UKRAINE PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Ternopilsky Misky Stadion
Referee: K. Zabroda
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Match Timeline
Karpaty
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
34'
Rostyslav Liakh
Karpaty
🔄
63'
M. Sapuga ↔ Eriki
Karpaty
🔄
63'
A. Shakh ↔ V. Rubchynskyi
Karpaty
🔄
70'
Joaquinete ↔ V. Supryaga
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
🔄
70'
K. Kovalets ↔ E. Zaporozhets
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
🔄
75'
O. Sych ↔ V. Adamyuk
Karpaty
🔄
87'
Y. Kostenko ↔ V. Paulo
Karpaty
🔄
87'
B. Faal ↔ Y. Karabin
Karpaty
🟨
90'
Yevhen Zaporozhets
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
🔄
90+1'
M. Myronyuk ↔ A. Lipovuz
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
🔄
90+5'
V. Sydun ↔ A. Matkevych
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 63.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
63.9%
-
Probability Distribution
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Win 61.2%
Draw 0%
Karpaty Win 38.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi1.13
Karpaty1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
WWDLW
26 GF / 36 GA
Karpaty Karpaty
WLDWL
32 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
8
BTTS Yes
9
12
Over 2.5
9
2.43
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 23 matches
Karpaty Karpaty 23 matches
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Statistic Karpaty
7 Wins 8
2 Draws 8
14 Losses 7
26 Goals For 32
36 Goals Against 26
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
8 BTTS Yes 9
14 Over 1.5 16
12 Over 2.5 9
7 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 10
9 Failed To Score 6
2.43 Shots On Goal 3
7.48 Total Shots 8.29
2.57 Corners 2.67
30.3% Ball Possession 32.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Karpaty's more proactive style and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Karpaty. Karpaty look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Epitsentr Dunayivtsi expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Karpaty in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Karpaty having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Analysis

From their first 23 matches, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi have collected 23 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. The record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 26:36 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Joaquinete (6 goals), V. Sydun (4 goals), J. Ceberio (3 goals), with creative support from Joaquinete (5 assists), Mykola Myronyuk (4 assists), E. Zaporozhets (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Karpaty Analysis

So far, Karpaty have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 32 points from 23 matches. The record of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 32:26 goal balance, points toward very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through Bruninho (7 goals), Igor Krasnopir (6 goals), Yan Kostenko (4 goals), with creative support from Bruninho (3 assists), Igor Krasnopir (2 assists), Jean Pedroso (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi won 7 times, Karpaty won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:6 from Epitsentr Dunayivtsi's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 4-2-3-1 / Karpaty 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi wins 7, draws 1, Karpaty wins 2

Lineups

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Formation
Karpaty
O. Bilyk
O. Bilyk
I. Kyryukhantsev
I. Kyryukhantsev
V. Moroz
V. Moroz
N. Coch
N. Coch
O. Klymets
O. Klymets
J. Ceberio
J. Ceberio
M. Myronyuk
M. Myronyuk
C. Rojas
C. Rojas
K. Kovalets
K. Kovalets
Joaquinete
Joaquinete
V. Sydun
V. Sydun
N. Domchak
N. Domchak
O. Sych
O. Sych
V. Baboglo
V. Baboglo
V. Kholod
V. Kholod
R. Lyakh
R. Lyakh
M. Sapuga
M. Sapuga
X. Alkain
X. Alkain
A. Chachua
A. Chachua
A. Shakh
A. Shakh
Y. Kostenko
Y. Kostenko
B. Faal
B. Faal
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
31
O. Bilyk
G
70
I. Kyryukhantsev
D
4
V. Moroz
D
77
N. Coch
D
97
O. Klymets
D
39
J. Ceberio
M
8
M. Myronyuk
↓ 90+1'
M
99
C. Rojas
M
6
K. Kovalets
↓ 70'
M
9
Joaquinete
↓ 70'
M
20
V. Sydun
↓ 90+5'
M
Substitutes
71
N. Fedotov
G
37
A. Vavshko
G
21
V. Supryaga
↑ 70'
F
5
E. Zaporozhets
↑ 70' 🟨 90'
M
28
A. Lipovuz
↑ 90+1'
M
3
S. Grygorashchuk
D
10
A. Bezhenar
M
11
S. Krystin
M
2
A. Oliveira
D
7
A. Matkevych
↑ 90+5'
F
15
D. Holub
Karpaty 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
N. Domchak
G
77
O. Sych
↓ 75'
D
4
V. Baboglo
D
44
V. Kholod
D
73
R. Lyakh
🟨 34'
D
20
M. Sapuga
↓ 63'
M
70
X. Alkain
M
8
A. Chachua
M
33
A. Shakh
↓ 63'
M
26
Y. Kostenko
↓ 87'
M
99
B. Faal
↓ 87'
F
Substitutes
30
A. Klishchuk
G
80
R. Mysak
G
3
V. Adamyuk
↑ 75'
D
47
Jean Pedroso
D
55
T. Stetskov
D
5
A. Buleza
D
18
Eriki
↑ 63'
M
15
V. Rubchynskyi
↑ 63'
M
14
I. Kvasnytsya
M
10
Stenio
M
7
V. Paulo
↑ 87'
M
19
Y. Karabin
↑ 87'
M
Last matches: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
17.07.26
Fri
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Zalaegerszegi TE
0
1
L
16.07.26
Fri
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
HNK Gorica
0
1
L
13.07.26
Fri
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
3
L
04.07.26
Fri
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Bukovyna
4
0
W
01.07.26
Fri
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
3
1
W
28.06.26
Fri
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Nyva Vinnytsya
4
1
W
23.05.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
SK Poltava
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1
1
D
12.05.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Polessya
3
2
W
09.05.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Obolon'-Brovar
2
2
D
02.05.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Veres Rivne
3
3
D
27.04.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Oleksandria
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Zorya Luhansk
0
1
L
06.04.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Kudrivka
1
0
W
29.03.26
Fri
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
LNZ Cherkasy
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Kryvbas KR
1
2
L
15.03.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Ruh Lviv
2
0
W
07.03.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Kolos Kovalivka
4
0
W
27.02.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Dynamo Kyiv
0
4
L
21.02.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
LNZ Cherkasy
0
2
L
Last matches: Karpaty
18.07.26
Fri
Karpaty
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
4
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Karpaty
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
Karpaty
Bravo
1
0
W
09.07.26
Fri
Karpaty
CFR 1907 Cluj
0
1
L
03.07.26
Fri
Karpaty
Nyva Ternopil
2
1
W
02.07.26
Fri
Karpaty
Yarud Mariupol'
1
1
D
23.05.26
Pre
Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
1
2
L
17.05.26
Pre
Karpaty
Veres Rivne
2
0
W
12.05.26
Pre
Karpaty
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
2
2
D
08.05.26
Pre
Karpaty
Kryvbas KR
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pre
Karpaty
LNZ Cherkasy
0
0
D
25.04.26
Pre
Karpaty
Ruh Lviv
3
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
Karpaty
Oleksandria
2
0
W
04.04.26
Pre
Karpaty
Dynamo Kyiv
1
0
W
22.03.26
Pre
Karpaty
Obolon'-Brovar
4
0
W
13.03.26
Pre
Karpaty
SK Poltava
4
0
W
08.03.26
Pre
Karpaty
Kudrivka
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pre
Karpaty
Kolos Kovalivka
0
1
L
22.02.26
Pre
Karpaty
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
3
L
13.02.26
Fri
Karpaty
Tianjin Teda
1
0
W
H2H: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Karpaty
19.04.26
H2H
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Karpaty
0
0
D
19.10.25
H2H
Karpaty
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1
3
W
05.11.23
H2H
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Karpaty
3
2
W
02.09.23
H2H
Karpaty
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2
0
L
11.11.22
H2H
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Karpaty
