KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 90.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
90.2%
-
Probability Distribution
Equity Bank Win 56.3%
Draw 11.7%
MOFA Win 32%
Expected Goals (xG)
Equity Bank1.11
MOFA1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Equity Bank Equity Bank
WWDLW
39 GF / 26 GA
MOFA MOFA
WLDWL
40 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1.43
0.93
Average Goals Conceded
0.68
15
BTTS Yes
12
11
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Equity Bank Equity Bank 28 matches
MOFA MOFA 28 matches
Equity Bank Statistic MOFA
15 Wins 14
8 Draws 10
5 Losses 4
39 Goals For 40
26 Goals Against 19
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
0.93 Avg Goals Conceded 0.68
15 BTTS Yes 12
20 Over 1.5 16
11 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 6
10 Clean Sheets 12
5 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward MOFA having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Equity Bank come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors MOFA.

Equity Bank Analysis

Equity Bank come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 53 points after 28 matches. The return of 15 wins, 8 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 39:26, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, the split of 11 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

MOFA Analysis

MOFA approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 52 points after 28 outings. The return of 14 wins, 10 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 37:19, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Equity Bank won 0 times, MOFA won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from Equity Bank's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.3%)
H2H summary: Equity Bank wins 0, draws 2, MOFA wins 0