Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw |
34.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
59.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.1%
|
- |
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Emelec
8 matches
Guayaquil City FC
11 matches
| Emelec | Statistic | Guayaquil City FC |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 3 |
| 2 | Draws | 3 |
| 4 | Losses | 5 |
| 6 | Goals For | 8 |
| 10 | Goals Against | 13 |
| 0.75 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.73 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 1 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 2.88 | Shots On Goal | 2.63 |
| 9.88 | Total Shots | 8.13 |
| 4.5 | Corners | 3.38 |
| 49.3% | Ball Possession | 53.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Emelec expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Guayaquil City FC in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Guayaquil City FC having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Guayaquil City FC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Emelec have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Emelec sit 15 with 5 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 6:10, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Luca Klimowicz (2 goals), R. Caicedo (2 goals), F. Pizzini (1 goals), with creative support from F. Pizzini (2 assists), I. Guerrico (1 assists), A. Mina (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 8 matches, Guayaquil City FC have collected 9 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, while the 5:9 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on E. Mero (4 goals), D. Diaz (2 goals), P. Gonzalez (1 goals), with creative support from J. J. Ayovi Caicedo (4 assists), D. Diaz (1 assists), P. Gonzalez (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Emelec won 6 times, Guayaquil City FC won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:11 from Emelec's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.73 goals per game.
Emelec
5
7
9
3
3
2
Lineups
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Orense SC
Emelec
Barcelona SC
Emelec
Delfin SC
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Macara
Emelec
Manta FC
Emelec
Libertad
Emelec
Leones del Norte
Emelec
LDU de Quito
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
Aucas
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Deportivo Cuenca
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Orense SC
Emelec
Barcelona SC
Emelec
Delfin SC
Guayaquil City FC
Leones del Norte
Guayaquil City FC
Manta FC
Guayaquil City FC
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
Delfin SC
Guayaquil City FC
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
Independiente del Valle
Guayaquil City FC
Mushuc Runa SC
Guayaquil City FC
Orense SC
Guayaquil City FC
Deportivo Cuenca
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
Leones del Norte
Guayaquil City FC
Manta FC
Guayaquil City FC
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
Delfin SC
Guayaquil City FC
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Barcelona SC
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Macara
Emelec
Libertad
Emelec
LDU de Quito
Emelec
Deportivo Cuenca
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Orense SC
Emelec
Delfin SC
Guayaquil City FC
Leones del Norte
Guayaquil City FC
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
Mushuc Runa SC
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
Manta FC
Guayaquil City FC
Delfin SC
Guayaquil City FC
Independiente del Valle
Guayaquil City FC
Deportivo Cuenca
Guayaquil City FC
Barcelona SC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 52:20 | 32 | 52 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 33:19 | 14 | 35 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 23:21 | 2 | 35 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 23:16 | 7 | 34 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 24:21 | 3 | 32 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 20:17 | 3 | 29 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 28 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 19:26 | -7 | 28 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 9 |
Guayaquil City FC
Away
|
21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 27 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
| 10 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 26 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 20:24 | -4 | 26 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 25 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 |
Emelec
Home
|
21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 25 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
| 14 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 19:26 | -7 | 24 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 13:20 | -7 | 23 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 8:27 | -19 | 14 |
L
D
L
L
D
|