ITALY SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Referee: L. Marinelli
Empoli
Match Timeline
Virtus Entella
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
B. Guiu · Assist: F. Mezzoni
Virtus Entella
🟨
20'
Gabriele Guarino
Empoli
🔄
46'
D. Fila ↔ M. Nasti
Empoli
50'
L. Magnino · Assist: S. Shpendi
Empoli
🟨
55'
Francesco Mezzoni
Virtus Entella
🔄
55'
B. Moruzzi ↔ A. Candela
Empoli
🟨
64'
Stefano Di Mario
Virtus Entella
🔄
74'
G. Yepes ↔ A. Ghion
Empoli
🔄
74'
S. Elia ↔ J. Ceesay
Empoli
🔄
74'
F. Mezzoni ↔ M. Dalla Vecchia
Virtus Entella
🔄
74'
N. Karic ↔ M. Alborghetti
Virtus Entella
🔄
80'
B. Guiu ↔ M. Tirelli
Virtus Entella
🔄
80'
L. Cuppone ↔ A. Debenedetti
Virtus Entella
🔄
84'
S. Shpendi ↔ F. Bianchi
Empoli
🟨
90'
Ivan Marconi
Virtus Entella
🔄
90+1'
I. Marconi ↔ R. Turicchia
Virtus Entella

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 72.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 68.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
72.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
68.4%
-
Probability Distribution
Empoli Win 60.6%
Draw 8.3%
Virtus Entella Win 31.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Empoli1.28
Virtus Entella1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Empoli Empoli
WWDLW
45 GF / 53 GA
Virtus Entella Virtus Entella
WLDWL
37 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.03
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
23
BTTS Yes
19
18
Over 2.5
14
4
Shots on Goal
3.42

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Empoli Empoli 36 matches
Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 36 matches
Empoli Statistic Virtus Entella
8 Wins 9
13 Draws 12
15 Losses 15
45 Goals For 37
53 Goals Against 48
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.03
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
23 BTTS Yes 19
28 Over 1.5 27
18 Over 2.5 14
12 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 11
4 Shots On Goal 3.42
12.17 Total Shots 12.11
4.72 Corners 4.97
49% Ball Possession 44.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Empoli expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Virtus Entella in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Virtus Entella having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Virtus Entella. Virtus Entella arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Empoli Analysis

Empoli approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 36 points from 34 matches. The overall return of 8 wins, 12 draws, and 14 defeats with a 43:49 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on S. Shpendi (13 goals), B. Popov (5 goals), M. Nasti (4 goals), with creative support from S. Elia (9 assists), Rareș Ilie (4 assists), E. Saporiti (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 10 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Virtus Entella Analysis

