EGYPT PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Arab Contractors Stadium
Referee: A. Gamal
El Mokawloon
Match Timeline
Ghazl El Mehalla
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
19'
Mahmoud Bolbol Nabil
Ghazl El Mehalla
🟨
26'
Mohamed Salem
El Mokawloon
🟨
30'
Joackiam Ojera
El Mokawloon
🔄
46'
J. Mwanga ↔ A. Ineza
Ghazl El Mehalla
53'
J. Ojera · Assist: M. Salim
El Mokawloon
🔄
60'
R. Arfaoui ↔ K. Saidi
Ghazl El Mehalla
🔄
61'
M. Bolbol ↔ A. Etman
Ghazl El Mehalla
🔄
71'
S. Naguib ↔ M. Adel
El Mokawloon
🔄
71'
M. Salim ↔ A. Hawash
El Mokawloon
🔄
71'
A. Amoory ↔ Y. El Azab
Ghazl El Mehalla
🔄
79'
H. Faisal ↔ A. Ouled Behi
El Mokawloon
🟨
85'
Mohamed Adel
El Mokawloon
🔄
86'
M. Abdelsalam ↔ A. Magdy
Ghazl El Mehalla
🔄
88'
J. Ojera ↔ M. Antar
El Mokawloon
90'
M. Salah · Assist: A. Shousha
Ghazl El Mehalla

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 49.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 75.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
49.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
75.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
69.1%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
El Mokawloon Win 54.6%
Draw 14.4%
Ghazl El Mehalla Win 31.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
El Mokawloon0.73
Ghazl El Mehalla0.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
El Mokawloon El Mokawloon
WWDLW
19 GF / 25 GA
Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla
WLDWL
19 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
0.73
Average Goals Scored
0.73
0.96
Average Goals Conceded
0.73
12
BTTS Yes
10
6
Over 2.5
6
2.62
Shots on Goal
2.19

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

El Mokawloon El Mokawloon 26 matches
Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 26 matches
El Mokawloon Statistic Ghazl El Mehalla
5 Wins 4
12 Draws 17
9 Losses 5
19 Goals For 19
25 Goals Against 19
0.73 Avg Goals Scored 0.73
0.96 Avg Goals Conceded 0.73
12 BTTS Yes 10
15 Over 1.5 12
6 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 4
8 Clean Sheets 15
11 Failed To Score 13
2.62 Shots On Goal 2.19
9.5 Total Shots 8.38
4.77 Corners 3.23
41.8% Ball Possession 46.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ghazl El Mehalla. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

El Mokawloon Analysis

With 27 points from 6 games and a place of 17, El Mokawloon still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, together with goals at 6:4, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through S. Naguib (5 goals), Mohamed Salem (4 goals), Joackiam Ojera (3 goals), with creative support from Kahraba (3 assists), Joseph Ochaya (2 assists), S. Naguib (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Ghazl El Mehalla Analysis

Ghazl El Mehalla approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 29 points from 6 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, together with goals at 7:4, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Shousha (5 goals), M. Salah (3 goals), Abdelrahim Amoory (2 goals), with creative support from K. Saidi (3 assists), R. Arfaoui (2 assists), A. Etman (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, El Mokawloon won 3 times, Ghazl El Mehalla won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:7 from El Mokawloon's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.7%)
Predicted formations: El Mokawloon 4-2-3-1 / Ghazl El Mehalla 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: El Mokawloon wins 3, draws 5, Ghazl El Mehalla wins 1
Stats
El Mokawloon El Mokawloon
Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
5 Corner Kicks 6
10 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 2
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Goal 5
4 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 2
8 Shots insidebox 5
2 Shots outsidebox 5
4 Goalkeeper Saves 2
305 Total passes 342
209 Passes accurate 240
0.94 expected_goals 0.81
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

