TUNISIA LIGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Metlaoui Municipal stadium
ES Metlaoui
Match Timeline
ES Sahel
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
40'
Y. Soltani
ES Metlaoui
🔄
46'
Y. Ben Abdallah ↔ O. Abid
ES Sahel
58'
H. Mansri
ES Metlaoui
🔄
63'
G. Naouali ↔ M. Ben Seghaier
ES Sahel
🔄
63'
M. Chouchane ↔ Cristo
ES Sahel
🔄
64'
Y. Soltani ↔ S. Bouani
ES Metlaoui
🔄
73'
M. Diame Pape ↔ A. Bangoura
ES Metlaoui
🔄
75'
S. Ben Hessen ↔ N. Smichi
ES Sahel
🔄
83'
H. Mansri ↔ I. Hermes
ES Metlaoui
🔄
84'
B. Nana ↔ B. Hajji
ES Metlaoui

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 77.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 61%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 78%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
77.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
61%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
78%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT 2-2
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
ES Metlaoui Win 33%
Draw 22.7%
ES Sahel Win 44.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
ES Metlaoui0.71
ES Sahel0.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui
WWDLW
16 GF / 24 GA
ES Sahel ES Sahel
WLDWL
25 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
0.62
Average Goals Scored
0.96
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
7
BTTS Yes
9
5
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 26 matches
ES Sahel ES Sahel 26 matches
ES Metlaoui Statistic ES Sahel
7 Wins 10
12 Draws 8
7 Losses 8
16 Goals For 25
24 Goals Against 22
0.62 Avg Goals Scored 0.96
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
7 BTTS Yes 9
12 Over 1.5 14
5 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 3
13 Clean Sheets 13
13 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and ES Sahel's more proactive style and ES Metlaoui's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors ES Sahel. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward ES Sahel having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

ES Metlaoui Analysis

ES Metlaoui are currently 8 in the standings with 33 points from 26 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 12 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 16:24 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Ouled Behi (6 goals), B. N. Sylla (2 goals), C. Bodian (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 9 draws, and 0 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

ES Sahel Analysis

So far, ES Sahel have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 38 points from 26 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 25:22 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by R. Aouani (4 goals), M. Anane (2 goals), M. Ben Seghaier (2 goals), with creative support from M. Ben Seghaier (1 assists), Cristo (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, ES Metlaoui won 2 times, ES Sahel won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:24 from ES Metlaoui's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.3%)
H2H summary: ES Metlaoui wins 2, draws 5, ES Sahel wins 8

Lineups

ES Metlaoui
Formation
ES Sahel
C. H. Ben
C. H. Ben
M. Hssine
M. Hssine
F. Meskini
F. Meskini
Y. Boukhris
Y. Boukhris
B. Nana
B. Nana
E. Kouassi
E. Kouassi
M. Diame Pape
M. Diame Pape
Y. Soltani
Y. Soltani
C. Bodian
C. Bodian
H. Mansri
H. Mansri
O. Bahri
O. Bahri
S. Ben Hessen
S. Ben Hessen
N. Hnid
N. Hnid
Y. Ben Abdallah
Y. Ben Abdallah
R. Ouni
R. Ouni
G. Naouali
G. Naouali
W. Kechrida
W. Kechrida
M. Chouchane
M. Chouchane
M. Ben Amor
M. Ben Amor
M. Bouslama
M. Bouslama
R. Anane
R. Anane
M. Chaabani
M. Chaabani
ES Metlaoui 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
27
C. H. Ben
26
M. Hssine
6
F. Meskini
28
Y. Boukhris
14
B. Nana
↓ 84'
8
E. Kouassi
29
M. Diame Pape
↓ 73'
15
Y. Soltani
⚽ 40' ↓ 64'
19
C. Bodian
9
H. Mansri
⚽ 58' ↓ 83'
5
O. Bahri
Substitutes
1
K. Tlili
4
S. Bouani
↑ 64'
7
R. Fadaa
10
B. Hajji
↑ 84'
13
A. Bangoura
↑ 73'
25
I. Fajraoui
I. Glele
17
I. Hermes
↑ 83'
30
J. Dinari
ES Sahel 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
32
S. Ben Hessen
↓ 75'
5
N. Hnid
20
Y. Ben Abdallah
↓ 46'
35
R. Ouni
3
G. Naouali
↓ 63'
21
W. Kechrida
13
M. Chouchane
↓ 63'
29
M. Ben Amor
19
M. Bouslama
30
R. Anane
9
M. Chaabani
Substitutes
39
M. Landolsi
8
O. Abid
↑ 46'
22
A. Horchani
23
M. A. Ouertani
10
M. Ben Seghaier
↑ 63'
17
N. Smichi
↑ 75'
18
Cristo
↑ 63'
26
Z. Boutmene
4
M. Bouzaabia
Last matches: ES Metlaoui
14.05.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
JS Kairouanaise
0
0
D
09.05.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
ES Zarzis
0
1
L
04.05.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
US Monastirienne
1
0
W
25.04.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
AS Gabes
1
1
D
13.04.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
AS Marsa
1
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
US Ben Guerdane
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
Olympique Béja
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
Club Africain
0
5
L
25.02.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
ES Tunis
1
1
D
08.02.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1
2
L
01.02.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
Stade Tunisien
0
0
D
27.01.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
CS Sfaxien
0
2
L
23.01.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
AS Soliman
2
2
D
17.01.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
CA Bizertin
0
0
D
22.11.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
JS Kairouanaise
1
0
W
09.11.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
ES Zarzis
0
0
D
05.11.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
US Monastirienne
2
2
D
01.11.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
ES Sahel
0
2
L
25.10.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
AS Gabes
1
0
W
19.10.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
AS Marsa
1
0
W
Last matches: ES Sahel
14.05.26
Lig
ES Sahel
CS Sfaxien
1
3
L
09.05.26
Lig
ES Sahel
CA Bizertin
1
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
ES Sahel
ES Zarzis
1
3
L
25.04.26
Lig
ES Sahel
AS Marsa
1
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
ES Sahel
Olympique Béja
1
3
L
04.04.26
Lig
ES Sahel
ES Tunis
0
0
D
08.03.26
Lig
ES Sahel
Stade Tunisien
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lig
ES Sahel
AS Soliman
1
0
W
13.02.26
Lig
ES Sahel
JS Kairouanaise
2
1
W
07.02.26
Lig
ES Sahel
US Monastirienne
1
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
ES Sahel
AS Gabes
0
0
D
28.01.26
Lig
ES Sahel
US Ben Guerdane
0
0
D
22.01.26
Lig
ES Sahel
Club Africain
0
3
L
17.01.26
Lig
ES Sahel
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1
0
W
23.11.25
Lig
ES Sahel
CS Sfaxien
0
1
L
08.11.25
Lig
ES Sahel
CA Bizertin
1
1
D
05.11.25
Lig
ES Sahel
ES Zarzis
1
0
W
01.11.25
Lig
ES Sahel
ES Metlaoui
2
0
W
29.10.25
Lig
ES Sahel
AS Marsa
2
0
W
22.10.25
Lig
ES Sahel
Olympique Béja
1
2
L
H2H: ES Metlaoui vs ES Sahel
29.04.26
H2H
ES Metlaoui
ES Sahel
2
0
W
01.11.25
H2H
ES Sahel
ES Metlaoui
2
0
L
22.02.25
H2H
ES Sahel
ES Metlaoui
2
1
L
26.10.24
H2H
ES Metlaoui
ES Sahel
0
0
D
03.03.21
H2H
Etoile S. Metlaoui
Etoile DU Sahel
1
1
D
12.12.20
H2H
Etoile DU Sahel
Etoile S. Metlaoui
2
0
L
15.03.20
H2H
Etoile S. Metlaoui
Etoile DU Sahel
2
2
D
22.02.20
H2H
Etoile DU Sahel
Etoile S. Metlaoui
5
1
L
21.12.19
H2H
Etoile S. Metlaoui
Etoile DU Sahel
1
0
L
08.05.19
H2H
Etoile S. Metlaoui
Etoile Du Sahel
0
0
D
11.11.18
H2H
Etoile Du Sahel
Etoile S. Metlaoui
1
0
L
18.02.18
H2H
Etoile DU Sahel
Etoile S. Metlaoui
3
0
L
03.12.17
H2H
Etoile S. Metlaoui
Etoile DU Sahel
1
1
D
07.05.17
H2H
Etoile DU Sahel
Etoile S. Metlaoui
4
1
L
02.04.17
H2H
Etoile S. Metlaoui
Etoile DU Sahel
0
1
W
Last matches: ES Metlaoui
14.05.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
JS Kairouanaise
0
0
D
13.04.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
AS Marsa
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
Olympique Béja
0
0
D
25.02.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
ES Tunis
1
1
D
01.02.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
Stade Tunisien
0
0
D
23.01.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
AS Soliman
2
2
D
09.11.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
ES Zarzis
0
0
D
05.11.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
US Monastirienne
2
2
D
25.10.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
AS Gabes
1
0
W
03.10.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
US Ben Guerdane
1
1
D
21.09.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
Club Africain
1
0
W
11.09.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
0
0
D
22.08.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
CS Sfaxien
2
1
W
09.08.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
CA Bizertin
0
0
D
H2H at home: ES Metlaoui
29.04.26
H2H
ES Metlaoui
ES Sahel
2
0
W
26.10.24
H2H
ES Metlaoui
ES Sahel
0
0
D
Last matches: ES Sahel
14.05.26
Lig
ES Sahel
CS Sfaxien
1
3
L
04.05.26
Lig
ES Sahel
ES Zarzis
1
3
L
11.04.26
Lig
ES Sahel
Olympique Béja
1
3
L
08.03.26
Lig
ES Sahel
Stade Tunisien
1
1
D
13.02.26
Lig
ES Sahel
JS Kairouanaise
2
1
W
01.02.26
Lig
ES Sahel
AS Gabes
0
0
D
22.01.26
Lig
ES Sahel
Club Africain
0
3
L
08.11.25
Lig
ES Sahel
CA Bizertin
1
1
D
29.10.25
Lig
ES Sahel
AS Marsa
2
0
W
05.10.25
Lig
ES Sahel
ES Tunis
0
1
L
24.09.25
Lig
ES Sahel
AS Soliman
2
0
W
13.09.25
Lig
ES Sahel
US Monastirienne
1
1
D
21.08.25
Lig
ES Sahel
US Ben Guerdane
0
0
D
10.08.25
Lig
ES Sahel
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1
3
L
H2H away: ES Sahel
29.04.26
H2H
ES Metlaoui
ES Sahel
2
0
L
26.10.24
H2H
ES Metlaoui
ES Sahel
0
0
D

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 9 2 43:10 33 66
D W W D W
2 30 18 9 3 45:11 34 63
W L W D D
3 30 18 8 4 43:13 30 62
W W W D W
4 30 12 12 6 28:14 14 48
W D L L L
5 30 11 12 7 28:18 10 45
W L L W L
6 30 11 8 11 30:28 2 41
W W W L W
7 30 11 8 11 28:30 -2 41
L W L L W
8 30 9 13 8 19:25 -6 40
D L W W D
9 30 10 6 14 24:33 -9 36
D L L W L
10 30 8 11 11 18:22 -4 35
L D L W W
11 30 11 2 17 26:33 -7 35
D L W W L
12 30 8 9 13 18:29 -11 33
L L L L D
13 30 9 5 16 18:39 -21 32
D W L W L
14 30 9 4 17 20:41 -21 31
D W W L L
15 30 6 9 15 15:31 -16 27
L W W D W
16 30 3 9 18 11:37 -26 18
L L L L D
Champions League
CAF Confederation Cup
Relegation