EGYPT PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Arab Contractors Stadium
Referee: M. El Atabani
El Mokawloon
Match Timeline
Wadi Degla
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
I. El Bahnasi
Wadi Degla
🟨
42'
Mahmoud Diasty
Wadi Degla
🔄
46'
H. Faisal ↔ M. Salim
El Mokawloon
🔄
46'
M. Abdelrahim ↔ A. Dahesh
Wadi Degla
🔄
46'
A. Reda ↔ Y. Oya
Wadi Degla
🔄
59'
S. Naguib ↔ M. Abdelnasser
El Mokawloon
🔄
59'
J. Ochaya ↔ A. Ouled Behi
El Mokawloon
🔄
65'
Kahraba ↔ H. Hussein
El Mokawloon
🟨
66'
Youssef Oya
Wadi Degla
🟨
67'
Mohamed Abdel Aati
Wadi Degla
🔄
67'
M. Abdelaati ↔ M. Kaandorp
Wadi Degla
🔄
67'
M. Diasty ↔ Zizo
Wadi Degla
🟨
78'
Mohamed Adel
El Mokawloon
🟨
78'
Seif Teka
Wadi Degla
81'
M. Salim · Assist: I. Gaber
El Mokawloon
🟨
86'
Ahmed Dahesh
Wadi Degla
🔄
86'
I. El Bahnasi ↔ K. Aboul-Fetouh
Wadi Degla
🔄
87'
A. Hawash ↔ M. Antar
El Mokawloon

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 44.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 62.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
44.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
62.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
El Mokawloon Win 55.5%
Draw 5%
Wadi Degla Win 39.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
El Mokawloon0.79
Wadi Degla1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
El Mokawloon El Mokawloon
WWDLW
22 GF / 27 GA
Wadi Degla Wadi Degla
WLDWL
37 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
0.73
Average Goals Scored
1.23
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
0.87
14
BTTS Yes
17
6
Over 2.5
12
2.77
Shots on Goal
3.3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

El Mokawloon El Mokawloon 30 matches
Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 30 matches
El Mokawloon Statistic Wadi Degla
6 Wins 12
15 Draws 12
9 Losses 6
22 Goals For 37
27 Goals Against 26
0.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.23
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 0.87
14 BTTS Yes 17
17 Over 1.5 19
6 Over 2.5 12
2 Over 3.5 5
10 Clean Sheets 10
12 Failed To Score 9
2.77 Shots On Goal 3.3
9.77 Total Shots 10.73
4.57 Corners 5.3
42.5% Ball Possession 55%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with El Mokawloon expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Wadi Degla in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Wadi Degla having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Wadi Degla carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 48 points while El Mokawloon sit 15 on 33, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Wadi Degla. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

El Mokawloon Analysis

El Mokawloon sit 15 with 33 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 1 defeats with a 9:6 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on S. Naguib (6 goals), Mohamed Salem (5 goals), Joackiam Ojera (4 goals), with creative support from Kahraba (4 assists), Mohamed Salem (2 assists), Joseph Ochaya (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Wadi Degla Analysis

So far, Wadi Degla have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 48 points from 10 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, while the 14:6 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on F. Boli (9 goals), M. Diasty (5 goals), Ahmed Farouk (4 goals), with creative support from M. Diasty (5 assists), M. Magassa (2 assists), Mohamed Abdelrahim (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, El Mokawloon won 5 times, Wadi Degla won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:7 from El Mokawloon's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.15 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
Predicted formations: El Mokawloon 4-2-3-1 / Wadi Degla 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: El Mokawloon wins 5, draws 5, Wadi Degla wins 3

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 13 4 3 32:13 19 43
L W W W W
2 20 13 4 3 33:15 18 43
W W L W W
3 20 11 7 2 33:19 14 40
L W D W W
4 20 11 5 4 29:16 13 38
D D D L W
5 20 8 8 4 29:20 9 32
L W L W D
6 20 8 7 5 21:13 8 31
W W L L L
7 20 7 9 4 20:16 4 30
W W W L D
8 20 7 8 5 23:20 3 29
D D W D L
9 20 7 8 5 21:16 5 29
W D L D D
10 20 6 10 4 16:15 1 28
W D W D L
11 20 5 11 4 18:14 4 26
L D L W D
12 20 5 10 5 21:23 -2 25
L D W D D
13 20 5 8 7 18:24 -6 23
L L D L D
14 20 5 7 8 14:24 -10 22
W W W D L
15 20 6 2 12 15:24 -9 20
L W L W W
16 20 2 13 5 12:15 -3 19
D L L D L
17 20 3 9 8 13:21 -8 18
L D D W L
18 20 4 5 11 15:29 -14 17
L L W L D
19 20 4 4 12 22:37 -15 16
L W D D L
20 20 2 9 9 8:22 -14 15
D L L D D
21 20 3 2 15 11:28 -17 11
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Premier League (Relegation Group)