GERMANY BUNDESLIGA
02.05.2026 13:30
Deutsche Bank Park
Referee: Deniz Aytekin, Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt
Match Timeline
Hamburger SV
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
48'
C. Y. Uzun · Assist: J. Burkardt
Eintracht Frankfurt
51'
A. Gronbaek · Assist: W. Omari
Hamburger SV
🟨
52'
Oscar Højlund
Eintracht Frankfurt
59'
F. Vieira · Assist: A. Gronbaek
Hamburger SV
🔄
61'
O. Hojlund ↔ F. Chaibi
Eintracht Frankfurt
🔄
61'
J. Burkardt ↔ J. Bahoya
Eintracht Frankfurt
🔄
61'
E. Skhiri ↔ R. Kristensen
Eintracht Frankfurt
🔄
68'
R. Glatzel ↔ D. Downs
Hamburger SV
🔄
68'
B. Jatta ↔ G. Gocholeishvili
Hamburger SV
🟨
71'
Rasmus Kristensen
Eintracht Frankfurt
🔄
78'
A. Gronbaek ↔ L. Vuskovic
Hamburger SV
🔄
79'
A. S. Lokonga ↔ D. Elfadli
Hamburger SV
🔄
82'
A. Knauff ↔ A. Amaimouni
Eintracht Frankfurt
🔄
82'
H. Larsson ↔ Y. Ebnoutalib
Eintracht Frankfurt
🔄
83'
J. Torunarigha ↔ Y. Poulsen
Hamburger SV
🟨
85'
Arnaud Kalimuendo
Eintracht Frankfurt
🟨
88'
Can Uzun
Eintracht Frankfurt
🟨
88'
Nicolás Capaldo
Hamburger SV
🟨
90+12'
Rasmus Kristensen
Eintracht Frankfurt
🟨
90+10'
Jean-Mattéo Bahoya
Eintracht Frankfurt
🟥
90+12'
Rasmus Kristensen
Eintracht Frankfurt

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 27%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
27%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Eintracht Frankfurt Win 79.5%
Draw 5.6%
Hamburger SV Win 14.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Eintracht Frankfurt1.66
Hamburger SV1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
WWDLW
66 GF / 79 GA
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
WLDWL
34 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
1.1
2.03
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
27
BTTS Yes
19
26
Over 2.5
17
4.23
Shots on Goal
4.52

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 39 matches
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 31 matches
Eintracht Frankfurt Statistic Hamburger SV
12 Wins 7
11 Draws 10
16 Losses 14
66 Goals For 34
79 Goals Against 50
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
2.03 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
27 BTTS Yes 19
34 Over 1.5 24
26 Over 2.5 17
20 Over 3.5 10
8 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 10
4.23 Shots On Goal 4.52
11.05 Total Shots 12.13
4.08 Corners 3.74
51.8% Ball Possession 45.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Hamburger SV. Eintracht Frankfurt arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 43 points compared to Hamburger SV in 15 on 31, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Eintracht Frankfurt expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Hamburger SV in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Hamburger SV having the stronger overall control. Hamburger SV arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Eintracht Frankfurt Analysis

Eintracht Frankfurt sit 7 with 43 points after 31 league matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 10 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 56:58 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Burkardt (10 goals), A. Kalimuendo (6 goals), C. Y. Uzun (6 goals), with creative support from F. Chaibi (9 assists), C. Y. Uzun (5 assists), R. Doan (5 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Hamburger SV Analysis

With 31 points from 31 games and a place of 15, Hamburger SV still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 7 wins, 10 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 34:50, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through A. S. Lokonga (5 goals), F. Vieira (5 goals), L. Vuskovic (5 goals), with creative support from F. Vieira (5 assists), Miro Muheim (4 assists), W. Mikelbrencis (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Eintracht Frankfurt won 7 times, Hamburger SV won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:12 from Eintracht Frankfurt's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
Predicted formations: Eintracht Frankfurt 3-4-2-1 / Hamburger SV 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Eintracht Frankfurt wins 7, draws 6, Hamburger SV wins 2

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 5 1 122:36 86 89
W W D W W
2 34 22 7 5 70:34 36 73
W W L W L
3 34 20 5 9 66:47 19 65
L W L W W
4 34 18 8 8 71:49 22 62
D W D D L
5 34 18 7 9 65:52 13 61
L W D W W
6 34 17 8 9 68:47 21 59
D L W W L
7 34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
W L D L W
8 34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
D L L D L
9 34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
L W W D W
10 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
W L W L D
11 34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
W W D L L
12 34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
W L W D D
13 34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
D W W L L
14 34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
L L D L D
15 34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
L L L D W
16 34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
L D W L D
17 34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
L W D W L
18 34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26
L L L L D
Champions League
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation