EGYPT PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Arab Contractors Stadium
Referee: A. Abdeen
El Mokawloon
Match Timeline
Al Ittihad
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
Mahmoud Emad
Al Ittihad
🔄
46'
A. Ouled Behi ↔ A. Hawash
El Mokawloon
🔄
66'
S. Naguib ↔ M. Abdelnasser
El Mokawloon
🔄
72'
A. Magdi ↔ M. Tony
Al Ittihad
🔄
72'
A. Mohamed ↔ Mabululu
Al Ittihad
🔄
84'
N. Hesham ↔ I. Al Kadi
El Mokawloon
🔄
84'
Kahraba ↔ J. Ochaya
El Mokawloon
🔄
87'
M. Emad ↔ M. Dunga
Al Ittihad
🔄
88'
J. Ebuka ↔ F. Farid
Al Ittihad
🔄
89'
J. Ojera ↔ C. Ekpenyong
El Mokawloon

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 56.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
56.8%
-
Probability Distribution
El Mokawloon Win 63.7%
Draw 9.9%
Al Ittihad Win 26.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
El Mokawloon0.92
Al Ittihad0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
El Mokawloon El Mokawloon
WWDLW
19 GF / 25 GA
Al Ittihad Al Ittihad
WLDWL
21 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
0.76
Average Goals Scored
0.84
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.16
12
BTTS Yes
11
6
Over 2.5
10
2.72
Shots on Goal
2.92

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

El Mokawloon El Mokawloon 25 matches
Al Ittihad Al Ittihad 25 matches
El Mokawloon Statistic Al Ittihad
5 Wins 7
11 Draws 6
9 Losses 12
19 Goals For 21
25 Goals Against 29
0.76 Avg Goals Scored 0.84
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.16
12 BTTS Yes 11
15 Over 1.5 15
6 Over 2.5 10
2 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 8
10 Failed To Score 9
2.72 Shots On Goal 2.92
9.56 Total Shots 9.2
4.84 Corners 4
41.6% Ball Possession 49.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with El Mokawloon's more proactive style and Al Ittihad's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Al Ittihad. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

El Mokawloon Analysis

El Mokawloon approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 26 points from 5 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, and the 3:2 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on S. Naguib (5 goals), Mohamed Salem (4 goals), Joackiam Ojera (3 goals), with creative support from Kahraba (3 assists), Joseph Ochaya (2 assists), S. Naguib (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Al Ittihad Analysis

Al Ittihad approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 27 points from 5 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 0 defeats with a 2:2 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Ebuka (5 goals), F. Farid (3 goals), Afsha (2 goals), with creative support from A. Liadi (3 assists), Afsha (2 assists), K. El Deeb (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, El Mokawloon won 3 times, Al Ittihad won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:21 from El Mokawloon's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.1%)
Predicted formations: El Mokawloon 4-2-3-1 / Al Ittihad 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: El Mokawloon wins 3, draws 6, Al Ittihad wins 6
Stats
El Mokawloon El Mokawloon
Al Ittihad Al Ittihad
Shots on Goal
0
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
2
3 Corner Kicks 1
16 Fouls 6
3 Offsides 2
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Goal 2
4 Shots off Goal 6
4 Blocked Shots 2
4 Shots insidebox 5
4 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Goalkeeper Saves 0
370 Total passes 443
259 Passes accurate 342
0.31 expected_goals 0.59
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