Virtus Entella approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 35 points from 34 matches. The overall return of 8 wins, 11 draws, and 15 defeats with a 32:47 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Andrea Tiritiello (7 goals), A. Franzoni (6 goals), L. Cuppone (4 goals), with creative support from N. Karic (4 assists), B. Guiu (4 assists), Tommaso Fumagalli (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Empoli won 5 times, Virtus Entella won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:15 from Empoli's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.7%)
Predicted formations: Empoli 4-2-3-1 / Virtus Entella 3-5-2
H2H summary: Empoli wins 5, draws 1, Virtus Entella wins 4
Stats
Empoli Empoli
Virtus Entella Virtus Entella
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
3
6 Corner Kicks 5
11 Fouls 13
3 Offsides 2
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Goal 1
6 Shots off Goal 5
7 Blocked Shots 3
10 Shots insidebox 6
5 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 1
425 Total passes 262
331 Passes accurate 176
0.96 expected_goals 0.81
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Empoli
Formation
Virtus Entella
A. Fulignati
A. Fulignati
T. Ebuehi
T. Ebuehi
G. Guarino
G. Guarino
M. Lovato
M. Lovato
B. Moruzzi
B. Moruzzi
G. Yepes
G. Yepes
N. Haas
N. Haas
L. Magnino
L. Magnino
S. Elia
S. Elia
S. Shpendi
🎯
S. Shpendi
D. Fila
D. Fila
F. Del Frate
F. Del Frate
F. Mezzoni
🎯
F. Mezzoni
L. Parodi
L. Parodi
A. Tiritiello
A. Tiritiello
I. Marconi
I. Marconi
S. Di Mario
S. Di Mario
A. Franzoni
A. Franzoni
L. Benedetti
L. Benedetti
N. Karic
N. Karic
L. Cuppone
L. Cuppone
B. Guiu
B. Guiu
Empoli 4-2-2-2
Starting XI
21
A. Fulignati
G
24
T. Ebuehi
D
34
G. Guarino
🟨 20'
D
20
M. Lovato
D
27
B. Moruzzi
↓ 55'
D
14
G. Yepes
↓ 74'
M
32
N. Haas
M
8
L. Magnino
⚽ 50'
M
7
S. Elia
↓ 74'
M
11
S. Shpendi
🎯 50' ↓ 84'
F
17
D. Fila
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
1
S. Perisan
G
2
M. Curto
D
18
A. Ghion
↑ 74'
M
70
E. Saporiti
M
19
M. Nasti
↑ 46'
F
4
S. Romagnoli
D
26
A. Candela
↑ 55'
D
15
J. Ceesay
↑ 74'
D
99
F. Bianchi
↑ 84'
F
6
D. Degli Innocenti
M
10
R. Ilie
M
25
L. Ignacchiti
M
Virtus Entella 5-3-2
Starting XI
22
F. Del Frate
G
94
F. Mezzoni
🎯 13' ↓ 74' 🟨 55'
D
23
L. Parodi
D
6
A. Tiritiello
D
15
I. Marconi
↓ 90+1' 🟨 90'
D
26
S. Di Mario
🟨 64'
D
24
A. Franzoni
M
32
L. Benedetti
M
8
N. Karic
↓ 74'
M
10
L. Cuppone
↓ 80'
F
11
B. Guiu
⚽ 13' ↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
1
S. Colombi
G
7
D. Bariti
M
4
M. Nichetti
M
77
A. Boccadamo
D
17
M. Tirelli
↑ 80'
46
R. Turicchia
↑ 90+1'
D
9
D. P. Stabile
F
27
M. Dalla Vecchia
↑ 74'
M
38
A. Pilati
3
M. Alborghetti
↑ 74'
D
57
T. Del Lungo
D
19
A. Debenedetti
↑ 80'
F
Last matches: Empoli
25.07.26
Fri
Empoli
Virtus Entella
1
0
W
08.05.26
Ser
Empoli
Monza
2
2
D
01.05.26
Ser
Empoli
Avellino
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Empoli
Venezia
0
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Empoli
Padova
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ser
Empoli
Sampdoria
0
1
L
22.03.26
Ser
Empoli
Pescara
4
2
W
17.03.26
Ser
Empoli
Spezia
1
1
D
14.03.26
Ser
Empoli
Mantova
2
2
D
08.03.26
Ser
Empoli
Catanzaro
2
3
L
04.03.26
Ser
Empoli
Bari
1
2
L
28.02.26
Ser
Empoli
Cesena
1
1
D
20.02.26
Ser
Empoli
Frosinone
2
2
D
15.02.26
Ser
Empoli
Reggiana
1
1
D
11.02.26
Ser
Empoli
Juve Stabia
1
2
L
07.02.26
Ser
Empoli
Palermo
2
3
L
31.01.26
Ser
Empoli
Modena
0
0
D
23.01.26
Ser
Empoli
Carrarese
0
3
L
17.01.26
Ser
Empoli
Sudtirol
0
1
L
10.01.26
Ser
Empoli
Cesena
1
0
W
Last matches: Virtus Entella
25.07.26
Fri
Virtus Entella
Empoli
0
1
L
08.05.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Carrarese
2
1
W
01.05.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Bari
0
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Padova
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Venezia
1
1
D
06.04.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Mantova
0
1
L
22.03.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Reggiana
3
0
W
18.03.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Pescara
0
3
L
15.03.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Avellino
1
2
L
07.03.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Sudtirol
1
0
W
03.03.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Modena
2
1
W
