Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
61.9%
|
4.62 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
2.20 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
2.39 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
88.6%
|
1.83 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
9.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
17.00 |
Emelec
Leones del Norte
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Emelec
26 matches
Leones del Norte
26 matches
| Emelec | Statistic | Leones del Norte |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 9 |
| 8 | Draws | 8 |
| 10 | Losses | 9 |
| 21 | Goals For | 28 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 0.81 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.08 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.19 | Shots On Goal | 3.81 |
| 10.38 | Total Shots | 12.15 |
| 4.23 | Corners | 4.08 |
| 43.4% | Ball Possession | 46.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Leones del Norte. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
So far, Emelec have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 29 points from 25 matches. The record of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 21:29 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Luca Klimowicz (6 goals), Ignacio Guerrico (2 goals), Juan Ruiz Gómez (2 goals), with creative support from Francisco Pizzini (3 assists), Luis Fragozo (2 assists), Angelo Mina (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Leones del Norte have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 35 points from 26 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 28:28 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Juan Anangonó (5 goals), Darío Pazmiño (3 goals), Emiliano Griffa (3 goals), with creative support from Jonathan Arroyo (3 assists), Darío Pazmiño (2 assists), Elián Pepinós (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Emelec won 0 times, Leones del Norte won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:2 from Emelec's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.
Emelec
LDU de Quito
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
Aucas
Emelec
Deportivo Cuenca
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Orense SC
Emelec
Barcelona SC
Emelec
Delfin SC
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Macara
Emelec
Manta FC
Emelec
Libertad
Emelec
Leones del Norte
Emelec
LDU de Quito
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
Aucas
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
Independiente del Valle
Leones del Norte
Manta FC
Leones del Norte
Aucas
Leones del Norte
Barcelona SC
Leones del Norte
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
Guayaquil City FC
Leones del Norte
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
Deportivo Cuenca
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Macara
Leones del Norte
Tecnico Universitario
Leones del Norte
Mushuc Runa SC
Leones del Norte
Orense SC
Leones del Norte
Emelec
Leones del Norte
Independiente del Valle
Leones del Norte
Manta FC
Leones del Norte
Aucas
Leones del Norte
Barcelona SC
Leones del Norte
Delfin SC
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
Aucas
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Barcelona SC
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Macara
Emelec
Libertad
Emelec
LDU de Quito
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
Deportivo Cuenca
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Orense SC
Emelec
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
Manta FC
Leones del Norte
Aucas
Leones del Norte
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Tecnico Universitario
Leones del Norte
Orense SC
Leones del Norte
Independiente del Valle
Leones del Norte
Barcelona SC
Leones del Norte
Guayaquil City FC
Leones del Norte
Deportivo Cuenca
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
Macara
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 64:26 | 38 | 67 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 30:26 | 4 | 44 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 45:23 | 22 | 43 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 33:26 | 7 | 42 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 26:20 | 6 | 41 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:20 | 8 | 39 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 29:29 | 0 | 37 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:34 | -1 | 36 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 |
Leones del Norte
Away
|
26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28:28 | 0 | 35 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 33 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 23:35 | -12 | 32 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30:39 | -9 | 30 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 13 |
Emelec
Home
|
26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21:31 | -10 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
| 14 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 16 | 26:38 | -12 | 29 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 17:29 | -12 | 24 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 12:37 | -25 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
L
|