Empoli vs Avellino Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
83.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
26.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
88.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Empoli
Avellino
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Empoli
38 matches
Avellino
37 matches
| Empoli | Statistic | Avellino |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 12 |
| 14 | Draws | 10 |
| 16 | Losses | 15 |
| 46 | Goals For | 42 |
| 56 | Goals Against | 55 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.14 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.49 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 30 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 3.92 | Shots On Goal | 3.27 |
| 12.16 | Total Shots | 9.59 |
| 4.79 | Corners | 4.16 |
| 48.6% | Ball Possession | 48.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Empoli have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Avellino carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 46 points while Empoli sit 16 on 37, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Avellino. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Empoli expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Avellino in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Avellino having the stronger overall control.
With 37 points from 36 games and a place of 16, Empoli still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 8 wins, 13 draws, and 15 defeats with a 44:52 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on S. Shpendi (13 goals), B. Popov (5 goals), M. Nasti (4 goals), with creative support from S. Elia (9 assists), Rareș Ilie (4 assists), S. Shpendi (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 11 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with P. Pellegri, N. Haas unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
From their first 36 matches, Avellino have collected 46 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 10 draws, and 14 losses, while the 42:54 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Tommaso Biasci (12 goals), Lorenco Šimić (4 goals), M. Palumbo (4 goals), with creative support from D. Sounas (4 assists), Tommaso Biasci (3 assists), M. Palumbo (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Empoli won 2 times, Avellino won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:4 from Empoli's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 77:31 | 46 | 82 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 76:34 | 42 | 81 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 61:32 | 29 | 76 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 61:33 | 28 | 72 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 62:51 | 11 | 59 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 49:36 | 13 | 55 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | -1 | 51 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 |
Avellino
Away
|
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 49 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 45:57 | -12 | 46 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | -10 | 46 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 45:56 | -11 | 46 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 47:52 | -5 | 44 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 35:48 | -13 | 44 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 36:51 | -15 | 42 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 15 |
Empoli
Home
|
38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 47:54 | -7 | 41 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
| 16 | 38 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 38:48 | -10 | 41 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:60 | -22 | 40 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 36:56 | -20 | 37 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 43:59 | -16 | 35 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 51:66 | -15 | 35 |
D
L
D
D
L
|