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26.09.2026 18:45
Wembley Stadium
Referee: Davide Massa, Italy
England
Match Timeline
Spain
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
Lamine Yamal
Spain
⚽
36'
Anthony Gordon · Assist: Jude Bellingham
England
⚽
40'
Harry Kane · Assist: Nico O'Reilly
England
VAR
52'
Jude Bellingham
England
⚽
54'
Harry Kane
England
🔄
55'
Nico Williams ↔ Alex Baena
Spain
🔄
55'
Ferran Torres ↔ Mikel Oyarzabal
Spain
⚽
60'
Alex Baena · Assist: Dani Olmo
Spain
🟨
67'
Nico O'Reilly
England
🟨
69'
Marc Guéhi
England
🔄
70'
Anthony Gordon ↔ Morgan Rogers
England
🔄
70'
Myles Lewis-Skelly ↔ James Garner
England
🔄
70'
Fabián Ruiz ↔ Pedri
Spain
⚽
74'
Mikel Oyarzabal · Assist: Alex Baena
Spain
🟨
81'
Jude Bellingham
England
🔄
82'
Dani Olmo ↔ Mikel Merino
Spain
🔄
83'
Harry Kane ↔ Dominic Calvert-Lewin
England
🔄
83'
Bukayo Saka ↔ Morgan Gibbs-White
England
🔄
89'
Marc Guéhi ↔ Jarrad Branthwaite
England

England vs Spain Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
England Win 36.4%
Draw 9.6%
Spain Win 54%
Expected Goals (xG)
England1.35
Spain1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
England England
W L W W W
14 GF / 10 GA
Spain Spain
W W W W W
9 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
2.08
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
0.25
7
BTTS Yes
3
7
Over 2.5
5
6.17
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

England England 12 matches
Spain Spain 12 matches
England Statistic Spain
8 Wins 9
2 Draws 3
2 Losses 0
25 Goals For 21
14 Goals Against 3
2.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 0.25
7 BTTS Yes 3
9 Over 1.5 7
7 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 9
2 Failed To Score 2
6.17 Shots On Goal 6
16.75 Total Shots 16
6.42 Corners 6.25
59.2% Ball Possession 59.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, England won 1 times, Spain won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:6 from England's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.4%)
Predicted formations: England 4-2-3-1 / Spain 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: England wins 1, draws 0, Spain wins 2

Standings

League A - Group C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Spain Away
4 4 0 0 12:5 7 12
W W W W
2 4 3 0 1 14:3 11 9
W W W L
3 4 1 0 3 4:14 -10 3
L L L W
4 4 0 0 4 2:10 -8 0
L L L L
Play Offs: Quarter-finals
Possible Play-off