Login Register
SPAIN › LA LIGA
11.10.2026 12:00
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Referee: Javier Alberola Rojas, Spain
Elche
Match Timeline
Celta Vigo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
37'
Yoel Lago
Celta Vigo
🟨
59'
Javier Rueda
Celta Vigo
🔄
59'
Tete Morente ↔ A. Osorio
Elche
🔄
60'
P. Duran ↔ B. Iglesias
Celta Vigo
🔄
71'
G. Villar ↔ M. Neto
Elche
🔄
71'
F. Nino ↔ L. Cepeda
Elche
🔄
71'
J. Galan ↔ S. Carreira
Celta Vigo
🔄
71'
F. Jutgla ↔ W. Swedberg
Celta Vigo
🔄
71'
H. Alvarez ↔ C. Driouech
Celta Vigo
🟨
81'
Aleix Febas
Celta Vigo
🔄
83'
A. Febas ↔ H. Burcio
Celta Vigo
🔄
87'
T. Lemar ↔ F. Buonanotte
Elche
🟨
90+1'
Marc Aguado
Elche

Elche vs Celta Vigo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
77.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Elche Win 22.8%
Draw 28.1%
Celta Vigo Win 49.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Elche1.35
Celta Vigo1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Elche Elche
W L D L L
10 GF / 11 GA
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
W L D D D
7 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.92
Average Goals Conceded
1
10
BTTS Yes
7
9
Over 2.5
5
5
Shots on Goal
3.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Elche Elche 12 matches
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 13 matches
Elche Statistic Celta Vigo
3 Wins 3
5 Draws 7
4 Losses 3
19 Goals For 18
23 Goals Against 13
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1
10 BTTS Yes 7
11 Over 1.5 9
9 Over 2.5 5
7 Over 3.5 4
1 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 4
5 Shots On Goal 3.88
11.29 Total Shots 11.38
4.43 Corners 4.38
49.9% Ball Possession 52.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Celta Vigo's more proactive style and Elche's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Elche have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Celta Vigo. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Elche expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Celta Vigo in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Celta Vigo having the stronger overall control.

Elche Analysis

With 5 points from 7 games and a place of 18, Elche still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 11:17, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Fer Niño (5 goals), Germán Valera (1 goals), Buba Sangaré (1 goals), with creative support from Tete Morente (3 assists), R. Revivo (2 assists), L. Cepeda (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Celta Vigo Analysis

With 7 points from 7 games and a place of 14, Celta Vigo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, together with goals at 8:6, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Pablo Durán (2 goals), Miguel Román (1 goals), Hugo González (1 goals), with creative support from Miguel Román (2 assists), Hugo González (2 assists), Hugo Álvarez (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Elche won 4 times, Celta Vigo won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:13 from Elche's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.83 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (77.2%)
Predicted formations: Elche 4-3-3 / Celta Vigo 3-4-3
Missing players: Elche 2, Celta Vigo 4
H2H summary: Elche wins 4, draws 2, Celta Vigo wins 6

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 9 0 0 39:9 30 27
W W W W W
2 9 7 1 1 19:8 11 22
W W W W W
3 9 7 0 2 23:9 14 21
W W L W W
4 9 6 1 2 16:14 2 19
L W D W W
5 9 5 1 3 17:17 0 16
W W W L W
6 9 4 2 3 14:16 -2 14
L D L W W
7 10 3 3 4 14:11 3 12
D L L D L
8 9 2 5 2 10:7 3 11
W D W D D
9 9 2 5 2 13:12 1 11
D L D L D
10 9 3 2 4 10:18 -8 11
W L D L L
11 9 2 4 3 15:17 -2 10
W D D L L
12 9 2 3 4 13:13 0 9
D L W W L
13 8 2 3 3 8:9 -1 9
L D D D
14 8 2 3 3 12:17 -5 9
D D W L
15 9 2 3 4 5:11 -6 9
D L W L D
16 9 2 2 5 11:12 -1 8
L D L L W
17 9 2 2 5 13:25 -12 8
L D L L W
18
Elche Home
9 1 4 4 11:17 -6 7
D D W L D
19 9 1 3 5 6:15 -9 6
D D L W L
20 10 0 5 5 7:19 -12 5
D L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2