COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Polideportivo Sur
Envigado
Match Timeline
Real Cundinamarca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
13'
A. Tovar ↔ M. Villa
Envigado
🔄
14'
J. Amaya ↔ B. Castro
Real Cundinamarca
🟨
26'
K. Vidal
Real Soacha
🔄
46'
W. Hurtado ↔ G. Cuervo
Envigado
48'
G. Cuervo
Envigado
🟨
56'
Envigado
Envigado
🔄
61'
M. Betancurt ↔ J. Cuero
Envigado
🔄
69'
↔ B. Quinonez
Real Cundinamarca
🔄
69'
J. Jaramillo ↔ C. Negrete
Real Cundinamarca
🔄
72'
J. Catano ↔ J. Palacio
Envigado
🔄
72'
A. Rodriguez ↔ J. Hernandez
Envigado
🟨
78'
Envigado
Envigado
🟨
79'
Real Soacha
Real Soacha
🟨
82'
Envigado
Envigado
🔄
82'
K. Vidal ↔ J. Hoyos
Real Cundinamarca
🔄
82'
K. Cuellar ↔ K. Zavala
Real Cundinamarca

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.1%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Envigado Win 72.1%
Draw 4.8%
Real Cundinamarca Win 23.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Envigado1.41
Real Cundinamarca0.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Envigado Envigado
WWDLW
36 GF / 21 GA
Real Cundinamarca Real Cundinamarca
WLDWL
14 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
0.93
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
13
BTTS Yes
8
12
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Envigado Envigado 24 matches
Real Cundinamarca Real Cundinamarca 15 matches
Envigado Statistic Real Cundinamarca
14 Wins 2
5 Draws 7
5 Losses 6
36 Goals For 14
21 Goals Against 19
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.93
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
13 BTTS Yes 8
18 Over 1.5 11
12 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 3
11 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Envigado's more proactive style and Real Soacha's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Real Soacha. Envigado arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 11 points compared to Real Soacha in 13 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Real Soacha having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Envigado Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 11 points from 6 games, Envigado bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, with a 6:3 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Real Cundinamarca Analysis

Real Soacha are currently 13 in the standings with 13 points from 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, while the 14:19 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Envigado won 2 times, Real Cundinamarca won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:0 from Envigado's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
H2H summary: Envigado wins 2, draws 0, Real Cundinamarca wins 0

Lineups

Envigado
Formation
Real Cundinamarca
A. Tovar
A. Tovar
S. Norena
S. Norena
D. Palacios
D. Palacios
M. Betancurt
M. Betancurt
E. Londono
E. Londono
J. Catano
J. Catano
J. Aristizabal
J. Aristizabal
W. Hurtado
W. Hurtado
D. A. Valencia Mosquera
D. A. Valencia Mosquera
J. Rodriguez
J. Rodriguez
A. Rodriguez
A. Rodriguez
M. Valencia
M. Valencia
J. Rodriguez
J. Rodriguez
S. Florez
S. Florez
J. Suaza
J. Suaza
J. Cortes
J. Cortes
A. Cano
A. Cano
K. Vidal
K. Vidal
C. Zambrano
C. Zambrano
K. Cuellar
K. Cuellar
J. Jaramillo
J. Jaramillo
J. Amaya
J. Amaya
Envigado 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
88
A. Tovar
↓ 13'
5
S. Norena
2
D. Palacios
14
M. Betancurt
↓ 61'
33
E. Londono
20
J. Catano
↓ 72'
80
J. Aristizabal
8
W. Hurtado
↓ 46'
77
D. A. Valencia Mosquera
10
J. Rodriguez
9
A. Rodriguez
↓ 72'
Substitutes
M. Villa
↑ 13'
J. Cuero
↑ 61'
G. Mujica
J. Gomez
J. J. Gamboa Valencia
J. Palacio
↑ 72'
J. Rey
J. Hernandez
↑ 72'
G. Cuervo
⚽ 48' ↑ 46'
Real Cundinamarca 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Valencia
15
J. Rodriguez
4
S. Florez
2
J. Suaza
19
J. Cortes
5
A. Cano
23
K. Vidal
↓ 82' 🟨 26'
16
C. Zambrano
17
K. Cuellar
↓ 82'
29
J. Jaramillo
↓ 69'
10
J. Amaya
↓ 14'
Substitutes
40
J. Giraldo
6
J. Hoyos
↑ 82'
18
B. Quinonez
↑ 69'
11
K. Zavala
↑ 82'
9
C. Negrete
↑ 69'
14
B. Castro
↑ 14'
13
M. Ortegon
Last matches: Envigado
23.08.26
Pri
Envigado
Quindio
0
1
L
19.08.26
Pri
Envigado
Tigres FC
1
2
L
03.08.26
Pri
Envigado
Ind. Yumbo
1
1
D
29.05.26
Pri
Envigado
Real Cartagena
1
1
D
26.05.26
Pri
Envigado
Real Cartagena
3
2
W
18.05.26
Pri
Envigado
Quindio
1
0
W
14.05.26
Pri
Envigado
Tigres FC
2
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Envigado
Internacional Palmira
0
0
D
04.05.26
Pri
Envigado
Internacional Palmira
0
0
D
29.04.26
Pri
Envigado
Tigres FC
2
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
Envigado
Quindio
1
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Envigado
Patriotas
2
0
W
14.04.26
Pri
Envigado
Barranquilla
2
1
W
09.04.26
Pri
Envigado
Union Magdalena
2
4
L
06.04.26
Pri
Envigado
Depor FC
2
1
W
31.03.26
Pri
Envigado
Real Santander
3
1
W
25.03.26
Pri
Envigado
Bogota FC
1
2
L
16.03.26
Pri
Envigado
Real Cartagena
1
1
D
11.03.26
Pri
Envigado
Leones FC
3
0
W
05.03.26
Pri
Envigado
Popayan
1
0
W
Last matches: Real Cundinamarca
24.08.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Orsomarso
0
2
L
20.08.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Leones FC
1
1
D
06.08.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Popayan
3
1
W
02.08.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Ind. Yumbo
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Tigres FC
0
2
L
01.04.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Bogota FC
2
2
D
25.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Depor FC
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Barranquilla
2
2
D
17.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Quindio
0
0
D
11.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Union Magdalena
1
1
D
05.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Internacional Palmira
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Patriotas
0
1
L
22.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Orsomarso
1
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Real Santander
1
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Leones FC
2
0
W
05.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Popayan
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
0
1
L
26.01.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Envigado
0
2
L
02.12.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Cucuta
1
2
L
H2H: Envigado vs Real Cundinamarca
27.07.26
H2H
Envigado
Real Cundinamarca
1
0
W
26.01.26
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Envigado
0
2
W
Last matches: Envigado
29.05.26
Pri
Envigado
Real Cartagena
1
1
D
18.05.26
Pri
Envigado
Quindio
1
0
W
04.05.26
Pri
Envigado
Internacional Palmira
0
0
D
29.04.26
Pri
Envigado
Tigres FC
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Envigado
Patriotas
2
0
W
25.03.26
Pri
Envigado
Bogota FC
1
2
L
16.03.26
Pri
Envigado
Real Cartagena
1
1
D
05.03.26
Pri
Envigado
Popayan
1
0
W
24.02.26
Pri
Envigado
Quindio
1
2
L
09.02.26
Pri
Envigado
Tigres FC
0
0
D
31.01.26
Pri
Envigado
Ind. Yumbo
2
0
W
10.01.26
Fri
Envigado
Independiente Medellin
2
1
W
07.11.25
Pri
Envigado
Millonarios
1
1
D
25.10.25
Pri
Envigado
Chico
0
2
L
04.10.25
Pri
Envigado
Bucaramanga
1
2
L
20.09.25
Pri
Envigado
Alianza Valledupar
0
0
D
07.09.25
Pri
Envigado
Águilas Doradas
1
1
D
23.08.25
Pri
Envigado
Deportivo Pereira
1
1
D
10.08.25
Pri
Envigado
Junior
1
1
D
27.07.25
Pri
Envigado
Internacional de Bogota
1
1
D
H2H at home: Envigado
27.07.26
H2H
Envigado
Real Cundinamarca
1
0
W
Last matches: Real Cundinamarca
24.08.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Orsomarso
0
2
L
20.08.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Leones FC
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Ind. Yumbo
1
1
D
01.04.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Bogota FC
2
2
D
17.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Quindio
0
0
D
11.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Union Magdalena
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Patriotas
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Real Santander
1
2
L
05.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Popayan
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
0
1
L
02.12.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Cucuta
1
2
L
23.11.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Patriotas
3
0
W
12.11.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
0
0
D
07.11.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Popayan
1
0
W
21.10.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Huila
0
2
L
12.10.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Bogota FC
3
0
W
01.10.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Barranquilla
1
1
D
13.09.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Tigres FC
2
0
W
22.08.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Popayan
1
0
W
19.08.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Depor FC
3
2
W
H2H away: Real Cundinamarca
27.07.26
H2H
Envigado
Real Cundinamarca
1
0
L

Standings

Primera B: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 12 2 1 29:13 16 38
W W W W W
2 15 10 2 3 27:15 12 32
W L W W W
3 15 9 4 2 20:10 10 31
W W L D W
4 15 9 2 4 24:14 10 29
W W L W W
5 15 7 5 3 23:15 8 26
L L W D W
6 15 6 5 4 16:14 2 23
W W D W L
7 15 6 2 7 21:20 1 20
W L W L W
8 15 5 5 5 15:14 1 20
L W W L D
9 15 4 7 4 13:14 -1 19
D D L W L
10 15 4 5 6 13:17 -4 17
D L L D W
11 15 4 5 6 13:17 -4 17
L W W L D
12 15 2 7 6 15:20 -5 13
L D D D D
13 15 2 7 6 14:19 -5 13
D L D L D
14 15 2 4 9 8:24 -16 10
D W L L L
15 15 1 6 8 12:23 -11 9
L L L D W
16 15 1 4 10 9:23 -14 7
L L L L L
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Quadrangular)