KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 75.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
65.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
75.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Equity Bank Win 83.1%
Draw 0%
Nairobi City Stars Win 16.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Equity Bank1.26
Nairobi City Stars0.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
Equity Bank Equity Bank
WWDLW
43 GF / 26 GA
Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars
WLDWL
25 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
0.86
0.87
Average Goals Conceded
1
15
BTTS Yes
11
12
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Equity Bank Equity Bank 30 matches
Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars 29 matches
Equity Bank Statistic Nairobi City Stars
16 Wins 8
9 Draws 10
5 Losses 11
43 Goals For 25
26 Goals Against 29
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
0.87 Avg Goals Conceded 1
15 BTTS Yes 11
21 Over 1.5 16
12 Over 2.5 6
7 Over 3.5 4
12 Clean Sheets 10
6 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Equity Bank's more proactive style and Nairobi City Stars's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Nairobi City Stars. Equity Bank arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 57 points compared to Nairobi City Stars in 12 on 37, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Nairobi City Stars arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Nairobi City Stars having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Equity Bank Analysis

Equity Bank approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 57 points after 30 outings. The return of 16 wins, 9 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 43:26, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, the split of 11 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Nairobi City Stars Analysis

Nairobi City Stars approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 37 points from 30 matches. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 10 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 28:29 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Equity Bank won 1 times, Nairobi City Stars won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from Equity Bank's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Equity Bank wins 1, draws 0, Nairobi City Stars wins 1