Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
83.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
26.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
88.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Empoli
Avellino
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Empoli
38 matches
Avellino
37 matches
| Empoli | Statistic | Avellino |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 12 |
| 14 | Draws | 10 |
| 16 | Losses | 15 |
| 46 | Goals For | 42 |
| 56 | Goals Against | 55 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.14 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.49 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 30 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 3.92 | Shots On Goal | 3.27 |
| 12.16 | Total Shots | 9.59 |
| 4.79 | Corners | 4.16 |
| 48.6% | Ball Possession | 48.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Empoli have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Avellino carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 46 points while Empoli sit 16 on 37, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Avellino. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Empoli expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Avellino in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Avellino having the stronger overall control.
With 37 points from 36 games and a place of 16, Empoli still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 8 wins, 13 draws, and 15 defeats with a 44:52 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on S. Shpendi (13 goals), B. Popov (5 goals), M. Nasti (4 goals), with creative support from S. Elia (9 assists), Rareș Ilie (4 assists), S. Shpendi (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 11 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with P. Pellegri, N. Haas unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
From their first 36 matches, Avellino have collected 46 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 10 draws, and 14 losses, while the 42:54 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Tommaso Biasci (12 goals), Lorenco Šimić (4 goals), M. Palumbo (4 goals), with creative support from D. Sounas (4 assists), Tommaso Biasci (3 assists), M. Palumbo (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Empoli won 2 times, Avellino won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:4 from Empoli's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.
Empoli
9
2
3
3
5
0
Lineups
Empoli
Monza
Empoli
Venezia
Empoli
Virtus Entella
Empoli
Padova
Empoli
Sampdoria
Empoli
Pescara
Empoli
Spezia
Empoli
Mantova
Empoli
Catanzaro
Empoli
Bari
Empoli
Cesena
Empoli
Frosinone
Empoli
Reggiana
Empoli
Juve Stabia
Empoli
Palermo
Empoli
Modena
Empoli
Carrarese
Empoli
Sudtirol
Empoli
Cesena
Empoli
Frosinone
Avellino
Catanzaro
Avellino
Modena
Avellino
Bari
Avellino
Mantova
Avellino
Catanzaro
Avellino
Palermo
Avellino
Sampdoria
Avellino
Sudtirol
Avellino
Virtus Entella
Avellino
Padova
Avellino
Venezia
Avellino
Juve Stabia
Avellino
Reggiana
Avellino
Pescara
Avellino
Frosinone
Avellino
Monza
Avellino
Cesena
Avellino
Spezia
Avellino
Carrarese
Avellino
Sampdoria
Empoli
Virtus Entella
Empoli
Pescara
Empoli
Mantova
Empoli
Cesena
Empoli
Reggiana
Empoli
Juve Stabia
Empoli
Modena
Empoli
Sudtirol
Empoli
Frosinone
Empoli
Palermo
Empoli
Bari
Empoli
Catanzaro
Empoli
Sampdoria
Empoli
Venezia
Empoli
Monza
Empoli
Carrarese
Empoli
Spezia
Empoli
Padova
Empoli
Reggiana
Empoli
Hellas Verona
Avellino
Catanzaro
Avellino
Mantova
Avellino
Palermo
Avellino
Sampdoria
Avellino
Virtus Entella
Avellino
Venezia
Avellino
Reggiana
Avellino
Monza
Avellino
Spezia
Avellino
Bari
Avellino
Catanzaro
Avellino
Sudtirol
Avellino
Cesena
Avellino
Pescara
Avellino
Juve Stabia
Avellino
Padova
Avellino
Carrarese
Avellino
Modena
Avellino
Frosinone
Avellino
Audace Cerignola
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 77:31 | 46 | 82 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 76:34 | 42 | 81 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 61:32 | 29 | 76 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 61:33 | 28 | 72 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 62:51 | 11 | 59 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 49:36 | 13 | 55 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | -1 | 51 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 |
Avellino
Away
|
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 49 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 45:57 | -12 | 46 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | -10 | 46 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 45:56 | -11 | 46 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 47:52 | -5 | 44 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 35:48 | -13 | 44 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 36:51 | -15 | 42 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 15 |
Empoli
Home
|
38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 47:54 | -7 | 41 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
| 16 | 38 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 38:48 | -10 | 41 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:60 | -22 | 40 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 36:56 | -20 | 37 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 43:59 | -16 | 35 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 51:66 | -15 | 35 |
D
L
D
D
L
|