UGANDA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Gaddafi Arena
Entebbe UPPC
Match Timeline
UPDF
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
I. Bugembe
Entebbe UPPC
88'
M. Kyeyune
Entebbe UPPC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Entebbe UPPC Win 75.5%
Draw 0%
UPDF Win 24.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Entebbe UPPC1.07
UPDF0.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Entebbe UPPC Entebbe UPPC
WWDLW
23 GF / 19 GA
UPDF UPDF
WLDWL
22 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
0.85
0.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
6
BTTS Yes
10
4
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Entebbe UPPC Entebbe UPPC 26 matches
UPDF UPDF 26 matches
Entebbe UPPC Statistic UPDF
12 Wins 5
7 Draws 6
7 Losses 15
23 Goals For 22
19 Goals Against 35
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 0.85
0.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
6 BTTS Yes 10
13 Over 1.5 13
4 Over 2.5 10
1 Over 3.5 6
13 Clean Sheets 7
11 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Entebbe UPPC's more proactive style and UPDF's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Entebbe UPPC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 43 points compared to UPDF in 13 on 21, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward UPDF having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward UPDF.

Entebbe UPPC Analysis

So far, Entebbe UPPC have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 43 points from 26 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 23:19 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Kigozi (11 goals), F. Tumwine (2 goals), I. Mubiru (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

UPDF Analysis

UPDF sit 13 with 21 points after 26 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 15 losses, while the 22:35 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on S. Ssekamatte (7 goals), E. Ochen (5 goals), R. Faridi (3 goals), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Entebbe UPPC won 2 times, UPDF won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:0 from Entebbe UPPC's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Entebbe UPPC wins 2, draws 0, UPDF wins 0
Last matches: Entebbe UPPC
23.05.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
BUL
4
0
W
19.05.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Police
1
1
D
12.05.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Maroons
0
0
D
29.04.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Calvary
2
0
W
26.04.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Vipers
0
3
L
21.04.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
KCCA
0
1
L
16.04.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Buhimba Saints
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Lugazi
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
SC Villa
0
2
L
10.03.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
NEC
0
0
D
07.03.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
URA
0
0
D
03.03.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Kitara
0
2
L
17.02.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Mbarara City
1
0
W
14.02.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Express
0
0
D
30.01.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
KCCA
1
0
W
27.01.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Maroons
0
0
D
21.01.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
UPDF
1
0
W
13.01.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
URA
1
0
W
18.12.25
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Kitara
1
0
W
11.12.25
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Express
2
0
W
Last matches: UPDF
23.05.26
Pre
UPDF
SC Villa
1
2
L
19.05.26
Pre
UPDF
Calvary
0
0
D
13.05.26
Pre
UPDF
KCCA
1
2
L
29.04.26
Pre
UPDF
Police
0
2
L
24.04.26
Pre
UPDF
URA
0
0
D
21.04.26
Pre
UPDF
BUL
5
2
W
15.04.26
Pre
UPDF
Express
0
1
L
09.04.26
Pre
UPDF
Mbarara City
3
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
UPDF
Maroons
0
0
D
11.03.26
Pre
UPDF
Vipers
1
2
L
06.03.26
Pre
UPDF
Kitara
1
1
D
03.03.26
Pre
UPDF
NEC
0
1
L
18.02.26
Pre
UPDF
Lugazi
0
1
L
13.02.26
Pre
UPDF
Buhimba Saints
0
0
D
30.01.26
Pre
UPDF
BUL
0
1
L
27.01.26
Pre
UPDF
KCCA
0
4
L
21.01.26
Pre
UPDF
Entebbe UPPC
0
1
L
07.01.26
Pre
UPDF
Kitara
1
2
L
16.12.25
Pre
UPDF
NEC
0
0
D
10.12.25
Pre
UPDF
Buhimba Saints
2
2
D
H2H: Entebbe UPPC vs UPDF
07.05.26
H2H
Entebbe UPPC
UPDF
2
0
W
21.01.26
H2H
UPDF
Entebbe UPPC
0
1
W
Last matches: Entebbe UPPC
23.05.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
BUL
4
0
W
29.04.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Calvary
2
0
W
21.04.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
KCCA
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
SC Villa
0
2
L
07.03.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
URA
0
0
D
17.02.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Mbarara City
1
0
W
27.01.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Maroons
0
0
D
18.12.25
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Kitara
1
0
W
11.12.25
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Express
2
0
W
19.11.25
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Police
0
2
L
01.11.25
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Vipers
0
1
L
25.10.25
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
NEC
1
0
W
01.10.25
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Lugazi
2
1
W
26.09.25
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Buhimba Saints
0
1
L
H2H at home: Entebbe UPPC
07.05.26
H2H
Entebbe UPPC
UPDF
2
0
W
Last matches: UPDF
23.05.26
Pre
UPDF
SC Villa
1
2
L
29.04.26
Pre
UPDF
Police
0
2
L
21.04.26
Pre
UPDF
BUL
5
2
W
14.03.26
Pre
UPDF
Maroons
0
0
D
03.03.26
Pre
UPDF
NEC
0
1
L
18.02.26
Pre
UPDF
Lugazi
0
1
L
27.01.26
Pre
UPDF
KCCA
0
4
L
07.01.26
Pre
UPDF
Kitara
1
2
L
10.12.25
Pre
UPDF
Buhimba Saints
2
2
D
02.12.25
Pre
UPDF
Vipers
1
5
L
19.11.25
Pre
UPDF
Calvary
1
0
W
29.10.25
Pre
UPDF
URA
2
3
L
03.10.25
Pre
UPDF
Mbarara City
1
0
W
26.09.25
Pre
UPDF
Express
0
1
L
H2H away: UPDF
07.05.26
H2H
Entebbe UPPC
UPDF
2
0
L

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 10 1 55:17 38 67
W W D D D
2 30 19 5 6 46:22 24 62
W D W W D
3 30 18 7 5 47:17 30 61
W W W D L
4 30 16 8 6 43:22 21 56
D D L L W
5 30 14 9 7 30:20 10 51
W D D W W
6 30 13 12 5 31:22 9 51
L L W W W
7 30 13 8 9 42:35 7 47
D D D L W
8 30 9 11 10 26:27 -1 38
W L D L D
9 30 9 10 11 30:33 -3 37
L D D D L
10 30 9 10 11 28:31 -3 37
L D W W L
11 30 5 16 9 27:30 -3 31
W D D D D
12 30 6 9 15 26:46 -20 27
L W L W W
13 30 5 10 15 19:36 -17 25
L D D L W
14
UPDF Away
30 5 7 18 24:41 -17 22
L D L L L
15 30 4 9 17 14:39 -25 21
W D D W L
16 30 4 3 23 16:66 -50 15
L L L L L
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League