Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
87.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
50.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
79.1%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Emelec
Libertad
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Emelec
12 matches
Libertad
12 matches
| Emelec | Statistic | Libertad |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 3 |
| 2 | Draws | 4 |
| 6 | Losses | 5 |
| 9 | Goals For | 11 |
| 15 | Goals Against | 16 |
| 0.75 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.92 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.08 | Shots On Goal | 3.5 |
| 10.08 | Total Shots | 10.83 |
| 4.5 | Corners | 4 |
| 48.2% | Ball Possession | 49.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Libertad. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Emelec expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Libertad in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Libertad having the stronger overall control.
Emelec sit 12 with 14 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 9:15, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Luca Klimowicz (2 goals), R. Caicedo (2 goals), I. Guerrico (1 goals), with creative support from Luca Klimowicz (1 assists), I. Guerrico (1 assists), A. Mina (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Libertad sit 14 with 13 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats with a 11:16 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Chere (3 goals), G. J. Cortez Casierra (2 goals), V. Branda (2 goals), with creative support from G. J. Cortez Casierra (3 assists), J. Guisamano (2 assists), A. Chere (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Emelec won 2 times, Libertad won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:5 from Emelec's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.71 goals per game.
Emelec
5
5
13
3
7
1
Lineups
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Orense SC
Emelec
Barcelona SC
Emelec
Delfin SC
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Macara
Emelec
Manta FC
Emelec
Leones del Norte
Emelec
LDU de Quito
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
Aucas
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Deportivo Cuenca
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Orense SC
Emelec
Barcelona SC
Emelec
Delfin SC
Libertad
Delfin SC
Libertad
Barcelona SC
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
LDU de Quito
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Manta FC
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
Deportivo Cuenca
Libertad
Aucas
Libertad
Macara
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Orense SC
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Delfin SC
Libertad
Barcelona SC
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
LDU de Quito
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Manta FC
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Barcelona SC
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Macara
Emelec
LDU de Quito
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
Deportivo Cuenca
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Orense SC
Emelec
Delfin SC
Libertad
Barcelona SC
Libertad
LDU de Quito
Libertad
Manta FC
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
Macara
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Orense SC
Libertad
Delfin SC
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 52:20 | 32 | 52 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 33:19 | 14 | 35 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 23:21 | 2 | 35 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 23:16 | 7 | 34 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 24:21 | 3 | 32 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 20:17 | 3 | 29 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 28 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 19:26 | -7 | 28 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 27 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 26 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 25 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 |
Emelec
Home
|
21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 25 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
| 13 |
Libertad
Away
|
21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 19:26 | -7 | 24 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
| 14 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 19:24 | -5 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 13:20 | -7 | 23 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 8:26 | -18 | 14 |
D
L
L
D
L
|