27.02.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Monza
0
2
L
21.02.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Catanzaro
1
3
L
14.02.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Palermo
0
3
L
10.02.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Cesena
3
1
W
07.02.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Spezia
1
1
D
31.01.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Frosinone
1
1
D
24.01.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Juve Stabia
0
1
L
16.01.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Sampdoria
1
1
D
10.01.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Monza
1
0
W
H2H: Empoli vs Virtus Entella
25.07.26
H2H
Empoli
Virtus Entella
1
0
W
19.04.26
H2H
Empoli
Virtus Entella
1
1
D
01.11.25
H2H
Virtus Entella
Empoli
1
0
L
26.07.25
H2H
Empoli
Virtus Entella
1
2
L
20.03.21
H2H
Empoli
Virtus Entella
1
0
W
12.12.20
H2H
Virtus Entella
Empoli
2
5
W
17.07.20
H2H
Empoli
Virtus Entella
2
4
L
14.12.19
H2H
Virtus Entella
Empoli
2
0
L
11.03.18
H2H
Empoli
Virtus Entella
2
1
W
16.10.17
H2H
Virtus Entella
Empoli
2
3
W
Last matches: Empoli
25.07.26
Fri
Empoli
Virtus Entella
1
0
W
01.05.26
Ser
Empoli
Avellino
1
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Empoli
Pescara
4
2
W
14.03.26
Ser
Empoli
Mantova
2
2
D
28.02.26
Ser
Empoli
Cesena
1
1
D
15.02.26
Ser
Empoli
Reggiana
1
1
D
11.02.26
Ser
Empoli
Juve Stabia
1
2
L
31.01.26
Ser
Empoli
Modena
0
0
D
17.01.26
Ser
Empoli
Sudtirol
0
1
L
27.12.25
Ser
Empoli
Frosinone
1
1
D
07.12.25
Ser
Empoli
Palermo
1
3
L
29.11.25
Ser
Empoli
Bari
5
0
W
08.11.25
Ser
Empoli
Catanzaro
1
0
W
28.10.25
Ser
Empoli
Sampdoria
1
1
D
19.10.25
Ser
Empoli
Venezia
1
1
D
01.10.25
Ser
Empoli
Monza
1
1
D
28.09.25
Ser
Empoli
Carrarese
2
2
D
14.09.25
Ser
Empoli
Spezia
1
1
D
23.08.25
Ser
Empoli
Padova
3
1
W
15.08.25
Cop
Empoli
Reggiana
1
1
D
H2H at home: Empoli
25.07.26
H2H
Empoli
Virtus Entella
1
0
W
19.04.26
H2H
Empoli
Virtus Entella
1
1
D
26.07.25
H2H
Empoli
Virtus Entella
1
2
L
20.03.21
H2H
Empoli
Virtus Entella
1
0
W
17.07.20
H2H
Empoli
Virtus Entella
2
4
L
11.03.18
H2H
Empoli
Virtus Entella
2
1
W
Last matches: Virtus Entella
25.07.26
Fri
Virtus Entella
Empoli
0
1
L
01.05.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Bari
0
2
L
06.04.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Mantova
0
1
L
18.03.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Pescara
0
3
L
07.03.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Sudtirol
1
0
W
27.02.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Monza
0
2
L
14.02.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Palermo
0
3
L
07.02.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Spezia
1
1
D
24.01.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Juve Stabia
0
1
L
16.01.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Sampdoria
1
1
D
27.12.25
Ser
Virtus Entella
Venezia
0
1
L
14.12.25
Ser
Virtus Entella
Carrarese
1
3
L
29.11.25
Ser
Virtus Entella
Catanzaro
2
3
L
08.11.25
Ser
Virtus Entella
Reggiana
0
0
D
28.10.25
Ser
Virtus Entella
Frosinone
0
4
L
05.10.25
Ser
Virtus Entella
Modena
0
2
L
27.09.25
Ser
Virtus Entella
Avellino
0
2
L
21.09.25
Ser
Virtus Entella
Padova
1
2
L
30.08.25
Ser
Virtus Entella
Cesena
1
1
D
16.08.25
Cop
Virtus Entella
Cagliari
1
1
D
H2H away: Virtus Entella
25.07.26
H2H
Empoli
Virtus Entella
1
0
L
19.04.26
H2H
Empoli
Virtus Entella
1
1
D
26.07.25
H2H
Empoli
Virtus Entella
1
2
W
20.03.21
H2H
Empoli
Virtus Entella
1
0
L
17.07.20
H2H
Empoli
Virtus Entella
2
4
W
11.03.18
H2H
Empoli
Virtus Entella
2
1
L

Standings

Serie B: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 10 4 77:31 46 82
W D W W D
2 38 23 12 3 76:34 42 81
W W W W D
3 38 22 10 6 61:32 29 76
D L W W W
4 38 20 12 6 61:33 28 72
L W D W D
5 38 15 14 9 62:51 11 59
L L W D D
6 38 15 10 13 49:36 13 55
L W L L D
7 38 11 18 9 44:45 -1 51
D L D D W
8 38 13 10 15 43:55 -12 49
W L W W D
9 38 13 7 18 45:57 -12 46
L W W L W
10 38 12 10 16 39:49 -10 46
W W L W W
11 38 12 10 16 45:56 -11 46
L D D L L
12 38 10 14 14 47:52 -5 44
L D L D L
13 38 11 11 16 35:48 -13 44
L W D L W
14 38 10 12 16 36:51 -15 42
W L W D D
15 38 9 14 15 47:54 -7 41
D W L D L
16 38 8 17 13 38:48 -10 41
D L L L D
17 38 10 10 18 38:60 -22 40
W W L L L
18 38 9 10 19 36:56 -20 37
W L D L W
19 38 8 11 19 43:59 -16 35
D D L W L
20 38 7 14 17 51:66 -15 35
D L D D L
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation