EGYPT PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Khaled Bichara Stadium
Referee: M. Al Ghazi
El Gouna FC
Match Timeline
Haras El Hodood
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
29'
Ikenna Cooper
Haras El Hodood
42'
A. El Said · Assist: D. A. Mohamed S. E.
El Gouna FC
🔄
59'
D. A. Mohamed S. E. ↔ A. Refaat
El Gouna FC
🔄
59'
A. Belia ↔ A. Taalab
El Gouna FC
🔄
59'
M. Bayoumi ↔ F. El Henawy
Haras El Hodood
🔄
59'
Z. Tarek ↔ M. El Negely
Haras El Hodood
🔄
73'
A. El Zahdi ↔ M. Metawea
El Gouna FC
🟨
77'
Omar Fathi Saviola
Haras El Hodood
🔄
77'
A. Turay ↔ S. El Shimi
El Gouna FC
🔄
78'
A. El Said ↔ M. El Nahas
El Gouna FC
🟨
89'
Khaled Ahmed
El Gouna FC
🔄
90+5'
I. Abdelhakim ↔ I. Ashraf
Haras El Hodood
🔄
90+1'
M. Magli ↔ M. Ashraf
Haras El Hodood
🔄
90+1'
M. El Deghemy ↔ A. Nayel
Haras El Hodood
90'
M. Hamdi · Assist: M. El Negely
Haras El Hodood

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 53.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
53.3%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
80%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
El Gouna FC Win 71.1%
Draw 4.8%
Haras El Hodood Win 24.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
El Gouna FC1
Haras El Hodood0.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
El Gouna FC El Gouna FC
WWDLW
18 GF / 16 GA
Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood
WLDWL
20 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
0.69
Average Goals Scored
0.77
0.62
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
9
BTTS Yes
12
3
Over 2.5
11
3.04
Shots on Goal
2.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

El Gouna FC El Gouna FC 26 matches
Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 26 matches
El Gouna FC Statistic Haras El Hodood
8 Wins 4
13 Draws 8
5 Losses 14
18 Goals For 20
16 Goals Against 38
0.69 Avg Goals Scored 0.77
0.62 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
9 BTTS Yes 12
11 Over 1.5 15
3 Over 2.5 11
0 Over 3.5 7
13 Clean Sheets 7
10 Failed To Score 11
3.04 Shots On Goal 2.65
10.08 Total Shots 8.54
3.58 Corners 3.46
45.4% Ball Possession 43.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by El Gouna FC's more proactive style and Haras El Hodood's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Haras El Hodood. Haras El Hodood arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with El Gouna FC expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Haras El Hodood in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Haras El Hodood having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. El Gouna FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 11 with 37 points compared to Haras El Hodood in 19 on 20, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

El Gouna FC Analysis

From their first 6 matches, El Gouna FC have collected 37 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, while the 2:1 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Emad (3 goals), Marwan Mohsen (3 goals), M. El Nahas (2 goals), with creative support from M. El Nahas (2 assists), A. Gamal (2 assists), Marwan Mohsen (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Haras El Hodood Analysis

Haras El Hodood sit 19 with 20 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 5:9 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Hamdi (5 goals), M. Ashraf (4 goals), Ibrahim Abdel Hakeem (3 goals), with creative support from F. El Henawy (4 assists), A. El Sheikh (3 assists), M. Hamdi (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, El Gouna FC won 3 times, Haras El Hodood won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:12 from El Gouna FC's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.83 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: El Gouna FC 4-4-2 / Haras El Hodood 4-3-3
H2H summary: El Gouna FC wins 3, draws 4, Haras El Hodood wins 5
Stats
El Gouna FC El Gouna FC
Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
12
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
4
1 Corner Kicks 11
9 Fouls 14
8 Offsides 1
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Goal 7
1 Shots off Goal 12
0 Blocked Shots 4
2 Shots insidebox 13
2 Shots outsidebox 10
6 Goalkeeper Saves 2
305 Total passes 357
198 Passes accurate 254
0.50 expected_goals 1.26
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

