Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
58.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
61.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Emelec
24 matches
Tecnico Universitario
25 matches
| Emelec | Statistic | Tecnico Universitario |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 8 |
| 8 | Draws | 2 |
| 9 | Losses | 15 |
| 19 | Goals For | 20 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 33 |
| 0.79 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.8 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 3.08 | Shots On Goal | 3.83 |
| 10.04 | Total Shots | 11.96 |
| 4.29 | Corners | 4.83 |
| 43.3% | Ball Possession | 42.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Tecnico Universitario. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Emelec expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Tecnico Universitario in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Tecnico Universitario having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Emelec sit 14 with 25 points after 23 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 19:28, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Luca Klimowicz (4 goals), Ignacio Guerrico (2 goals), Juan Ruiz Gómez (2 goals), with creative support from Francisco Pizzini (3 assists), Angelo Mina (2 assists), Luca Klimowicz (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 26 points from 23 games and a place of 13, Tecnico Universitario still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 20:29, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Mateo Castano (3 goals), Julian Anaya (3 goals), Johan Bocanegra (2 goals), with creative support from Mateo Castano (2 assists), Johan Bocanegra (2 assists), Luis Estupiñan (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Emelec won 7 times, Tecnico Universitario won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:8 from Emelec's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game.
Emelec
7
4
6
5
3
3
Lineups
Emelec
LDU de Quito
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
Aucas
Emelec
Deportivo Cuenca
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Orense SC
Emelec
Barcelona SC
Emelec
Delfin SC
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Macara
Emelec
Manta FC
Emelec
Libertad
Emelec
Leones del Norte
Emelec
LDU de Quito
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
Aucas
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
Leones del Norte
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
Delfin SC
Tecnico Universitario
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Aucas
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Barcelona SC
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Macara
Emelec
Libertad
Emelec
LDU de Quito
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
Deportivo Cuenca
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Orense SC
Emelec
Delfin SC
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 64:26 | 38 | 67 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 30:26 | 4 | 44 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 45:23 | 22 | 43 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 33:25 | 8 | 42 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 26:20 | 6 | 41 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:20 | 8 | 39 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28:28 | 0 | 35 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28:29 | -1 | 34 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 33 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 33 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 22:32 | -10 | 32 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30:39 | -9 | 30 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 13 |
Emelec
Home
|
26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21:31 | -10 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
| 14 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 23:37 | -14 | 26 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 17:28 | -11 | 24 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 12:37 | -25 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
L
|