1
0
W
24.09.22
H2H
Karpaty
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0
2
W
30.04.22
H2H
Karpaty
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0
0
D
06.10.21
H2H
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Karpaty
0
1
L
25.04.21
H2H
Karpaty
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0
3
W
11.10.20
H2H
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Karpaty
2
0
W
30.08.20
H2H
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Karpaty
4
0
W
Last matches: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
04.07.26
Fri
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Bukovyna
4
0
W
01.07.26
Fri
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
3
1
W
23.05.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
SK Poltava
0
0
D
12.05.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Polessya
3
2
W
27.04.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Oleksandria
1
1
D
06.04.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Kudrivka
1
0
W
29.03.26
Fri
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
LNZ Cherkasy
0
2
L
15.03.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Ruh Lviv
2
0
W
07.03.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Kolos Kovalivka
4
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
LNZ Cherkasy
0
2
L
12.02.26
Fri
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Pakhtakor
2
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
FK Tobol Kostanay
3
0
W
05.02.26
Fri
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
ASA Targu Mures
3
1
W
02.02.26
Fri
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Fratria
3
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Kolos Kovalivka II
1
0
W
30.11.25
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0
0
D
07.11.25
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Obolon'-Brovar
1
2
L
01.11.25
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Veres Rivne
2
3
L
03.10.25
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Zorya Luhansk
1
2
L
21.09.25
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Kryvbas KR
4
5
L
H2H at home: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
19.04.26
H2H
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Karpaty
0
0
D
05.11.23
H2H
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Karpaty
3
2
W
11.11.22
H2H
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Karpaty
1
0
W
06.10.21
H2H
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Karpaty
0
1
L
11.10.20
H2H
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Karpaty
2
0
W
30.08.20
H2H
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Karpaty
4
0
W
Last matches: Karpaty
17.07.26
Fri
Karpaty
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
Karpaty
Bravo
1
0
W
09.07.26
Fri
Karpaty
CFR 1907 Cluj
0
1
L
12.05.26
Pre
Karpaty
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
2
2
D
08.05.26
Pre
Karpaty
Kryvbas KR
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
Karpaty
Ruh Lviv
3
0
W
04.04.26
Pre
Karpaty
Dynamo Kyiv
1
0
W
13.03.26
Pre
Karpaty
SK Poltava
4
0
W
22.02.26
Pre
Karpaty
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
3
L
13.12.25
Pre
Karpaty
Polessya
2
3
L
05.12.25
Pre
Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
0
1
L
29.11.25
Pre
Karpaty
Veres Rivne
0
0
D
03.11.25
Pre
Karpaty
LNZ Cherkasy
1
0
W
04.10.25
Pre
Karpaty
Oleksandria
2
0
W
22.09.25
Pre
Karpaty
Obolon'-Brovar
2
0
W
29.08.25
Pre
Karpaty
Kudrivka
2
2
D
16.08.25
Pre
Karpaty
Kolos Kovalivka
1
1
D
H2H away: Karpaty
19.04.26
H2H
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Karpaty
0
0
D
05.11.23
H2H
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Karpaty
3
2
L
11.11.22
H2H
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Karpaty
1
0
L
06.10.21
H2H
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Karpaty
0
1
W
11.10.20
H2H
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Karpaty
2
0
L
30.08.20
H2H
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Karpaty
4
0
L

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 6 2 71:21 50 72
L W W W W
2 30 18 6 6 39:17 22 60
W L W D D
3 30 18 5 7 51:21 30 59
W D L W W
4 30 17 6 7 66:36 30 57
W W W D L
5 30 13 12 5 36:19 17 51
W D D D L
6 30 13 10 7 30:25 5 49
W L L W W
7 30 13 9 8 53:46 7 48
D L W W D
8 30 12 10 8 42:36 6 46
W D W D W
9 30 10 11 9 40:31 9 41
L W D L D
10 30 8 8 14 36:45 -9 32
D D W D D
11 30 7 10 13 26:40 -14 31
L L L D D
12 30 7 10 13 28:49 -21 31
L W L D D
13 30 7 7 16 32:48 -16 28
L W W L D
14 30 6 3 21 20:51 -31 21
L L L D L
15 30 3 8 19 24:58 -34 17
D W L L L
16 30 2 7 21 23:74 -51 13
D L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga