ECUADOR LIGA PRO
18.04.2026 00:30
Estadio George Capwell
Referee: Augusto Bergelio Aragon Bautista, Ecuador
Emelec
Match Timeline
Guayaquil City FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
20'
E. Mero · Assist: J. J. Ayovi Caicedo
Guayaquil City FC
VAR
25'
Angelo Mina
Emelec
28'
Francisco Pizzini
Emelec
28'
L. Klimowicz
Emelec
🟨
41'
Ignacio Guerrico
Emelec
🟨
45+1'
José Neris
Emelec
🟨
45+1'
Angelo Mina
Emelec
🔄
46'
O. Herrera ↔ A. Mina
Emelec
54'
D. Diaz · Assist: J. J. Ayovi Caicedo
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
68'
F. Pizzini ↔ J. Cevallos
Emelec
🔄
68'
I. Guerrico ↔ J. Ruiz
Emelec
🔄
71'
P. Gonzalez ↔ A. Naula
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
71'
S. Laurino ↔ K. Sambonino
Guayaquil City FC
🟨
73'
Víctor Griffith
Emelec
🟨
82'
Stalin Valencia
Emelec
VAR
82'
Junior Ayovi
Guayaquil City FC
84'
D. Diaz
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
85'
L. Klimowicz ↔ J. Gonzaga
Emelec
🔄
86'
A. Mina ↔ E. Segura
Emelec
🔄
86'
Y. Rodriguez ↔ E. Cabezas
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
87'
P. Mancilla ↔ J. Ordonez
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
89'
D. Diaz ↔ M. Palma
Guayaquil City FC

Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw
Probability 34.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 59.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 59.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw
34.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
59.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
59.1%
-
Probability Distribution
Emelec Win 32.9%
Draw 34.9%
Guayaquil City FC Win 32.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Emelec0.92
Guayaquil City FC0.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
Emelec Emelec
WWDLW
6 GF / 10 GA
Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC
WLDWL
8 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
0.73
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
3
BTTS Yes
5
1
Over 2.5
4
2.88
Shots on Goal
2.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Emelec Emelec 8 matches
Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC 11 matches
Emelec Statistic Guayaquil City FC
2 Wins 3
2 Draws 3
4 Losses 5
6 Goals For 8
10 Goals Against 13
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 0.73
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
3 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 6
1 Over 2.5 4
0 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 4
2.88 Shots On Goal 2.63
9.88 Total Shots 8.13
4.5 Corners 3.38
49.3% Ball Possession 53.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Emelec expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Guayaquil City FC in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Guayaquil City FC having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Guayaquil City FC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Emelec have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Emelec Analysis

Emelec sit 15 with 5 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 6:10, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Luca Klimowicz (2 goals), R. Caicedo (2 goals), F. Pizzini (1 goals), with creative support from F. Pizzini (2 assists), I. Guerrico (1 assists), A. Mina (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Guayaquil City FC Analysis

From their first 8 matches, Guayaquil City FC have collected 9 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, while the 5:9 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on E. Mero (4 goals), D. Diaz (2 goals), P. Gonzalez (1 goals), with creative support from J. J. Ayovi Caicedo (4 assists), D. Diaz (1 assists), P. Gonzalez (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Emelec won 5 times, Guayaquil City FC won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:11 from Emelec's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.53 goals per game.

1X2: Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (67.8%)
Predicted formations: Emelec 4-4-2 / Guayaquil City FC 3-4-3
H2H summary: Emelec wins 5, draws 6, Guayaquil City FC wins 4

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 22 2 4 67:30 37 68
L D W W W
2 28 14 6 8 39:30 9 48
W W L D W
3 27 14 5 8 31:26 5 47
W W L W W
4 27 12 8 7 47:25 22 44
D W D L W
5 28 11 9 8 30:23 7 42
W L W D L
6 28 12 6 10 27:22 5 42
D L W W L
7 28 9 10 9 33:34 -1 37
D W D D W
8 27 10 7 10 29:30 -1 37
L W D W W
9 28 9 9 10 27:31 -4 36
L W W D D
10 27 9 8 10 29:30 -1 35
L L W L D
11 28 10 5 13 24:35 -11 35
W L D L L
12 27 9 8 10 23:32 -9 32
W L W D L
13 27 8 6 13 31:41 -10 30
L L W D L
14 28 9 2 17 26:39 -13 29
L W L L L
15 28 7 6 15 18:29 -11 27
W L L L D
16 28 5 5 18 17:41 -24 20
L W L L W
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs