Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
87.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
56%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Equity Bank
Mwatate United
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Equity Bank
37 matches
Mwatate United
35 matches
| Equity Bank | Statistic | Mwatate United |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wins | 6 |
| 11 | Draws | 7 |
| 6 | Losses | 22 |
| 54 | Goals For | 27 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 57 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.77 |
| 0.76 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.63 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 18 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 18 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Equity Bank's more proactive style and Mwatate United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Mwatate United. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Mwatate United having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Equity Bank arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 71 points compared to Mwatate United in 20 on 25, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Placed 4 with 71 points from 37 outings, Equity Bank continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 20 wins, 11 draws, and 6 losses, while the 54:28 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 13 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Mwatate United approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 25 points from 37 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 24 losses, together with goals at 27:62, reflects poor form . Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 14 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Equity Bank won 1 times, Mwatate United won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:2 from Equity Bank's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Equity Bank
Migori Youth
Equity Bank
Soy United
Equity Bank
Fortune Sacco
Equity Bank
3K
Equity Bank
Kisumu All Stars
Equity Bank
Darajani Gogo
Equity Bank
Nairobi City Stars
Equity Bank
Vihiga United FC
Equity Bank
MOFA
Equity Bank
Gucha Stars
Equity Bank
Talanta
Equity Bank
Luanda Villa
Equity Bank
MCF
Equity Bank
Kabati Youth FC
Equity Bank
Nzoia Sugar
Equity Bank
Mombasa Elite
Equity Bank
Kibera Black Stars
Equity Bank
Naivas
Equity Bank
Nzoia Sugar
Equity Bank
Talanta
Mwatate United
Naivas
Mwatate United
Mombasa Elite
Mwatate United
Luanda Villa
Mwatate United
Kibera Black Stars
Mwatate United
Fortune Sacco
Mwatate United
MOFA
Mwatate United
Vihiga United FC
Mwatate United
Talanta
Mwatate United
Soy United
Mwatate United
Migori Youth
Mwatate United
Nzoia Sugar
Mwatate United
Kisumu All Stars
Mwatate United
Nairobi City Stars
Mwatate United
Gucha Stars
Mwatate United
Kabati Youth FC
Mwatate United
Darajani Gogo
Mwatate United
Kisumu All Stars
Mwatate United
Soy United
Mwatate United
Talanta
Mwatate United
Vihiga United FC
Equity Bank
Soy United
Equity Bank
Kisumu All Stars
Equity Bank
Nairobi City Stars
Equity Bank
MOFA
Equity Bank
Talanta
Equity Bank
Luanda Villa
Equity Bank
Mombasa Elite
Equity Bank
Kibera Black Stars
Equity Bank
Nzoia Sugar
Equity Bank
Gucha Stars
Equity Bank
Vihiga United FC
Equity Bank
Darajani Gogo
Equity Bank
3K
Equity Bank
MCF
Equity Bank
Naivas
Equity Bank
Migori Youth
Equity Bank
Fortune Sacco
Equity Bank
Kabati Youth FC
Mwatate United
Luanda Villa
Mwatate United
Fortune Sacco
Mwatate United
MOFA
Mwatate United
Talanta
Mwatate United
Nzoia Sugar
Mwatate United
Nairobi City Stars
Mwatate United
Kabati Youth FC
Mwatate United
Kisumu All Stars
Mwatate United
Soy United
Mwatate United
Vihiga United FC
Mwatate United
Mombasa Elite
Mwatate United
Kibera Black Stars
Mwatate United
Gucha Stars
Mwatate United
Darajani Gogo
Mwatate United
3K
Mwatate United
Naivas
Mwatate United
Migori Youth
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 57:29 | 28 | 81 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 62:26 | 36 | 77 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 51:32 | 19 | 76 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 |
Equity Bank
Home
|
38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 74 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
| 5 | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 51:30 | 21 | 64 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61:41 | 20 | 63 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47:30 | 17 | 61 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 53:41 | 12 | 57 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 32:33 | -1 | 53 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 31:27 | 4 | 52 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:36 | 1 | 50 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 35:41 | -6 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 30:51 | -21 | 43 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 32:52 | -20 | 39 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 23:47 | -24 | 39 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 32:44 | -12 | 39 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 27:48 | -21 | 38 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 24:42 | -18 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29:55 | -26 | 30 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 |
Mwatate United
Away
|
38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 27:64 | -37 | 25 |
L
L
L
L
L
|