El Mokawloon
Formation
Ghazl El Mehalla
M. Aboul Saoud
M. Aboul Saoud
H. Hussein
H. Hussein
I. Abdellah
I. Abdellah
M. Hamed
M. Hamed
J. Ochaya
J. Ochaya
M. Gamal
M. Gamal
O. El Wahsh
O. El Wahsh
J. Ojera
J. Ojera
M. Salim
🎯
M. Salim
H. Faisal
H. Faisal
S. Naguib
S. Naguib
M. Amer
M. Amer
A. Amoory
A. Amoory
A. El Aash
A. El Aash
M. Abdelsalam
M. Abdelsalam
A. Shousha
🎯
A. Shousha
Y. Zakaria
Y. Zakaria
B. Walid
B. Walid
M. Bolbol
M. Bolbol
R. Arfaoui
R. Arfaoui
M. Salah
M. Salah
J. Mwanga
J. Mwanga
El Mokawloon 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
M. Aboul Saoud
G
4
H. Hussein
21
I. Abdellah
D
3
M. Hamed
D
23
J. Ochaya
D
14
M. Gamal
M
12
O. El Wahsh
M
25
J. Ojera
⚽ 53' ↓ 88' 🟨 30'
M
9
M. Salim
🎯 53' ↓ 71' 🟨 26'
M
32
H. Faisal
↓ 79'
M
10
S. Naguib
↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
18
M. Fawzi
G
19
I. Al Kadi
D
22
M. Antar
↑ 88'
F
31
M. Adel
↑ 71' 🟨 85'
M
44
A. Hawash
↑ 71'
F
26
Kahraba
D
17
M. Sobhi
F
13
M. Hozian
D
28
A. Ouled Behi
↑ 79'
M
Ghazl El Mehalla 5-4-1
Starting XI
16
M. Amer
G
24
A. Amoory
↓ 71'
D
3
A. El Aash
D
39
M. Abdelsalam
↓ 86'
D
4
A. Shousha
🎯 90'
D
12
Y. Zakaria
D
10
B. Walid
M
17
M. Bolbol
↓ 61' 🟨 19'
M
9
R. Arfaoui
↓ 60'
M
42
M. Salah
⚽ 90'
M
90
J. Mwanga
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
18
A. El Arabi
G
11
A. Magdy
↑ 86'
M
32
Y. El Azab
↑ 71'
F
28
A. Ineza
↑ 46'
F
22
A. Etman
↑ 61'
M
7
M. Ashraf
37
M. El Moghzi
M
13
M. Oufa
D
41
K. Saidi
↑ 60'
F
Last matches: El Mokawloon
29.05.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Future FC
3
1
W
23.05.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Kahraba Ismailia
2
2
D
18.05.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Wadi Degla
1
1
D
13.05.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Haras El Hodood
0
0
D
08.05.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
El Gouna FC
1
0
W
04.05.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Pharco
1
1
D
23.04.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Al Ittihad
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
El Geish
2
0
W
13.04.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
National Bank of Egypt
1
2
L
09.04.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Ismaily SC
1
0
W
06.04.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Masr
0
0
D
21.03.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Petrojet
2
2
D
05.03.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Al Ahly
1
3
L
23.02.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
El Gouna FC
1
1
D
19.02.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
AL Masry
1
1
D
05.02.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Wadi Degla
1
0
W
30.01.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
National Bank of Egypt
0
1
L
22.01.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Ismaily SC
2
1
W
25.11.25
Pre
El Mokawloon
Pyramids FC
0
2
L
04.11.25
Pre
El Mokawloon
Smouha SC
1
1
D
Last matches: Ghazl El Mehalla
29.05.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Haras El Hodood
4
2
W
23.05.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Future FC
0
0
D
18.05.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Al Ittihad
1
0
W
13.05.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Masr
2
3
L
07.05.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
El Geish
0
1
L
03.05.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Ismaily SC
0
0
D
23.04.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Petrojet
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Kahraba Ismailia
3
1
W
13.04.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Wadi Degla
0
0
D
08.04.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
El Gouna FC
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Pharco
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
National Bank of Egypt
1
1
D
07.03.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Pharco
0
0
D
02.03.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Al Ittihad
0
2
L
24.02.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Pyramids FC
1
3
L
20.02.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Masr
0
0
D
05.02.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Ceramica Cleopatra
2
3
L
29.01.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
El Geish
0
0
D
22.01.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Wadi Degla
2
3
L
01.11.25
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Future FC
0
0
D
H2H: El Mokawloon vs Ghazl El Mehalla
28.04.26
H2H
El Mokawloon
Ghazl El Mehalla
1
1
D
05.01.26
H2H
El Mokawloon
Ghazl El Mehalla
1
1
D
13.09.25
H2H
Ghazl El Mehalla
El Mokawloon
1
1
D
10.02.23
H2H
Ghazl El Mehalla
El Mokawloon
0
3
W
20.10.22
H2H
El Mokawloon
Ghazl El Mehalla
1
1
D
22.07.22
H2H
El Mokawloon
Ghazl El Mehalla
1
0
W
15.02.22
H2H
Ghazl El Mehalla
El Mokawloon
1
1
D
25.08.21
H2H
Ghazl El Mehalla
El Mokawloon
1
2
W
14.03.21
H2H
El Mokawloon
Ghazl El Mehalla
0
1
L
Last matches: El Mokawloon
29.05.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Future FC
3
1
W
18.05.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Wadi Degla
1
1
D
08.05.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
El Gouna FC
1
0
W
23.04.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Al Ittihad
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
El Geish
2
0
W
09.04.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Ismaily SC
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Petrojet
2
2
D
05.03.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Al Ahly
1
3
L
19.02.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
AL Masry
1
1
D
30.01.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
National Bank of Egypt
0
1
L
04.11.25
Pre
El Mokawloon
Smouha SC
1
1
D
17.10.25
Pre
El Mokawloon
Enppi
1
1
D
27.09.25
Pre
El Mokawloon
Kahraba Ismailia
0
1
L
17.09.25
Pre
El Mokawloon
Pharco
1
1
D
29.08.25
Pre
El Mokawloon
Ceramica Cleopatra
0
1
L
21.08.25
Pre
El Mokawloon
Haras El Hodood
0
0
D
09.08.25
Pre
El Mokawloon
Masr
0
2
L
H2H at home: El Mokawloon
28.04.26
H2H
El Mokawloon
Ghazl El Mehalla
1
1
D
05.01.26
H2H
El Mokawloon
Ghazl El Mehalla
1
1
D
20.10.22
H2H
El Mokawloon
Ghazl El Mehalla
1
1
D
22.07.22
H2H
El Mokawloon
Ghazl El Mehalla
1
0
W
14.03.21
H2H
El Mokawloon
Ghazl El Mehalla
0
1
L
Last matches: Ghazl El Mehalla
23.05.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Future FC
0
0
D
13.05.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Masr
2
3
L
07.05.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
El Geish
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Kahraba Ismailia
3
1
W
04.04.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Pharco
1
1
D
02.03.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Al Ittihad
0
2
L
05.02.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Ceramica Cleopatra
2
3
L
22.01.26
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Wadi Degla
2
3
L
25.10.25
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Haras El Hodood
0
0
D
04.10.25
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Zamalek SC
1
1
D
22.09.25
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Petrojet
0
0
D
17.09.25
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
AL Masry
1
2
L
30.08.25
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
Ismaily SC
3
0
W
20.08.25
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
El Gouna FC
0
0
D
10.08.25
Pre
Ghazl El Mehalla
National Bank of Egypt
0
0
D
H2H away: Ghazl El Mehalla
28.04.26
H2H
El Mokawloon
Ghazl El Mehalla
1
1
D
05.01.26
H2H
El Mokawloon
Ghazl El Mehalla
1
1
D
20.10.22
H2H
El Mokawloon
Ghazl El Mehalla
1
1
D
22.07.22
H2H
El Mokawloon
Ghazl El Mehalla
1
0
L
14.03.21
H2H
El Mokawloon
Ghazl El Mehalla
0
1
W