.04.26
Fri
AS Marsa
Club Africain
3
3
D
13.04.26
Lig
AS Marsa
ES Metlaoui
0
1
L
03.04.26
Lig
AS Marsa
Olympique Béja
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
AS Marsa
ES Tunis
0
1
L
28.02.26
Lig
AS Marsa
Stade Tunisien
0
4
L
14.02.26
Lig
AS Marsa
AS Soliman
2
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
AS Marsa
JS Kairouanaise
1
2
L
01.02.26
Lig
AS Marsa
US Monastirienne
0
1
L
28.01.26
Lig
AS Marsa
AS Gabes
1
0
W
23.01.26
Lig
AS Marsa
US Ben Guerdane
0
1
L
17.01.26
Lig
AS Marsa
Club Africain
0
1
L
22.11.25
Lig
AS Marsa
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
2
1
W
08.11.25
Lig
AS Marsa
CS Sfaxien
0
2
L
05.11.25
Lig
AS Marsa
CA Bizertin
2
0
W
29.10.25
Lig
AS Marsa
ES Sahel
0
2
L
19.10.25
Lig
AS Marsa
ES Metlaoui
0
1
L
H2H: ES Sahel vs AS Marsa
25.04.26
H2H
ES Sahel
AS Marsa
1
0
W
29.10.25
H2H
AS Marsa
ES Sahel
0
2
W
Last matches: ES Sahel
09.05.26
Lig
ES Sahel
CA Bizertin
1
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
ES Sahel
ES Tunis
0
0
D
28.02.26
Lig
ES Sahel
AS Soliman
1
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
ES Sahel
US Monastirienne
1
0
W
28.01.26
Lig
ES Sahel
US Ben Guerdane
0
0
D
17.01.26
Lig
ES Sahel
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1
0
W
23.11.25
Lig
ES Sahel
CS Sfaxien
0
1
L
05.11.25
Lig
ES Sahel
ES Zarzis
1
0
W
01.11.25
Lig
ES Sahel
ES Metlaoui
2
0
W
22.10.25
Lig
ES Sahel
Olympique Béja
1
2
L
01.10.25
Lig
ES Sahel
Stade Tunisien
1
1
D
16.09.25
Lig
ES Sahel
JS Kairouanaise
2
3
L
28.08.25
Lig
ES Sahel
AS Gabes
3
0
W
16.08.25
Lig
ES Sahel
Club Africain
0
1
L
H2H at home: ES Sahel
25.04.26
H2H
ES Sahel
AS Marsa
1
0
W
Last matches: AS Marsa
12.05.26
Lig
AS Marsa
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
2
2
D
04.05.26
Lig
AS Marsa
CA Bizertin
2
1
W
19.04.26
Fri
AS Marsa
Club Africain
3
3
D
13.04.26
Lig
AS Marsa
ES Metlaoui
0
1
L
07.03.26
Lig
AS Marsa
ES Tunis
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lig
AS Marsa
AS Soliman
2
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
AS Marsa
US Monastirienne
0
1
L
23.01.26
Lig
AS Marsa
US Ben Guerdane
0
1
L
08.11.25
Lig
AS Marsa
CS Sfaxien
0
2
L
04.10.25
Lig
AS Marsa
Olympique Béja
6
0
W
24.09.25
Lig
AS Marsa
Stade Tunisien
0
1
L
11.09.25
Lig
AS Marsa
JS Kairouanaise
1
2
L
22.08.25
Lig
AS Marsa
AS Gabes
1
2
L
09.08.25
Lig
AS Marsa
Club Africain
0
1
L
H2H away: AS Marsa
25.04.26
H2H
ES Sahel
AS Marsa
1
0
L

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 9 2 43:10 33 66
D W W D W
2 30 18 9 3 45:11 34 63
W L W D D
3 30 18 8 4 43:13 30 62
W W W D W
4 30 12 12 6 28:14 14 48
W D L L L
5 30 11 12 7 28:18 10 45
W L L W L
6 30 11 8 11 30:28 2 41
W W W L W
7 30 11 8 11 28:30 -2 41
L W L L W
8 30 9 13 8 19:25 -6 40
D L W W D
9 30 10 6 14 24:33 -9 36
D L L W L
10 30 8 11 11 18:22 -4 35
L D L W W
11 30 11 2 17 26:33 -7 35
D L W W L
12 30 8 9 13 18:29 -11 33
L L L L D
13 30 9 5 16 18:39 -21 32
D W L W L
14 30 9 4 17 20:41 -21 31
D W W L L
15 30 6 9 15 15:31 -16 27
L W W D W
16 30 3 9 18 11:37 -26 18
L L L L D
Champions League
CAF Confederation Cup
Relegation