El Gouna FC
Formation
Haras El Hodood
A. Masoud
A. Masoud
A. Belia
A. Belia
A. Turay
A. Turay
Abdel Rasoul Ahmed
Abdel Rasoul Ahmed
A. Khaled
A. Khaled
A. El Zahdi
A. El Zahdi
H. Ibrahim
H. Ibrahim
N. El Sayed
N. El Sayed
D. A. Mohamed S. E.
🎯
D. A. Mohamed S. E.
M. Mohsen
M. Mohsen
A. El Said
A. El Said
M. El Zanfaly
M. El Zanfaly
M. El Deghemy
M. El Deghemy
M. Awad
M. Awad
I. Abdelhakim
I. Abdelhakim
M. Bayoumi
M. Bayoumi
I. Cooper
I. Cooper
Z. Tarek
Z. Tarek
M. Magli
M. Magli
O. Saviola
O. Saviola
Mahmoud Sayed Okaa
Mahmoud Sayed Okaa
M. Hamdi
M. Hamdi
El Gouna FC 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
A. Masoud
20
A. Belia
↓ 59'
36
A. Turay
↓ 77'
D
4
Abdel Rasoul Ahmed
D
3
A. Khaled
🟨 89'
D
24
A. El Zahdi
↓ 73'
M
6
H. Ibrahim
M
14
N. El Sayed
11
D. A. Mohamed S. E.
🎯 42' ↓ 59'
9
M. Mohsen
F
25
A. El Said
⚽ 42' ↓ 78'
F
Substitutes
16
H. Shahin
22
M. El Nahas
↑ 78'
F
5
S. El Shimi
↑ 77'
D
10
M. Mahmoud
M
7
A. Refaat
↑ 59'
2
A. Taalab
↑ 59'
D
28
M. Metawea
↑ 73'
D
30
M. Emad
90
A. Karim
M
Haras El Hodood 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
18
M. El Zanfaly
G
17
M. El Deghemy
↓ 90+1'
D
24
M. Awad
D
5
I. Abdelhakim
↓ 90+5'
D
12
M. Bayoumi
↓ 59'
D
27
I. Cooper
🟨 29'
M
72
Z. Tarek
↓ 59'
M
6
M. Magli
↓ 90+1'
M
22
O. Saviola
🟨 77'
M
74
Mahmoud Sayed Okaa
M
99
M. Hamdi
⚽ 90'
F
Substitutes
13
A. Shaaban
G
25
I. Ashraf
↑ 90+5'
M
14
M. Ashraf
↑ 90+1'
M
20
E. Eze
M
4
I. Abou-Salima
M
10
F. El Henawy
↑ 59'
M
29
M. El Negely
🎯 90' ↑ 59'
F
90
A. Nayel
↑ 90+1'
32
A. Kamel
Last matches: El Gouna FC
28.05.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Petrojet
2
1
W
22.05.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
El Geish
2
1
W
17.05.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
National Bank of Egypt
1
1
D
12.05.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Kahraba Ismailia
0
1
L
08.05.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
El Mokawloon
0
1
L
03.05.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Masr
2
2
D
24.04.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Pharco
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Ismaily SC
1
0
W
14.04.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Future FC
0
0
D
08.04.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Ghazl El Mehalla
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Al Ittihad
0
0
D
20.03.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Wadi Degla
0
0
D
10.03.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
AL Masry
1
0
W
06.03.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Wadi Degla
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Ismaily SC
2
1
W
23.02.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
El Mokawloon
1
1
D
19.02.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Al Ahly
0
1
L
06.02.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Future FC
1
1
D
28.01.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Pyramids FC
1
1
D
23.11.25
Pre
El Gouna FC
Al Ittihad
2
0
W
Last matches: Haras El Hodood
29.05.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Ghazl El Mehalla
2
4
L
23.05.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Petrojet
0
3
L
18.05.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Kahraba Ismailia
2
0
W
13.05.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
El Mokawloon
0
0
D
07.05.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Masr
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
El Geish
0
0
D
25.04.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Wadi Degla
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Al Ittihad
2
2
D
13.04.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Pharco
1
2
L
08.04.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Future FC
0
0
D
05.04.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
National Bank of Egypt
2
4
L
20.03.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Ismaily SC
0
0
D
05.03.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Pyramids FC
1
3
L
28.02.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
El Geish
0
1
L
24.02.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Enppi
1
0
W
20.02.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Zamalek SC
0
2
L
05.02.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Pharco
2
2
D
30.01.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Al Ittihad
0
2
L
22.01.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Kahraba Ismailia
1
2
L
23.11.25
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Petrojet
1
3
L
H2H: El Gouna FC vs Haras El Hodood
29.04.26
H2H
El Gouna FC
Haras El Hodood
1
1
D
13.09.25
H2H
Haras El Hodood
El Gouna FC
2
1
L
31.01.25
H2H
El Gouna FC
Haras El Hodood
0
1
L
30.10.20
H2H
El Gouna FC
Haras El Hodood
1
2
L
09.02.20
H2H
Haras El Hodood
El Gouna FC
2
2
D
23.01.19
H2H
Haras El Hodood
El Gouna FC
1
2
W
14.08.18
H2H
El Gouna FC
Haras El Hodood
1
1
D
14.05.15
H2H
Haras El Hodood
El Gouna FC
0
1
W
03.12.14
H2H
El Gouna FC
Haras El Hodood
0
1
L
22.05.13
H2H
El Gouna FC
Haras El Hodood
1
0
W
10.03.13
H2H
Haras El Hodood
El Gouna FC
0
0
D
19.01.12
H2H
Haras El Hodood
El Gouna FC
1
0
L
Last matches: El Gouna FC
22.05.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
El Geish
2
1
W
12.05.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Kahraba Ismailia
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Ismaily SC
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Al Ittihad
0
0
D
10.03.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
AL Masry
1
0
W
06.03.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Wadi Degla
0
0
D
23.02.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
El Mokawloon
1
1
D
06.02.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Future FC
1
1
D
01.11.25
Pre
El Gouna FC
Pharco
0
1
L
18.10.25
Pre
El Gouna FC
National Bank of Egypt
0
3
L
29.09.25
Pre
El Gouna FC
Ceramica Cleopatra
1
1
D
17.09.25
Pre
El Gouna FC
Petrojet
1
1
D
30.08.25
Pre
El Gouna FC
Masr
1
1
D
20.08.25
Pre
El Gouna FC
Ghazl El Mehalla
0
0
D
H2H at home: El Gouna FC
29.04.26
H2H
El Gouna FC
Haras El Hodood
1
1
D
31.01.25
H2H
El Gouna FC
Haras El Hodood
0
1
L
30.10.20
H2H
El Gouna FC
Haras El Hodood
1
2
L
14.08.18
H2H
El Gouna FC
Haras El Hodood
1
1
D
03.12.14
H2H
El Gouna FC
Haras El Hodood
0
1
L
22.05.13
H2H
El Gouna FC
Haras El Hodood
1
0
W
Last matches: Haras El Hodood
29.05.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Ghazl El Mehalla
2
4
L
18.05.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Kahraba Ismailia
2
0
W
13.04.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Pharco
1
2
L
05.04.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
National Bank of Egypt
2
4
L
28.02.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
El Geish
0
1
L
20.02.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Zamalek SC
0
2
L
30.01.26
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Al Ittihad
0
2
L
23.11.25
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Petrojet
1
3
L
04.11.25
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Wadi Degla
1
1
D
18.10.25
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Ismaily SC
1
3
L
27.09.25
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Masr
1
0
W
19.09.25
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Smouha SC
0
1
L
31.08.25
Pre
Haras El Hodood
Future FC
0
1
L
21.08.25
Pre
Haras El Hodood
El Mokawloon
0
0
D
H2H away: Haras El Hodood
29.04.26
H2H
El Gouna FC
Haras El Hodood
1
1
D
31.01.25
H2H
El Gouna FC
Haras El Hodood
0
1
W
30.10.20
H2H
El Gouna FC
Haras El Hodood
1
2
W
14.08.18
H2H
El Gouna FC
Haras El Hodood
1
1
D
03.12.14
H2H
El Gouna FC
Haras El Hodood
0
1
W
22.05.13
H2H
El Gouna FC
Haras El Hodood
1
0
L

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 13 4 3 32:13 19 43
L W W W W
2 20 13 4 3 33:15 18 43
W W L W W
3 20 11 7 2 33:19 14 40
L W D W W
4 20 11 5 4 29:16 13 38
D D D L W
5 20 8 8 4 29:20 9 32
L W L W D
6 20 8 7 5 21:13 8 31
W W L L L
7 20 7 9 4 20:16 4 30
W W W L D
8 20 7 8 5 23:20 3 29
D D W D L
9 20 7 8 5 21:16 5 29
W D L D D
10 20 6 10 4 16:15 1 28
W D W D L
11 20 5 11 4 18:14 4 26
L D L W D
12 20 5 10 5 21:23 -2 25
L D W D D
13 20 5 8 7 18:24 -6 23
L L D L D
14 20 5 7 8 14:24 -10 22
W W W D L
15 20 6 2 12 15:24 -9 20
L W L W W
16 20 2 13 5 12:15 -3 19
D L L D L
17 20 3 9 8 13:21 -8 18
L D D W L
18 20 4 5 11 15:29 -14 17
L L W L D
19 20 4 4 12 22:37 -15 16
L W D D L
20 20 2 9 9 8:22 -14 15
D L L D D
21 20 3 2 15 11:28 -17 11
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Premier League (Relegation Group)