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09.09.2026 17:00
Arab Contractors Stadium
Referee: M. Bassiouny
El Mokawloon
Match Timeline
Al Ahly
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
3'
Dokou Dodo
El Mokawloon
⚽
39'
I. Gaber
El Mokawloon
🔄
46'
D. Dodo ↔ I. Adel
El Mokawloon
🔄
49'
A. El Gazar ↔ H. Reyad
Al Ahly
⚽
58'
Zizo
Al Ahly
🔄
59'
A. Bencharki ↔ E. Ashour
Al Ahly
🔄
59'
A. Mahmoud ↔ A. Reda
Al Ahly
🟨
70'
Zizo
Al Ahly
🔄
75'
I. Thiam ↔ S. Hussein
El Mokawloon
🔄
75'
O. Kamal ↔ M. Sandouqa
El Mokawloon
🔄
82'
Kahraba ↔ H. Shakoush
El Mokawloon
🔄
84'
M. Bakrar ↔ H. El Shahat
Al Ahly
🔄
84'
S. Benjdida ↔ A. Abdallah
Al Ahly
🔄
85'
J. Ochaya ↔ N. Hesham
El Mokawloon

El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 51.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
51.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
El Mokawloon Win 33.3%
Draw 15.5%
Al Ahly Win 51.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
El Mokawloon1
Al Ahly1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
El Mokawloon El Mokawloon
WWDLW
3 GF / 4 GA
Al Ahly Al Ahly
WLDWL
7 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1
1
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
2
4.33
Shots on Goal
6.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

El Mokawloon El Mokawloon 3 matches
Al Ahly Al Ahly 4 matches
El Mokawloon Statistic Al Ahly
1 Wins 3
0 Draws 0
2 Losses 1
3 Goals For 7
4 Goals Against 4
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1
1 BTTS Yes 2
1 Over 1.5 3
1 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 0
4.33 Shots On Goal 6.67
9.33 Total Shots 18
3.33 Corners 6.67
42.7% Ball Possession 62.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, El Mokawloon won 2 times, Al Ahly won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:31 from El Mokawloon's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.5%)
Predicted formations: El Mokawloon 4-2-3-1 / Al Ahly 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: El Mokawloon wins 2, draws 3, Al Ahly wins 10

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 6 0 0 13:2 11 18
W W W W W
2 6 5 1 0 11:3 8 16
W W D W W
3 6 4 1 1 8:3 5 13
L W W W W
4 6 4 1 1 10:6 4 13
W W W L W
5 6 4 0 2 11:7 4 12
L W W W W
6 5 3 1 1 6:3 3 10
W W W L D
7 6 2 2 2 7:6 1 8
D W D W L
8 6 2 2 2 5:6 -1 8
D W L W L
9 5 2 1 2 8:8 0 7
W W L L D
10 6 1 4 1 6:6 0 7
D L D D D
11 5 2 1 2 5:5 0 7
L D L W W
12 6 2 1 3 6:8 -2 7
D L L L W
13 6 2 1 3 2:4 -2 7
W W L L D
14 5 2 0 3 4:7 -3 6
L W W L L
15 5 1 2 2 4:5 -1 5
L L D W D
16 6 1 1 4 8:12 -4 4
L L W D L
17 5 1 0 4 1:8 -7 3
L L L L W
18 5 0 2 3 3:6 -3 2
L L L D D
19 5 0 2 3 1:5 -4 2
L L L D D
20 6 0 1 5 1:10 -9 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation Group)