El Mokawloon
Formation
Al Ittihad
M. Aboul Saoud
M. Aboul Saoud
Kahraba
Kahraba
H. Hussein
H. Hussein
M. Hamed
M. Hamed
N. Hesham
N. Hesham
M. Gamal
M. Gamal
O. El Wahsh
O. El Wahsh
M. Adel
M. Adel
S. Naguib
S. Naguib
A. Ouled Behi
A. Ouled Behi
J. Ojera
J. Ojera
M. Genesh
M. Genesh
A. Mahmoud
A. Mahmoud
A. Gouda
A. Gouda
M. Alaa
M. Alaa
K. El Deeb
K. El Deeb
M. Emad
M. Emad
S. Isaac
S. Isaac
A. Magdi
A. Magdi
Afsha
Afsha
A. Mohamed
A. Mohamed
J. Ebuka
J. Ebuka
El Mokawloon 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
M. Aboul Saoud
G
26
Kahraba
↓ 84'
D
4
H. Hussein
3
M. Hamed
D
24
N. Hesham
↓ 84'
D
14
M. Gamal
M
12
O. El Wahsh
M
31
M. Adel
M
10
S. Naguib
↓ 66'
M
28
A. Ouled Behi
↓ 46'
M
25
J. Ojera
↓ 89'
F
Substitutes
18
M. Fawzi
G
19
I. Al Kadi
↑ 84'
D
22
M. Antar
F
32
H. Faisal
M
44
A. Hawash
↑ 46'
F
74
M. Abdelnasser
↑ 66'
M
23
J. Ochaya
↑ 84'
D
47
C. Ekpenyong
↑ 89'
F
35
Y. Abdelhafiz
D
Al Ittihad 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
16
M. Genesh
88
A. Mahmoud
D
24
A. Gouda
D
4
M. Alaa
D
17
K. El Deeb
D
25
M. Emad
↓ 87' 🟨 4'
M
23
S. Isaac
M
27
A. Magdi
↓ 72'
M
10
Afsha
M
14
A. Mohamed
↓ 72'
M
18
J. Ebuka
↓ 88'
F
Substitutes
1
S. Soliman
13
M. Tony
↑ 72'
M
41
Canaria
5
M. Ibrahim
D
33
A. Eid
F
26
M. Dunga
↑ 87'
M
90
Mabululu
↑ 72'
F
9
F. Farid
↑ 88'
F
2
K. Abdelfattah
Last matches: El Mokawloon
29.05.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Future FC
3
1
W
23.05.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Kahraba Ismailia
2
2
D
18.05.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Wadi Degla
1
1
D
13.05.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Haras El Hodood
0
0
D
08.05.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
El Gouna FC
1
0
W
04.05.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Pharco
1
1
D
28.04.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Ghazl El Mehalla
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
El Geish
2
0
W
13.04.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
National Bank of Egypt
1
2
L
09.04.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Ismaily SC
1
0
W
06.04.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Masr
0
0
D
21.03.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Petrojet
2
2
D
05.03.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Al Ahly
1
3
L
23.02.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
El Gouna FC
1
1
D
19.02.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
AL Masry
1
1
D
05.02.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Wadi Degla
1
0
W
30.01.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
National Bank of Egypt
0
1
L
22.01.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Ismaily SC
2
1
W
25.11.25
Pre
El Mokawloon
Pyramids FC
0
2
L
04.11.25
Pre
El Mokawloon
Smouha SC
1
1
D
Last matches: Al Ittihad
29.05.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
National Bank of Egypt
2
2
D
23.05.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Ismaily SC
3
0
W
18.05.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Ghazl El Mehalla
0
1
L
13.05.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
El Geish
1
0
W
08.05.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Future FC
0
0
D
04.05.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Petrojet
1
2
L
29.04.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Wadi Degla
1
4
L
19.04.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Haras El Hodood
2
2
D
14.04.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Masr
2
1
W
09.04.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Kahraba Ismailia
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
El Gouna FC
0
0
D
22.03.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Pharco
1
1
D
06.03.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Zamalek SC
0
1
L
02.03.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Ghazl El Mehalla
2
0
W
25.02.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Petrojet
0
1
L
16.02.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Smouha SC
1
0
W
06.02.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
El Geish
1
0
W
30.01.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Haras El Hodood
2
0
W
21.01.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Ceramica Cleopatra
1
3
L
23.11.25
Pre
Al Ittihad
El Gouna FC
0
2
L
H2H: El Mokawloon vs Al Ittihad
23.04.26
H2H
El Mokawloon
Al Ittihad
0
0
D
03.10.25
H2H
Al Ittihad
El Mokawloon
2
1
L
11.05.24
H2H
El Mokawloon
Al Ittihad
0
1
L
28.10.23
H2H
Al Ittihad
El Mokawloon
3
2
L
12.07.23
H2H
Al Ittihad
El Mokawloon
0
0
D
27.01.23
H2H
El Mokawloon
Al Ittihad
0
0
D
26.08.22
H2H
Al Ittihad
El Mokawloon
0
1
W
26.04.22
H2H
El Mokawloon
Al Ittihad
1
1
D
28.08.21
H2H
El Mokawloon
Al Ittihad
1
3
L
05.04.21
H2H
Al Ittihad
El Mokawloon
4
2
L
22.10.20
H2H
Al Ittihad
El Mokawloon
2
1
L
21.12.18
H2H
El Mokawloon
Al Ittihad
2
1
W
31.07.18
H2H
Al Ittihad
El Mokawloon
1
1
D
22.01.18
H2H
Al Ittihad
El Mokawloon
1
1
D
22.09.17
H2H
El Mokawloon
Al Ittihad
3
2
W
Last matches: El Mokawloon
29.05.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Future FC
3
1
W
18.05.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Wadi Degla
1
1
D
08.05.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
El Gouna FC
1
0
W
28.04.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Ghazl El Mehalla
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
El Geish
2
0
W
09.04.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Ismaily SC
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Petrojet
2
2
D
05.03.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Al Ahly
1
3
L
19.02.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
AL Masry
1
1
D
30.01.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
National Bank of Egypt
0
1
L
04.11.25
Pre
El Mokawloon
Smouha SC
1
1
D
17.10.25
Pre
El Mokawloon
Enppi
1
1
D
27.09.25
Pre
El Mokawloon
Kahraba Ismailia
0
1
L
17.09.25
Pre
El Mokawloon
Pharco
1
1
D
29.08.25
Pre
El Mokawloon
Ceramica Cleopatra
0
1
L
21.08.25
Pre
El Mokawloon
Haras El Hodood
0
0
D
09.08.25
Pre
El Mokawloon
Masr
0
2
L
H2H at home: El Mokawloon
23.04.26
H2H
El Mokawloon
Al Ittihad
0
0
D
11.05.24
H2H
El Mokawloon
Al Ittihad
0
1
L
27.01.23
H2H
El Mokawloon
Al Ittihad
0
0
D
26.04.22
H2H
El Mokawloon
Al Ittihad
1
1
D
28.08.21
H2H
El Mokawloon
Al Ittihad
1
3
L
21.12.18
H2H
El Mokawloon
Al Ittihad
2
1
W
22.09.17
H2H
El Mokawloon
Al Ittihad
3
2
W
Last matches: Al Ittihad
29.05.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
National Bank of Egypt
2
2
D
18.05.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Ghazl El Mehalla
0
1
L
08.05.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Future FC
0
0
D
29.04.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Wadi Degla
1
4
L
19.04.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Haras El Hodood
2
2
D
09.04.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Kahraba Ismailia
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
El Gouna FC
0
0
D
06.03.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Zamalek SC
0
1
L
25.02.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Petrojet
0
1
L
06.02.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
El Geish
1
0
W
21.01.26
Pre
Al Ittihad
Ceramica Cleopatra
1
3
L
02.11.25
Pre
Al Ittihad
Pyramids FC
1
2
L
22.10.25
Pre
Al Ittihad
Al Ahly
1
2
L
22.09.25
Pre
Al Ittihad
Masr
0
1
L
12.09.25
Pre
Al Ittihad
Pharco
0
0
D
19.08.25
Pre
Al Ittihad
Ismaily SC
1
0
W
08.08.25
Pre
Al Ittihad
AL Masry
1
3
L
H2H away: Al Ittihad
23.04.26
H2H
El Mokawloon
Al Ittihad
0
0
D
11.05.24
H2H
El Mokawloon
Al Ittihad
0
1
W
27.01.23
H2H
El Mokawloon
Al Ittihad
0
0
D
26.04.22
H2H
El Mokawloon
Al Ittihad
1
1
D
28.08.21
H2H
El Mokawloon
Al Ittihad
1
3
W
21.12.18
H2H
El Mokawloon
Al Ittihad
2
1
L
22.09.17
H2H
El Mokawloon
Al Ittihad
3
2
L