KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
60.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Equity Bank Win 70.7%
Draw 8.4%
Soy United Win 21%
Expected Goals (xG)
Equity Bank1.2
Soy United0.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
Equity Bank Equity Bank
WWDLW
51 GF / 25 GA
Soy United Soy United
WLDWL
30 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
0.86
0.74
Average Goals Conceded
0.74
14
BTTS Yes
12
14
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Equity Bank Equity Bank 34 matches
Soy United Soy United 35 matches
Equity Bank Statistic Soy United
19 Wins 13
10 Draws 9
5 Losses 13
51 Goals For 30
25 Goals Against 26
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
0.74 Avg Goals Conceded 0.74
14 BTTS Yes 12
22 Over 1.5 16
14 Over 2.5 8
9 Over 3.5 1
17 Clean Sheets 15
8 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Equity Bank arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 68 points compared to Soy United in 10 on 48, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Soy United. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Soy United having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Equity Bank Analysis

Equity Bank approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 68 points after 35 outings. They have recorded 19 wins, 11 draws, and 5 losses, with a 52:26 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, their record of 12 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Soy United Analysis

Soy United sit 10 with 48 points after 35 league matches. The record of 13 wins, 9 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 30:26 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Equity Bank won 1 times, Soy United won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:2 from Equity Bank's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.7%)
H2H summary: Equity Bank wins 1, draws 0, Soy United wins 1
Last matches: Equity Bank
27.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Fortune Sacco
4
0
W
23.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
3K
0
0
D
17.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Kisumu All Stars
0
0
D
09.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Darajani Gogo
4
0
W
03.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
26.04.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Vihiga United FC
4
0
W
18.04.26
Sup
Equity Bank
MOFA
0
0
D
12.04.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Gucha Stars
1
1
D
03.04.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Talanta
2
0
W
29.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Luanda Villa
1
0
W
25.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
MCF
3
0
W
22.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Kabati Youth FC
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Nzoia Sugar
1
0
W
07.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Mombasa Elite
1
3
L
22.02.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Kibera Black Stars
2
1
W
14.02.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Naivas
1
1
D
31.01.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Nzoia Sugar
1
0
W
24.01.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Talanta
0
0
D
17.01.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Gucha Stars
3
2
W
11.01.26
Sup
Equity Bank
MOFA
1
1
D
Last matches: Soy United
28.05.26
Sup
Soy United
Kisumu All Stars
0
0
D
24.05.26
Sup
Soy United
Kabati Youth FC
2
1
W
17.05.26
Sup
Soy United
Vihiga United FC
0
1
L
06.05.26
Sup
Soy United
Fortune Sacco
1
1
D
02.05.26
Sup
Soy United
MCF
1
1
D
26.04.26
Sup
Soy United
Nairobi City Stars
2
1
W
19.04.26
Sup
Soy United
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
12.04.26
Sup
Soy United
Nzoia Sugar
0
1
L
04.04.26
Sup
Soy United
Mwatate United
2
0
W
29.03.26
Sup
Soy United
Darajani Gogo
2
0
W
22.03.26
Sup
Soy United
Gucha Stars
0
1
L
15.03.26
Sup
Soy United
Migori Youth
2
3
L
08.03.26
Sup
Soy United
Talanta
0
0
D
01.03.26
Sup
Soy United
3K
1
2
L
22.02.26
Sup
Soy United
Naivas
0
1
L
14.02.26
Sup
Soy United
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
01.02.26
Sup
Soy United
Migori Youth
0
0
D
28.01.26
Sup
Soy United
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
25.01.26
Sup
Soy United
Mwatate United
1
0
W
18.01.26
Sup
Soy United
Nzoia Sugar
2
0
W
H2H: Equity Bank vs Soy United
01.06.26
H2H
Equity Bank
Soy United
1
0
W
07.01.26
H2H
Soy United
Equity Bank
2
1
L
Last matches: Equity Bank
17.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Kisumu All Stars
0
0
D
03.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
18.04.26
Sup
Equity Bank
MOFA
0
0
D
03.04.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Talanta
2
0
W
29.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Luanda Villa
1
0
W
07.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Mombasa Elite
1
3
L
22.02.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Kibera Black Stars
2
1
W
31.01.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Nzoia Sugar
1
0
W
17.01.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Gucha Stars
3
2
W
21.12.25
Sup
Equity Bank
Vihiga United FC
2
1
W
17.12.25
Sup
Equity Bank
Darajani Gogo
2
0
W
07.12.25
Sup
Equity Bank
3K
2
1
W
29.11.25
Sup
Equity Bank
MCF
3
1
W
15.11.25
Sup
Equity Bank
Naivas
0
0
D
02.11.25
Sup
Equity Bank
Migori Youth
3
2
W
25.10.25
Sup
Equity Bank
Fortune Sacco
0
1
L
04.10.25
Sup
Equity Bank
Kabati Youth FC
3
1
W
H2H at home: Equity Bank
01.06.26
H2H
Equity Bank
Soy United
1
0
W
Last matches: Soy United
17.05.26
Sup
Soy United
Vihiga United FC
0
1
L
02.05.26
Sup
Soy United
MCF
1
1
D
19.04.26
Sup
Soy United
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
04.04.26
Sup
Soy United
Mwatate United
2
0
W
22.03.26
Sup
Soy United
Gucha Stars
0
1
L
15.03.26
Sup
Soy United
Migori Youth
2
3
L
01.03.26
Sup
Soy United
3K
1
2
L
14.02.26
Sup
Soy United
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
18.01.26
Sup
Soy United
Nzoia Sugar
2
0
W
21.12.25
Sup
Soy United
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
18.12.25
Sup
Soy United
Kabati Youth FC
1
2
L
07.12.25
Sup
Soy United
Fortune Sacco
0
1
L
26.11.25
Sup
Soy United
Darajani Gogo
0
1
L
22.11.25
Sup
Soy United
Talanta
1
2
L
08.11.25
Sup
Soy United
Naivas
1
2
L
03.11.25
Sup
Soy United
MOFA
1
1
D
26.10.25
Sup
Soy United
Kisumu All Stars
0
0
D
H2H away: Soy United
01.06.26
H2H
Equity Bank
Soy United
1
0
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 24 5 7 54:27 27 77
W W W L W
2 36 22 7 7 58:25 33 73
W D D W W
3 36 23 3 10 49:31 18 72
L D W W L
4 36 20 11 5 53:26 27 71
W W D D W
5 36 16 14 6 50:29 21 62
D D L W L
6 36 17 9 10 45:27 18 60
W W W W D
7 36 16 9 11 57:41 16 57
L L L W L
8 36 15 9 12 46:37 9 54
L W W W W
9 36 15 8 13 31:30 1 53
D D L L D
10 36 13 9 14 30:27 3 48
L D W L D
11 36 11 14 11 36:35 1 47
W L L L D
12 36 12 6 18 29:49 -20 42
W L L W D
13 36 11 8 17 32:38 -6 41
W L W L D
14 36 9 12 15 31:36 -5 39
L D D L L
15 36 9 9 18 21:45 -24 36
L D W D D
16 36 9 8 19 29:50 -21 35
W W L L D
17 36 8 8 20 22:47 -25 32
L D W L L
18 36 8 10 18 22:38 -16 31
W L D W L
19 36 9 8 19 28:53 -25 29
L W L W W
20 36 6 7 23 27:59 -32 25
L L L L D